Benchmarks
The results behind each suggestion, by bookmaker and league.
Which markets qualify?
Updated after settlements. Last measured 17 Oct, 15:29.
Historical model inputs are being rechecked. 2,134 of 2,974 fixtures have completed the cutoff checks; qualification updates as they finish.
26 records
Bet365: overall results across leagues. Select a league to see the record that applies to its matches.
VIP1
eligible; return +10 % or better
Shots on target · over · Match totalBet365936065%+26.77VIPBet365 · Shots on target · over · Match totalVIPResults93Won60Win rate65%Return (u)+26.77
Walk-forward rule record — 93 settled fixtures, full return +28.8%, newest 30 % +27.7%, last 14 days +40.5%, last 30 days +33.0%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 93 | 60 | 65% | +26.77 | +28.8% | +27.7% | +40.5% | +33.0% | VIP |
Recent results
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Free1
eligible; positive return below +10 %
Shots on target · over · Home teamBet365593153%+4.43FreeBet365 · Shots on target · over · Home teamFreeResults59Won31Win rate53%Return (u)+4.43
Walk-forward rule record — 59 settled fixtures, full return +7.5%, newest 30 % +13.7%, last 14 days +2.1%, last 30 days +15.9%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 59 | 31 | 53% | +4.43 | +7.5% | +13.7% | +2.1% | +15.9% | Free |
Recent results
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Monitoring4
newest 30 % is positive; another gate is pending
Shots on target · under · Home teamBet3651225243%-18.04MonitoringBet365 · Shots on target · under · Home teamMonitoringResults122Won52Win rate43%Return (u)-18.04
Walk-forward rule record — 122 settled fixtures, full return -14.8%, newest 30 % +6.7%, last 14 days -3.3%, last 30 days -6.0%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 122 | 52 | 43% | -18.04 | -14.8% | +6.7% | -3.3% | -6.0% | Monitoring |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Corners · under · Away teamBet365913741%-15.96MonitoringBet365 · Corners · under · Away teamMonitoringResults91Won37Win rate41%Return (u)-15.96
Walk-forward rule record — 91 settled fixtures, full return -17.5%, newest 30 % +12.9%, last 14 days +7.6%, last 30 days -1.5%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 91 | 37 | 41% | -15.96 | -17.5% | +12.9% | +7.6% | -1.5% | Monitoring |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Shots · over · Away teamBet3651597849%-6.55MonitoringBet365 · Shots · over · Away teamMonitoringResults159Won78Win rate49%Return (u)-6.55
Walk-forward rule record — 159 settled fixtures, full return -4.1%, newest 30 % +5.5%, last 14 days +5.5%, last 30 days +6.8%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 159 | 78 | 49% | -6.55 | -4.1% | +5.5% | +5.5% | +6.8% | Monitoring |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Corners · over · Home teamBet3651738549%-4.03MonitoringBet365 · Corners · over · Home teamMonitoringResults173Won85Win rate49%Return (u)-4.03
Walk-forward rule record — 173 settled fixtures, full return -2.3%, newest 30 % +10.8%, last 14 days +8.3%, last 30 days +2.2%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 173 | 85 | 49% | -4.03 | -2.3% | +10.8% | +8.3% | +2.2% | Monitoring |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Not eligible yet1
below the settled-fixture floor
Goals · under · Away teamBet365251040%-3.89MeasuringBet365 · Goals · under · Away teamMeasuringNeeds 30 settled resultsResults25Won10Win rate40%Return (u)-3.89
Walk-forward rule record — 25 settled fixtures, full return -15.6%, newest 30 % +37.5%, last 14 days +22.2%, last 30 days +14.7%.This market needs 30 settled results to qualify.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 25 | 10 | 40% | -3.89 | -15.6% | +37.5% | +22.2% | +14.7% | Monitoring |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Not recommended19
at least one rule gate failed
Goals · under · Home teamBet3651876836%-42.46Not recommendedBet365 · Goals · under · Home teamNot recommendedResults187Won68Win rate36%Return (u)-42.46
Walk-forward rule record — 187 settled fixtures, full return -22.7%, newest 30 % -20.4%, last 14 days -27.8%, last 30 days -16.6%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 187 | 68 | 36% | -42.46 | -22.7% | -20.4% | -27.8% | -16.6% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Goals · over · Match totalBet3651716538%-36.19Not recommendedBet365 · Goals · over · Match totalNot recommendedResults171Won65Win rate38%Return (u)-36.19
