Troyes vs Olympique de Marseille — Ligue 1

Ligue 1Ligue 1 26/27

Troyes

0–2

HT 0–0

Olympique de Marseille

Sun 11 Oct··Matchday 6·Stade de l'Aube·Olympique de Marseille won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 6Corners3
  • 4Cards1
  • 15Shots5
  • 3Shots on target2
  • 14Fouls15
  • 15Throw-ins16
  • 2Offsides2
  • 1Goal kicks8
  • 0Saves3
  • 17Tackles14
  • 10Interceptions8
  • 5Dribbles5
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available9Recorded Free4Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
TroyesvOlympique de MarseilleLigue 13 won / 10 lost · −7.04u · 13 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds1.97
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
66.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.50
Expected value at recommendation
+31.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 66.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +31.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation1.84
    Closing odds1.84
    Unchanged
    Model chance66.7%EV+22.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.84Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+22.7%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Unchanged
    Model chance66.8%EV+31.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds14.00Closing chance estimate5.4%Closing EV estimate−24.0%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds5.55Closing chance estimate21.2%Closing EV estimate+17.9%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate44.3%Closing EV estimate+30.6%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+31.3%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+21.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate97.1%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate99.0%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.7%EV+33.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:16

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+33.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.7%EV+26.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate21.2%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate44.3%Closing EV estimate+30.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.7%EV+23.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate21.2%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate44.3%Closing EV estimate+26.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+23.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.7%EV+22.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate44.3%Closing EV estimate+21.8%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.7%EV+26.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate21.2%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate44.3%Closing EV estimate+30.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 10:47: under 3.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Troyes total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.96
Closing odds1.95
Odds down−0.01
Model chance at recommendation
59.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.68
Expected value at recommendation
+17.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +17.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Unchanged
    Model chance60.4%EV+11.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+17.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate86.2%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.90
    Odds down−0.10
    Model chance60.8%EV+21.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate86.2%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.96
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds down−0.01
    Model chance59.8%EV+17.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate86.2%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds1.80
    Odds down−0.30
    Model chance60.8%EV+27.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate86.2%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds2.07
    Odds up+0.05
    Model chance59.8%EV+20.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate27.8%Closing EV estimate+34.9%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+31.2%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate86.2%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 13:47: under 1.5 at 1.96 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Olympique de Marseille total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.02
Odds up+0.02
Model chance at recommendation
53.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.87
Expected value at recommendation
+7.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +7.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.4%EV+2.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Unchanged
    Model chance53.6%EV+1.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.02
    Odds up+0.02
    Model chance53.6%EV+7.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds up+0.10
    Model chance53.6%EV+1.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds2.17
    Odds up+0.22
    Model chance53.6%EV+4.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate19.5%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 13:47: under 1.5 at 2.00 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 9+0.91u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.73
Odds down−0.18
Model chance at recommendation
64.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.57
Expected value at recommendation
+22.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 64.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +22.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.73
    Odds down−0.18
    Model chance64.0%EV+22.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.4%EV-0.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate48.2%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate26.5%Closing EV estimate−11.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate18.3%Closing EV estimate−17.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate12.0%Closing EV estimate−26.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.4%EV-0.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate95.2%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate48.2%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate26.5%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate18.3%Closing EV estimate−13.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate12.0%Closing EV estimate−21.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.68
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.4%EV+1.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.14Closing chance estimate48.2%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate26.5%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate18.3%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.4%EV-0.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate48.2%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.4%EV+5.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.4%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin3.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin4.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate95.2%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin6.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate48.2%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate26.5%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate18.3%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds6.40Closing chance estimate12.0%Closing EV estimate−22.9%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds8.70Closing chance estimate7.6%Closing EV estimate−33.9%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate4.6%Closing EV estimate−45.0%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds18.00Closing chance estimate2.7%Closing EV estimate−52.1%margin4.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 8.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 09:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Olympique de Marseille total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.83
Odds down−0.17
Model chance at recommendation
61.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.63
Expected value at recommendation
+22.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +22.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.17
    Model chance61.5%EV+22.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate56.0%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.0%EV-4.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate56.0%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate39.1%Closing EV estimate−10.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate−12.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.0%EV-2.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate56.0%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate39.1%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.79
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.0%EV+0.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.79Closing chance estimate56.0%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.43Closing chance estimate39.1%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate−16.7%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate14.5%Closing EV estimate−30.3%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.0%EV-4.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate56.0%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate39.1%Closing EV estimate−8.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.87
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.0%EV+4.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.2%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin3.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.6%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate56.0%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate39.1%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate14.5%Closing EV estimate−23.1%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds7.80Closing chance estimate7.8%Closing EV estimate−39.2%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate3.9%Closing EV estimate−53.4%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds19.00Closing chance estimate1.8%Closing EV estimate−65.7%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 23.5Actual: 29−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds2.07
Odds up+0.12
Model chance at recommendation
58.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.72
Expected value at recommendation
+14.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +14.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 23.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.7%EV+3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 20.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate31.1%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 21.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate46.6%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate75.4%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 23.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.6%EV+2.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 20.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate31.1%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 21.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate46.6%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate75.4%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 23.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds2.07
    Odds up+0.12
    Model chance58.5%EV+14.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 23.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV-2.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 20.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate31.1%Closing EV estimate−8.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 21.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate46.6%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate75.4%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 13:47: under 23.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds2.02
Odds up+0.05
Model chance at recommendation
