Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

PredictionsPredictions MonitoringMonitoring Player propsProps FantasyFantasy BenchmarksBenchmarks

11Free available5VIP available6Recorded Free2Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

8 picks shown with Bet365 prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.

Board

Matches

13 matches

10:45LillevGalatasarayUEFA Champions League1 pick· 0 available

Corners · Lille total

Open match →VIPIn play

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 44
Reconstructed matches: 44
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

Kickoff has passed; this is the recorded pre-match pick.

under 4.5

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0021 Oct, 10:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 51.2%
Break-even odds: 1.95
Expected value at recommendation: +2.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The combined model’s selected count distribution supplies the decision probability. Earlier bookmaker cell results select betting direction separately.

Model chance at recommendation 51.2% · Break-even odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +2.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 44 settled picksand +4.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.2%EV+2.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV+2.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV+0.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.89
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-3.1%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV+2.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV+2.6%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV+3.6%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 21 Oct, 10:00: under 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

12:00Levante UDvAthletic Club BilbaoLaLiga2 picks· 1 available

Corners · Athletic Club Bilbao total

Open match →FreeActive

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 55
Reconstructed matches: 55
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

Confirmed by the current model at a verified current price.

under 5.5

Bet365current suggestion

At recommendation1.7321 Oct, 11:31

Current odds1.7321 Oct, 11:30

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 62.8%
Break-even odds: 1.59
Current expected value: +8.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The combined model’s selected count distribution supplies the decision probability. Earlier bookmaker cell results select betting direction separately.

Current model chance 62.8% · Break-even odds 1.59. Current expected value: +8.4%.

This league is still collecting results. The bookmaker’s overall market record determines the tier. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365current suggestionCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation1.73
Current odds1.73
Unchanged
Model chance62.8%EV+8.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.8%EV+3.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.8%EV+0.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.56
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.8%EV-2.1%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.8%EV+3.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.8%EV+8.4%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.68
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.8%EV+5.5%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

Recommendation record

Recorded 21 Oct, 11:31: under 5.5 at 1.73 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Athletic Club Bilbao total

Open match →FreePrevious modelNo longer recommended

No longer qualifies in the evaluated publication snapshot

over 1.5

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0017 Oct, 06:58

Current odds2.1521 Oct, 11:37

Odds up+0.15

Model chance at recommendation: 55.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.81
Expected value at recommendation: +10.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +10.6%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 68 settled picksand +1.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Current odds2.15
Odds up+0.15
Model chance55.3%EV+10.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentover 1.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.5%EV+1.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveCurrentover 1.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.5%EV+4.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiCurrentover 1.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.5%EV+6.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentover 1.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.5%EV+4.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentover 1.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.27
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.5%EV+10.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 06:58: over 1.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 10:29. The original pick remains in the results.

1 additional VIP pick on this match.Unlock VIP details

13:00SportingvLASKUEFA Champions League1 pick· 1 available

Corners · Sporting total

Open match →FreeMonitoring

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 44
Reconstructed matches: 44
Lineup: Projected
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

Early Monitoring pick, also eligible for the bot feed. Awaiting final confirmation; it can change or be withdrawn.

under 6.5

Bet365Monitoring

At evaluation1.9121 Oct, 11:25

Current odds1.9121 Oct, 11:25

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 54.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Current expected value: +4.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Early selection with verified market terms and positive estimated value; awaiting final confirmation and official lineups.

Current model chance 54.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Current expected value: +4.4%.

Earlier matches select the direction; current odds determine whether this Monitoring pick qualifies. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365current suggestionCurrentunder 6.5
At evaluation1.91
Current odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance54.7%EV+4.4%

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

13:00FC Bayern MünchenvArsenalUEFA Champions League4 picks· 3 available

Corners · Arsenal total

Open match →FreeMonitoring

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 55
Reconstructed matches: 55
Lineup: Projected
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

Early Monitoring pick, also eligible for the bot feed. Awaiting final confirmation; it can change or be withdrawn.

under 3.5

Bet365Monitoring

At evaluation2.0021 Oct, 11:25

Current odds2.0021 Oct, 11:25

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 51.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Current expected value: +2.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Early selection with verified market terms and positive estimated value; awaiting final confirmation and official lineups.

Current model chance 51.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Current expected value: +2.4%.

Earlier matches select the direction; current odds determine whether this Monitoring pick qualifies. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365current suggestionCurrentunder 3.5
At evaluation2.00
Current odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance51.2%EV+2.4%

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

Corners · FC Bayern München total

Open match →FreeMonitoring

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 44
Reconstructed matches: 44
Lineup: Projected
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

Early Monitoring pick, also eligible for the bot feed. Awaiting final confirmation; it can change or be withdrawn.

under 5.5

Bet365Monitoring

At evaluation1.8021 Oct, 11:25

Current odds1.8021 Oct, 11:25

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 57.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.74
Current expected value: +3.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Early selection with verified market terms and positive estimated value; awaiting final confirmation and official lineups.