Walk-forward rule record — 171 settled fixtures, full return -21.2%, newest 30 % -23.4%, last 14 days -26.7%, last 30 days -24.0%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 171 | 65 | 38% | -36.19 | -21.2% | -23.4% | -26.7% | -24.0% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Shots · under · Home teamBet3651124641%-22.82Not recommendedBet365 · Shots · under · Home teamNot recommendedResults112Won46Win rate41%Return (u)-22.82
Walk-forward rule record — 112 settled fixtures, full return -20.4%, newest 30 % -2.7%, last 14 days +2.1%, last 30 days -5.8%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 112 | 46 | 41% | -22.82 | -20.4% | -2.7% | +2.1% | -5.8% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Corners · under · Home teamBet36526612647%-13.33Not recommendedBet365 · Corners · under · Home teamNot recommendedResults266Won126Win rate47%Return (u)-13.33
Walk-forward rule record — 266 settled fixtures, full return -5.0%, newest 30 % -16.9%, last 14 days -12.3%, last 30 days -8.7%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 266 | 126 | 47% | -13.33 | -5.0% | -16.9% | -12.3% | -8.7% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Cards · over · Match totalBet365552240%-11.03Not recommendedBet365 · Cards · over · Match totalNot recommendedResults55Won22Win rate40%Return (u)-11.03
Walk-forward rule record — 55 settled fixtures, full return -20.1%, newest 30 % -0.4%, last 14 days -9.8%, last 30 days -15.0%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 55 | 22 | 40% | -11.03 | -20.1% | -0.4% | -9.8% | -15.0% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Goals · over · Home teamBet365572137%-10.87Not recommendedBet365 · Goals · over · Home teamNot recommendedResults57Won21Win rate37%Return (u)-10.87
Walk-forward rule record — 57 settled fixtures, full return -19.1%, newest 30 % -73.1%, last 14 days -49.3%, last 30 days -30.9%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 57 | 21 | 37% | -10.87 | -19.1% | -73.1% | -49.3% | -30.9% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Shots on target · under · Away teamBet365491939%-10.85Not recommendedBet365 · Shots on target · under · Away teamNot recommendedResults49Won19Win rate39%Return (u)-10.85
Walk-forward rule record — 49 settled fixtures, full return -22.1%, newest 30 % -32.6%, last 14 days -22.2%, last 30 days -20.6%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 49 | 19 | 39% | -10.85 | -22.1% | -32.6% | -22.2% | -20.6% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Corners · under · Match totalBet36522110748%-9.87Not recommendedBet365 · Corners · under · Match totalNot recommendedResults221Won107Win rate48%Return (u)-9.87
Walk-forward rule record — 221 settled fixtures, full return -4.5%, newest 30 % -22.2%, last 14 days -24.6%, last 30 days -4.1%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 221 | 107 | 48% | -9.87 | -4.5% | -22.2% | -24.6% | -4.1% | Not recommended |
Recent results
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Shots · under · Away teamBet365582747%-4.9Not recommendedBet365 · Shots · under · Away teamNot recommendedResults58Won27Win rate47%Return (u)-4.9
Walk-forward rule record — 58 settled fixtures, full return -8.5%, newest 30 % -6.9%, last 14 days -5.1%, last 30 days +1.1%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 58 | 27 | 47% | -4.9 | -8.5% | -6.9% | -5.1% | +1.1% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Shots · under · Match totalBet365783849%-4.46Not recommendedBet365 · Shots · under · Match totalNot recommendedResults78Won38Win rate49%Return (u)-4.46
Walk-forward rule record — 78 settled fixtures, full return -5.7%, newest 30 % -6.7%, last 14 days -6.1%, last 30 days -7.3%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 78 | 38 | 49% | -4.46 | -5.7% | -6.7% | -6.1% | -7.3% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Corners · over · Away teamBet36537118149%-4.34Not recommendedBet365 · Corners · over · Away teamNot recommendedResults371Won181Win rate49%Return (u)-4.34
Walk-forward rule record — 371 settled fixtures, full return -1.2%, newest 30 % -1.8%, last 14 days +5.0%, last 30 days -1.6%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 371 | 181 | 49% | -4.34 | -1.2% | -1.8% | +5.0% | -1.6% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Shots on target · under · Match totalBet365995051%-0.51Not recommendedBet365 · Shots on target · under · Match totalNot recommendedResults99Won50Win rate51%Return (u)-0.51
