Sweden vs Poland 3-1 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Sweden

3–1

HT 1–1

Poland

Mon 28 Sep·12:45·Matchday 2·Friends Arena·Sweden won

OverviewOverview OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

Priced Not priced

Bookmaker

Goals

Corners

Cards

Shots

Shots on target

Fouls

Throw-ins

Offsides

Goal kicks

Saves

Tackles

Interceptions

Dribbles

Clearances

Free kicks

Edge

badagbetModel13/15 markets · 1142 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

n/a

Crocobet9/15 markets · 346 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

12.0

Betlive8/15 markets · 473 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

12.0

Liderbet8/15 markets · 311 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

12.2

Kambi7/15 markets · 189 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

11.8

Kambi

7 of 15 markets · 189 prices

Corners

Most corners1X2

	Sweden	Draw	Poland
	1.66	7.00	2.55

Total cornersO/U

	Over	Under
6.5	1.15	4.40
7.5	1.30	3.05
8.5	1.55	2.25
9.5	1.90	1.79
10.5	2.43	1.48
11.5	3.15	1.30
12.5	4.25	1.16
13.5	5.80	1.08

Corners handicap

	Sweden	Poland
-4/+4	3.80	1.27
-3/+3	3.00	1.42
-2/+2	2.40	1.65
-1/+1	1.95	1.98
+1/-1	1.40	3.10
+2/-2	1.24	4.10

Team total corners· Sweden

	Over	Under
2.5	1.11	5.00
3.5	1.29	3.10
4.5	1.60	2.10
5.5	2.10	1.61
6.5	2.85	1.33
7.5	3.95	1.18

Team total corners· Poland

	Over	Under
2.5	1.26	3.30
3.5	1.61	2.10
4.5	2.20	1.55
5.5	3.15	1.28
6.5	4.60	1.13

Cards

Most cards1X2

	Sweden	Draw	Poland
	2.60	3.50	1.96

Total cardsO/U

	Over	Under
2.5	1.42	2.60
3.5	1.97	1.72
4.5	2.90	1.34
5.5	3.35	1.26

Cards handicap

	Sweden	Poland
-1/+1	4.80	3.25
+1/-1	1.64	1.35

Team total cards· Sweden

	Over	Under
1.5	1.92	1.73
2.5	2.95	1.30

Team total cards· Poland

	Over	Under
1.5	1.62	2.08
2.5	2.80	1.34

Shots on target

Most shots on target1X2

	Sweden	Draw	Poland
	1.58	6.00	2.65

Total shots on targetO/U

	Over	Under
6.5	1.16	3.85
7.5	1.34	2.70
8.5	1.62	2.02
9.5	2.06	1.60
10.5	2.70	1.35
11.5	3.70	1.18

Team total shots on target· Sweden

	Over	Under
3.5	1.23	3.10
4.5	1.56	2.02
5.5	2.15	1.49
6.5	3.10	1.23
7.5	4.60	1.08

Team total shots on target· Poland

	Over	Under
2.5	1.21	3.20
3.5	1.60	1.95
4.5	2.30	1.42
5.5	3.60	1.17

Shots

Total shotsO/U

	Over	Under
21.5	1.37	2.65
22.5	1.52	2.23
23.5	1.70	1.92
24.5	1.92	1.70
25.5	2.23	1.52
26.5	2.60	1.37
27.5	3.05	1.27

Team total shots· Sweden

	Over	Under
12.5	1.62	1.92
13.5	1.90	1.64
14.5	2.28	1.44

Team total shots· Poland

	Over	Under
9.5	1.52	2.10
10.5	1.80	1.72
11.5	2.18	1.48

Fouls

Total foulsO/U

	Over	Under
27.5	1.41	2.41
28.5	1.56	2.07
29.5	1.73	1.83
30.5	1.95	1.63
31.5	2.23	1.48

Team total fouls· Sweden

	Over	Under
13.5	1.53	2.12
14.5	1.80	1.76
15.5	2.15	1.52

Team total fouls· Poland

	Over	Under
14.5	1.62	1.97
15.5	1.91	1.66
16.5	2.30	1.45

Offsides

Total offsidesO/U

	Over	Under
3.5	1.47	2.25
4.5	1.96	1.63
5.5	2.75	1.31

Team total offsides· Sweden

	Over	Under
1.5	1.28	2.91
2.5	1.97	1.62

Team total offsides· Poland

	Over	Under
1.5	1.42	2.38
2.5	2.32	1.44

Saves

Total savesO/U

	Over	Under
4.5	1.30	2.81
5.5	1.61	1.99
6.5	2.10	1.54
7.5	2.88	1.29

Team total saves· Sweden

	Over	Under
2.5	1.78	1.78
3.5	2.75	1.31

Team total saves· Poland

	Over	Under
2.5	1.49	2.20
3.5	2.10	1.54
4.5	3.15	1.24

Superbet7/15 markets · 183 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

7.7

Bet3655/15 markets · 64 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

7.1

BetMGM UK5/15 markets · 28 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

10.0

Paddy Power3/15 markets · 42 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

8.9

Betfair Exchange1/15 markets · 58 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

0.9

Pinnacle1/15 markets · 10 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

4.3

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Nations League Home teamSweden Away teamPoland

Kambi

Corners

Cards

Shots on target

Shots

Fouls

Offsides

Saves

Around this match

Previous meetings

On this page

This category

StatsGem

Bro VIP · Beta

Football intelligence, with your VIP.

What are we exploring, bro?