Current model chance 57.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Current expected value: +3.9%.

Earlier matches select the direction; current odds determine whether this Monitoring pick qualifies. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365current suggestionCurrentunder 5.5
At evaluation1.80
Current odds1.80
Unchanged
Model chance57.7%EV+3.9%

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeMonitoring

Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 10
Reconstructed matches: 10
Lineup: Projected
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

Early Monitoring pick, also eligible for the bot feed. Awaiting final confirmation; it can change or be withdrawn.

under 3.5

Bet365Monitoring

At evaluation1.6721 Oct, 11:25

Current odds1.6721 Oct, 11:25

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 60.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.67
Current expected value: +0.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Early selection with verified market terms and positive estimated value; awaiting final confirmation and official lineups.

Current model chance 60.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Current expected value: +0.2%.

Earlier matches select the direction; current odds determine whether this Monitoring pick qualifies. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365current suggestionCurrentunder 3.5
At evaluation1.67
Current odds1.67
Unchanged
Model chance60.1%EV+0.2%

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

Corners · FC Bayern München total

Open match →FreePrevious modelNo longer recommended

No longer qualifies in the evaluated publication snapshot

under 5.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9217 Oct, 19:20

Current odds1.6821 Oct, 11:23

Odds down−0.24

Model chance at recommendation: 59.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +14.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +14.1%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.92
Current odds1.68
Odds down−0.24
Model chance59.4%EV+14.1%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.7%EV+3.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.7%EV-1.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.7%EV-1.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.7%EV-1.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.7%EV-0.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.78
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.7%EV+2.8%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 19:20: under 5.5 at 1.92 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.

13:00Real BetisvFeyenoordUEFA Champions League1 pick· 0 available

Corners · Real Betis total

Open match →FreePrevious modelNo longer recommended

bookmaker_offer_missing_or_changed

over 5.5

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2516 Oct, 00:18

Current odds—

No current quote for this line

Model chance at recommendation: 58.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.70
Expected value at recommendation: +32.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 58.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +32.6%.

At recommendation, BetMGM UK’s overall market record had 92 settled picksand +3.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.25
Current odds—
No current quote for this line
Model chance58.9%EV+32.6%
Bet365Currentover 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.6%EV-6.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetCurrentover 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.6%EV-13.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiCurrentover 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.08
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.6%EV-7.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentover 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.6%EV-13.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerCurrentover 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.6%EV-10.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentover 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.6%EV-6.3%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 00:18: over 5.5 at 2.25 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 16 Oct, 06:15. The original pick remains in the results.

13:00Aston VillavViking FKUEFA Champions League1 pick· 0 available

Corners · Aston Villa total

Open match →FreePrevious modelNo longer recommended

No longer qualifies in the evaluated publication snapshot

under 6.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1817 Oct, 19:21

Current odds1.9521 Oct, 11:38

Odds down−0.23

Model chance at recommendation: 50.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.5
At recommendation2.18
Current odds1.95
Odds down−0.23
Model chance50.6%EV+10.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.3%EV-11.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveCurrentunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.3%EV-6.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetCurrentunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.3%EV-11.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.3%EV-4.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerCurrentunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.3%EV-6.9%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.3%EV-6.9%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 19:21: under 6.5 at 2.18 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.

1 additional VIP pick on this match.Unlock VIP details

13:00Real MadridvRB LeipzigUEFA Champions League1 VIP picks · unlock detailsUnlock VIP

16:00Montevideo City TorquevAtlético MineiroCONMEBOL Sudamericana2 picks· 1 available

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeMonitoring

Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 281
Reconstructed matches: 281
Lineup: Projected
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

Early Monitoring pick, also eligible for the bot feed. Awaiting final confirmation; it can change or be withdrawn.

under 2.5

Bet365Monitoring

At evaluation1.6721 Oct, 11:30

Current odds1.6721 Oct, 11:30

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 61.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.63
Current expected value: +2.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Early selection with verified market terms and positive estimated value; awaiting final confirmation and official lineups.

Current model chance 61.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.63. Current expected value: +2.9%.

Earlier matches select the direction; current odds determine whether this Monitoring pick qualifies. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365current suggestionCurrentunder 2.5
At evaluation1.67
Current odds1.67
Unchanged
Model chance61.7%EV+2.9%

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

Goals · Atlético Mineiro total

Open match →FreePrevious modelNo longer recommended

No longer qualifies in the evaluated publication snapshot

over 1.5

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1017 Oct, 07:00

Current odds2.2521 Oct, 11:39

Odds up+0.15

Model chance at recommendation: 55.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +16.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +16.9%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 68 settled picksand +1.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.10
Current odds2.25
Odds up+0.15
Model chance55.6%EV+16.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentover 1.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.4%EV+18.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveCurrentover 1.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.4%EV+6.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiCurrentover 1.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.4%EV+13.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentover 1.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.4%EV+6.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentover 1.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.42
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.4%EV+14.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 07:00: over 1.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 10:29. The original pick remains in the results.