Walk-forward rule record — 99 settled fixtures, full return -0.5%, newest 30 % -7.5%, last 14 days +1.2%, last 30 days +8.6%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 99 | 50 | 51% | -0.51 | -0.5% | -7.5% | +1.2% | +8.6% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Goals · under · Match totalBet365643047%+0.04Not recommendedBet365 · Goals · under · Match totalNot recommendedResults64Won30Win rate47%Return (u)+0.04
Walk-forward rule record — 64 settled fixtures, full return +0.1%, newest 30 % -4.7%, last 14 days +9.2%, last 30 days -0.5%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 64 | 30 | 47% | +0.04 | +0.1% | -4.7% | +9.2% | -0.5% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Cards · under · Match totalBet36521710950%+2.09Not recommendedBet365 · Cards · under · Match totalNot recommendedResults217Won109Win rate50%Return (u)+2.09
Walk-forward rule record — 217 settled fixtures, full return +1.0%, newest 30 % -25.8%, last 14 days -20.8%, last 30 days -8.9%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 217 | 109 | 50% | +2.09 | +1.0% | -25.8% | -20.8% | -8.9% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Goals · over · Away teamBet36523811247%+2.51Not recommendedBet365 · Goals · over · Away teamNot recommendedResults238Won112Win rate47%Return (u)+2.51
Walk-forward rule record — 238 settled fixtures, full return +1.1%, newest 30 % -2.1%, last 14 days -7.1%, last 30 days -2.0%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 238 | 112 | 47% | +2.51 | +1.1% | -2.1% | -7.1% | -2.0% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Shots on target · over · Away teamBet3651377051%+5.23Not recommendedBet365 · Shots on target · over · Away teamNot recommendedResults137Won70Win rate51%Return (u)+5.23
Walk-forward rule record — 137 settled fixtures, full return +3.8%, newest 30 % -2.1%, last 14 days -8.4%, last 30 days -3.4%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 137 | 70 | 51% | +5.23 | +3.8% | -2.1% | -8.4% | -3.4% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Shots · over · Match totalBet365925155%+6.54Not recommendedBet365 · Shots · over · Match totalNot recommendedResults92Won51Win rate55%Return (u)+6.54
Walk-forward rule record — 92 settled fixtures, full return +7.1%, newest 30 % -2.9%, last 14 days +0.3%, last 30 days +3.1%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 92 | 51 | 55% | +6.54 | +7.1% | -2.9% | +0.3% | +3.1% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Corners · over · Match totalBet36525513553%+12.19Not recommendedBet365 · Corners · over · Match totalNot recommendedResults255Won135Win rate53%Return (u)+12.19
Walk-forward rule record — 255 settled fixtures, full return +4.8%, newest 30 % -16.9%, last 14 days -14.7%, last 30 days -6.6%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 255 | 135 | 53% | +12.19 | +4.8% | -16.9% | -14.7% | -6.6% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
|---|
Shots · over · Home teamBet365694464%+16.18Not recommendedBet365 · Shots · over · Home teamNot recommendedResults69Won44Win rate64%Return (u)+16.18
Walk-forward rule record — 69 settled fixtures, full return +23.4%, newest 30 % -7.4%, last 14 days -7.1%, last 30 days +6.3%. There are enough results to evaluate this record.
This bookmaker’s overall record determines its tier until enough league results are available.
| record | Results | Won | Win rate | Return (u) | ROI | last 30 % | last 14 days | last 30 days | state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 · all leagues | 69 | 44 | 64% | +16.18 | +23.4% | -7.4% | -7.1% | +6.3% | Not recommended |
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| Fixture | Prediction | Actual | Status |
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How qualification works
A league’s own record decides its tier once it has 30 settled results. Before that, the same bookmaker’s overall market record is used.
A market pattern (“cell”) is a statistic, direction and scope, tracked separately for each bookmaker and league. Qualification needs at least 30 settled results, positive overall return, positive newest 30 %, and positive 14- and 30-day windows. Eligible patterns with at least 10% return qualify for VIP; other eligible positive patterns qualify for Free. These benchmark measurements select suggestions. The Predictions tab shows the single official result record of the actual recorded picks.