Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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Bookmakers, markets and sorting

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

15 picks shown with Bet365 prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.

Board

Matches

14 matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürthv1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga1 historical estimate

Corners · SpVgg Greuther Fürth total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance57.4%EV+17.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance57.4%EV+17.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance57.4%EV+14.7%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance57.4%EV+11.9%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance57.4%EV+9.5%
Stade de ReimsvMontpellierLigue 21 historical estimate

Corners · Stade de Reims total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance52.9%EV+8.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance52.9%EV+8.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance52.9%EV+8.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance52.9%EV+5.8%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance52.9%EV+0.9%
Stade LavalloisvSochauxLigue 21 historical estimate

Corners · Stade Lavallois total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.6%EV+12.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.6%EV+12.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance53.6%EV+10.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance53.6%EV+8.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.6%EV+7.3%
FC GroningenvPEC ZwolleEredivisie1 historical estimate

Goals · PEC Zwolle total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 1.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.63
Closing odds2.63

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 1.5
    Reference odds2.63
    Closing odds2.63
    Model chance60.2%EV+57.9%
FC Rapid BucureștivFC Argeș PiteștiRomanian Super Liga1 historical estimate

Goals · FC Argeș Pitești total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 0.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 0.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance54.4%EV+3.8%
Albacete BalompiévCórdobaLaLiga 21 historical estimate

Corners · Albacete Balompié total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.4%EV+12.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.4%EV+6.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.4%EV+6.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.4%EV+6.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.4%EV+4.2%
FC Bayern Münchenv1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga1 historical estimate

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 33.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.40
Closing odds2.40

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 33.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance52.9%EV+27.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 33.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance52.9%EV+21.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 33.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance52.9%EV+16.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 33.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance52.9%EV+16.4%
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 31.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance64.5%EV+23.1%
AS MonacovRC LensLigue 11 historical estimate

Corners · AS Monaco total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.4%EV+7.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance51.4%EV+5.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance51.4%EV+3.8%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.4%EV+2.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance51.4%EV+0.2%
EspanyolvElcheLaLiga2 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 24.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance50.9%EV+19.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance50.9%EV+19.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance50.9%EV+17.1%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance50.9%EV+4.3%
  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance64.6%EV+29.3%

Shots · Espanyol total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 14.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.8%EV+5.0%
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance53.8%EV+2.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance53.8%EV+2.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance53.8%EV+2.3%
BrentfordvChelseaPremier League1 historical estimate

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 27.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.6%EV+5.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.6%EV+5.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.6%EV+4.3%
  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance58.2%EV+16.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance58.2%EV+7.7%
Bristol CityvWatfordChampionship1 historical estimate

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance56.5%EV+7.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance56.5%EV+1.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance56.5%EV+1.6%
Central CórdobavDefensa y JusticiaLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 historical estimate

Corners · Central Córdoba total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.5%EV+13.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance56.5%EV+10.2%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance56.5%EV+10.2%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance56.5%EV+7.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance56.5%EV+7.4%
Club PueblavAtlante FCLiga MX, Apertura1 historical estimate

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 28.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance66.6%EV+27.2%
FC JuárezvTigres UANLLiga MX, Apertura1 historical estimate

Shots on target · FC Juárez total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 3.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.5%EV+4.3%
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance53.5%EV+2.1%

Selected day

Fri, 18 Sept 2026

Recorded results · all bookmaker options

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

15 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

5,458 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 20 Oct 2026.

ROI+2.6%
Profit+143.96 u
W / L2,704 / 2,754
Avg odds2.13
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

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