1 additional VIP pick on this match.Unlock VIP details

17:00FC CincinnativDC UnitedMLS1 pick· 1 available

Corners · DC United total

Open match →FreeMonitoring

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 55
Reconstructed matches: 55
Lineup: Projected
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

Early Monitoring pick, also eligible for the bot feed. Awaiting final confirmation; it can change or be withdrawn.

under 4.5

Bet365Monitoring

At evaluation1.7321 Oct, 11:30

Current odds1.7321 Oct, 11:30

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 60.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.66
Current expected value: +4.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Early selection with verified market terms and positive estimated value; awaiting final confirmation and official lineups.

Current model chance 60.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.66. Current expected value: +4.5%.

Earlier matches select the direction; current odds determine whether this Monitoring pick qualifies. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365current suggestionCurrentunder 4.5
At evaluation1.73
Current odds1.73
Unchanged
Model chance60.5%EV+4.5%

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

18:30PalmeirasvFluminenseCONMEBOL Libertadores1 VIP picks · unlock detailsUnlock VIP

19:00Atlas FCvClub AméricaLiga MX, Apertura1 pick· 1 available

Corners · Atlas FC total

Open match →FreeMonitoring

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 44
Reconstructed matches: 44
Lineup: Projected
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

Early Monitoring pick, also eligible for the bot feed. Awaiting final confirmation; it can change or be withdrawn.

under 4.5

Bet365Monitoring

At evaluation1.8321 Oct, 11:25

Current odds1.8321 Oct, 11:25

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 54.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Current expected value: +0.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Early selection with verified market terms and positive estimated value; awaiting final confirmation and official lineups.

Current model chance 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Current expected value: +0.5%.

Earlier matches select the direction; current odds determine whether this Monitoring pick qualifies. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365current suggestionCurrentunder 4.5
At evaluation1.83
Current odds1.83
Unchanged
Model chance54.8%EV+0.5%

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

19:00CD TolucavClub TijuanaLiga MX, Apertura2 picks· 2 available

Corners · CD Toluca total

Open match →FreeMonitoring

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 44
Reconstructed matches: 44
Lineup: Projected
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

Early Monitoring pick, also eligible for the bot feed. Awaiting final confirmation; it can change or be withdrawn.

under 6.5

Bet365Monitoring

At evaluation1.8321 Oct, 11:30

Current odds1.8321 Oct, 11:30

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 54.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Current expected value: +0.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Early selection with verified market terms and positive estimated value; awaiting final confirmation and official lineups.

Current model chance 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Current expected value: +0.6%.

Earlier matches select the direction; current odds determine whether this Monitoring pick qualifies. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365current suggestionCurrentunder 6.5
At evaluation1.83
Current odds1.83
Unchanged
Model chance54.9%EV+0.6%

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeMonitoring

Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 281
Reconstructed matches: 281
Lineup: Projected
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

Early Monitoring pick, also eligible for the bot feed. Awaiting final confirmation; it can change or be withdrawn.

under 3.5

Bet365Monitoring

At evaluation1.8321 Oct, 11:30

Current odds1.8321 Oct, 11:30

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 54.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Current expected value: +0.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Early selection with verified market terms and positive estimated value; awaiting final confirmation and official lineups.

Current model chance 54.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Current expected value: +0.2%.

Earlier matches select the direction; current odds determine whether this Monitoring pick qualifies. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365current suggestionCurrentunder 3.5
At evaluation1.83
Current odds1.83
Unchanged
Model chance54.7%EV+0.2%

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

21:10CF PachucavCruz AzulLiga MX, Apertura1 pick· 1 available

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeMonitoring

Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 281
Reconstructed matches: 281
Lineup: Projected
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

Early Monitoring pick, also eligible for the bot feed. Awaiting final confirmation; it can change or be withdrawn.

under 3.5

Bet365Monitoring

At evaluation1.5721 Oct, 11:30

Current odds1.5721 Oct, 11:30

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 64.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.56
Current expected value: +1.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Early selection with verified market terms and positive estimated value; awaiting final confirmation and official lineups.

Current model chance 64.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.56. Current expected value: +1.1%.

Earlier matches select the direction; current odds determine whether this Monitoring pick qualifies. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365current suggestionCurrentunder 3.5
At evaluation1.57
Current odds1.57
Unchanged
Model chance64.4%EV+1.1%

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

Selected day

Wed, 21 Oct 2026

Recorded results · all bookmaker options

No settled results yet. 2 active suggestions across 13 listed matches.

All dates

Overall results

5,460 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 20 Oct 2026.

ROI+2.6%

Profit+143.69 u

W / L2,705 / 2,755

Avg odds2.13

How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

Predictions

Matches

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Goals · match total

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Goals · match total

Goals · Atlético Mineiro total

Corners · DC United total

Corners · Atlas FC total

Corners · CD Toluca total

Goals · match total

Goals · match total

Wed, 21 Oct 2026

Overall results

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