61.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.64
Expected value at recommendation
+20.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +20.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.1%EV+29.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate69.5%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate60.1%Closing EV estimate+29.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate50.4%Closing EV estimate+36.0%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
    At recommendation1.97
    Closing odds2.02
    Odds up+0.05
    Model chance61.0%EV+20.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 15.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate60.1%Closing EV estimate+21.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.1%EV+32.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate69.5%Closing EV estimate+28.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate60.1%Closing EV estimate+32.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate50.4%Closing EV estimate+38.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.1%EV+29.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate69.5%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate60.1%Closing EV estimate+29.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate50.4%Closing EV estimate+33.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate40.8%Closing EV estimate+40.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 15.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Troyes total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds2.20
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
56.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.79
Expected value at recommendation
+26.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +26.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Unchanged
    Model chance61.0%EV+34.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds2.20
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance56.1%EV+26.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance47.9%EV+5.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.12
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance47.9%EV+1.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 8.5 at 2.25 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 12:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 28.5Actual: 20−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.32
Closing odds2.30
Odds down−0.02
Model chance at recommendation
56.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.78
Expected value at recommendation
+30.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +30.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
    At recommendation2.32
    Closing odds2.30
    Odds down−0.02
    Model chance56.4%EV+30.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 25.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+22.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.4%EV+33.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 22.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate86.5%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+29.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+33.5%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate47.0%Closing EV estimate+43.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate40.7%Closing EV estimate+40.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.4%EV+33.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 11:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 23.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+25.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+28.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+33.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate47.0%Closing EV estimate+38.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.4%EV+22.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 23.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+18.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+22.8%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate47.0%Closing EV estimate+33.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.4%EV+28.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 23.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+18.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+28.2%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate47.0%Closing EV estimate+33.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 13:47: over 28.5 at 2.32 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Troyes total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 15+1.05u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds1.94
Odds down−0.11
Model chance at recommendation
72.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.38
Expected value at recommendation
+49.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 72.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.38. Expected value at recommendation: +49.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance72.0%EV+44.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate+41.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds1.97
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance72.0%EV+45.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate+39.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds1.94
    Odds down−0.11
    Model chance72.8%EV+49.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+30.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.94Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate+37.3%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.45
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance70.8%EV+2.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.45Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate51.1%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.48
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance70.8%EV+4.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 11:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.48Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate51.1%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.45
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance70.8%EV+2.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.45Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate51.1%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance70.8%EV+29.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate91.8%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+23.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate+29.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+32.7%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate51.1%Closing EV estimate+33.9%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+32.1%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate32.2%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 13:47: over 11.5 at 2.05 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Olympique de Marseille total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.93
Odds up+0.03
Model chance at recommendation
54.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.83
Expected value at recommendation
+4.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +4.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 15.5
    At recommendation2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Unchanged
    Model chance54.4%EV+55.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate74.9%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+25.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.85Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate+35.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.93
    Odds up+0.03
    Model chance54.9%EV+4.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.68Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.93Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate−15.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.97
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance47.6%EV-6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance47.6%EV+31.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 11:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate74.9%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+25.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate+31.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance47.6%EV+2.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate74.9%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+25.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.22
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance47.6%EV+5.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate74.9%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.22Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:18: over 15.5 at 1.90 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
51.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.94
Expected value at recommendation
+3.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +3.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance51.8%EV+3.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate74.9%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.5%EV-5.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.5%EV+3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate74.9%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.5%EV+8.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate74.9%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.5%EV+3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate74.9%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate20.4%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.5%EV+8.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate91.4%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate74.9%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.72Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate20.4%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate13.6%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 10:47: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Troyes total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds1.73
Odds down−0.37
Model chance at recommendation
69.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.45
Expected value at recommendation
+45.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 69.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.45. Expected value at recommendation: +45.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds1.73
    Odds down−0.37
    Model chance69.1%EV+45.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate60.9%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.87
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.04
    Model chance69.9%EV+30.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate60.9%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.9%EV+9.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate60.9%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.9%EV+12.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate60.9%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.9%EV+12.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate60.9%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate+19.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.9%EV+12.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate60.9%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.71
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.9%EV+4.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate92.0%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.71Closing chance estimate60.9%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.42Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate25.9%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate14.4%Closing EV estimate−19.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 12:51: over 3.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−54.2%ROI · 13 units staked
Profit−7.04units
W / L3 / 10picks
Avg odds2.03settled picks
Recorded picks131 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 1Home teamTroyesAway teamOlympique de MarseilleRefereeGuillaume Paradis

Previous meetings

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