Predictions Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.
Public beta 18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research Independence, method & limitations We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.
An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.
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Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support
0 Free available0 VIP available5 Recorded Free1 Recorded VIP
Match day · Loading… Bookmaker filters price options; results use the recorded picks.
Today * Est. = historical estimate
Browse the full month W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 — — 31 — — W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
Picks Daily results Overall results Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
6 picks shown with Betlive prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.
09:00 SC Oțelul Galați v FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1 historical estimate Cards · FC Corvinul Hunedoara total Open match → Historical estimate under 2.5
Betlive reference price
Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Betlive reference price Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 62.5%EV +21.9%Crocobet Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 1.85
→ Closing odds 1.85
Model chance 62.5%EV +15.6%11:30 Aldosivi v Atlético Tucumán 4 historical estimates under 2.5
Liderbet reference price
Reference odds 2.25
→ Closing odds 2.25
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Liderbet reference price Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 2.25
→ Closing odds 2.25
Model chance 54.9%EV +23.5%Crocobet Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 2.10
→ Closing odds 2.10
Model chance 54.9%EV +15.3%Superbet Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds 2.05
Model chance 54.9%EV +12.6%Betlive Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 54.9%EV +7.1%Cards · Atlético Tucumán total Open match → Historical estimate under 2.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.02
→ Closing odds 2.02
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 2.02
→ Closing odds 2.02
Model chance 63.3%EV +27.8%Betlive Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 1.85
→ Closing odds 1.85
Model chance 63.3%EV +17.0%under 24.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 1.87
→ Closing odds 1.87
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Betlive Closing estimate under 22.5 Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds —
Different lines · no price comparison Model chance 52.7%EV +8.1%Crocobet Closing estimate under 22.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds —
Different lines · no price comparison Model chance 52.7%EV +5.4%Liderbet Closing estimate under 23.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds —
Different lines · no price comparison Model chance 60.7%EV +18.4%Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 24.5 Reference odds 1.87
→ Closing odds 1.87
Model chance 68.2%EV +27.5%Fouls · Atlético Tucumán total Open match → Historical estimate under 10.5
Crocobet reference price
Reference odds 2.50
→ Closing odds 2.50
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Liderbet Closing estimate under 11.5 Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds —
Different lines · no price comparison Model chance 66.9%EV +37.2%Crocobet reference price Closing estimate under 10.5 Reference odds 2.50
→ Closing odds 2.50
Model chance 55.5%EV +38.7%Betlive Closing estimate under 10.5 Reference odds 2.25
→ Closing odds 2.25
Model chance 55.5%EV +24.8%18:15 Lanús v Estudiantes de La Plata 1 historical estimate under 4.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 58.4%EV +13.8%BetMGM UK Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.91
→ Closing odds 1.91
Model chance 58.4%EV +11.5%Bet365 Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.91
→ Closing odds 1.91
Model chance 58.4%EV +11.5%Betlive Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.90
→ Closing odds 1.90
Model chance 58.4%EV +10.9%Liderbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.90
→ Closing odds 1.90
Model chance 58.4%EV +10.9%Kambi Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.85
→ Closing odds 1.85
Model chance 58.4%EV +8.0%Selected day
Mon, 21 Sept 2026 Recorded results · all bookmaker options Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.
6 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.
One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 20 Oct 2026.
ROI +2.7%
Profit +147.16 u
W / L 2,703 / 2,750
Avg odds 2.13
How to read this board A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.
Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.
Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.
Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.
Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.
