Predictions
Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
20 picks shown with Bet365 prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.
Board
Matches
AbhavAl-KholoodSaudi Pro League2 picks· 0 available
The fixture or result requires review.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 52.0%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.93
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 52.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +1.3%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 62 settled picksand +3.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
Model chance52.0%EV+1.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.95Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.047 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.856 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.856 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.856 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.856 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.916 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.991 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.977 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 16 Oct, 20:18: under 2.5 at 1.95 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 00:49. The original pick remains in the results.
The fixture or result requires review.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 53.5%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.87
- Expected value at recommendation
- +17.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +17.7%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 62 settled picksand +0.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365At recommendationover 1.5
Model chance53.5%EV+17.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.20Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance53.5%EV+9.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.05Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance53.5%EV+9.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.05Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance53.5%EV+17.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.20Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance33.4%EV-25.4%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.234 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance33.4%EV-31.4%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.055 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 06:20: over 1.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 12:03. The original pick remains in the results.
MonzavCagliariSerie A0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 51.7%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.94
- Expected value at recommendation
- +4.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 51.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +4.5%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 58 settled picksand +5.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
Model chance51.7%EV+4.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.02Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.101 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.052 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.003 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.124 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.003 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 07:42: under 3.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 11:34. The original pick remains in the results.
TrabzonsporvBeşiktaşTrendyol Süper Lig1 won / 1 lost · +0.16u · 2 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 57.7%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.74
- Expected value at recommendation
- +24.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 57.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +24.7%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 183 settled picksand +1.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
Model chance57.7%EV+24.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.16Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.911 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.955 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.804 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.955 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.927 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 11:00: under 4.5 at 2.16 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 15:02. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 66.5%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.51
- Expected value at recommendation
- +24.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 66.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +24.9%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 61 settled picksand +0.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance66.5%EV+19.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance66.5%EV+24.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.88Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.915 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.755 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.863 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.805 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 13:39: over 1.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 14:35. The original pick remains in the results.
Al-HilalvAl-HazemSaudi Pro League1 won / 0 lost · +1.00u · 1 pick
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 51.6%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.94
- Expected value at recommendation
- +3.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +3.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 61 settled picksand +1.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
Model chance51.6%EV+3.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.429 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.157 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.157 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.257 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.158 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.255 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.327 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 16 Oct, 18:50: under 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 00:50. The original pick remains in the results.
ParmavTorinoSerie A0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 65.9%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.52
- Expected value at recommendation
- +38.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 65.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +38.4%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance65.9%EV+38.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.10Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.905 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.905 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.905 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.9511 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 12 Oct, 18:42: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 12:47. The original pick remains in the results.
Rodez AFvMontpellierLigue 21 won / 0 lost · +1.02u · 1 pick
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 62.5%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.61
- Expected value at recommendation
- +26.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 62.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +26.2%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 62 settled picksand +0.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365At recommendationover 1.5
Model chance61.8%EV+17.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.91Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance62.5%EV+18.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.90Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance62.5%EV+18.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.90Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance62.5%EV+18.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.90Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance62.5%EV+26.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.02Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.903 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 06:20: over 1.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
SarmientovBarracas CentralLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 won / 3 lost · −2.54u · 5 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 53.8%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.86
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 53.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +2.7%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
Model chance53.8%EV+2.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.91Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiAt recommendationover 8.5
Model chance53.8%EV+1.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.89Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.758 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.756 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.755 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.8311 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 13 Oct, 00:06: over 8.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 06:18. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 92.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.08
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 92.3% · Break-even odds 1.08. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 16 settled picksand +10.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 0.5
Model chance92.3%EV+1.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.10Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.081 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.136 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.086 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.086 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.106 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.088 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.075 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 19 Oct, 15:23: over 0.5 at 1.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 77.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.29
- Expected value at recommendation
- +5.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 77.3% · Break-even odds 1.29. Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +13.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 0.5
Model chance77.3%EV+5.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.36Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.324 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.324 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.304 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.324 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.365 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 19 Oct, 15:23: over 0.5 at 1.36 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 3.1%
- Break-even odds
- 32.44
- Expected value at recommendation
- +26.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 3.1% · Break-even odds 32.44. Expected value at recommendation: +26.4%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +209.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance3.1%EV+26.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation41.00Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds8.204 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds8.204 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds8.204 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds28.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 19 Oct, 15:23: over 3.5 at 41.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 19 Oct, 15:33. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 51.5%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.95
- Expected value at recommendation
- +5.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 51.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +5.6%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 145 settled picksand +0.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
Model chance51.5%EV+5.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.05Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 11.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.801 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.703 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 07:42: under 11.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Newell's Old BoysvCentral CórdobaLiga Profesional de Fútbol0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 2.5%
- Break-even odds
- 40.18
- Expected value at recommendation
- +26.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 2.5% · Break-even odds 40.18. Expected value at recommendation: +26.9%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +209.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance2.5%EV+26.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation51.00Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds8.204 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds8.204 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds50.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 19 Oct, 15:33: over 3.5 at 51.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
GoiásvNáuticoBrasileirão Série B0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 54.8%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.83
- Expected value at recommendation
- +6.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +6.9%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
Model chance54.8%EV+6.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.95Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.001 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.003 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.953 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.003 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.053 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 18:05: under 5.5 at 1.95 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 05:54. The original pick remains in the results.
Deportivo RiestravClub Atlético Unión de Santa FeLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 won / 2 lost · −1.29u · 5 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 93.5%
- Break-even odds
- 1.07
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 93.5% · Break-even odds 1.07. Expected value at recommendation: +2.9%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 67 settled picksand +6.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 0.5
Model chance93.5%EV+2.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.10Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.081 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.126 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.086 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.086 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.115 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.0810 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.065 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 19 Oct, 17:46: over 0.5 at 1.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 19 Oct, 18:14. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 80.5%
- Break-even odds
- 1.24
- Expected value at recommendation
- +4.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 80.5% · Break-even odds 1.24. Expected value at recommendation: +4.6%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 76 settled picksand +6.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 0.5
Model chance80.5%EV+4.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.30Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.295 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.294 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.304 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.285 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.325 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 19 Oct, 17:46: over 0.5 at 1.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 19 Oct, 18:14. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 77.6%
- Break-even odds
- 1.29
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 77.6% · Break-even odds 1.29. Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 17 settled picksand +4.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 0.5
Model chance77.6%EV+1.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.31Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.305 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.295 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.294 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.304 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.285 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 19 Oct, 17:46: over 0.5 at 1.31 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 19 Oct, 18:14. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 3.8%
- Break-even odds
- 26.24
- Expected value at recommendation
- +56.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 3.8% · Break-even odds 26.24. Expected value at recommendation: +56.3%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 87 settled picksand +58.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance3.8%EV+56.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation41.00Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds8.204 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds8.204 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds8.204 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds32.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 19 Oct, 17:46: over 3.5 at 41.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 19 Oct, 18:14. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 64.1%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.57
- Expected value at recommendation
- +31.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 64.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +31.4%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 145 settled picksand +0.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
Model chance64.1%EV+31.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.05Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 11.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.911 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.753 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 07:42: under 11.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Selected day
Mon, 19 Oct 2026
All dates
Overall results
One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 20 Oct 2026.
How to read this board
A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.
Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.
Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.
Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.
Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.