Stade de Reims vs Dijon 4-2 — Ligue 2

Ligue 2Ligue 2 26/27

Stade de Reims

4–2

HT 3–1

Dijon

Fri 16 Oct·12:00·Matchday 9·Stade Auguste Delaune·Stade de Reims won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners5
0Cards1
12Shots13
7Shots on target4
13Fouls21
22Throw-ins21
1Offsides1
6Goal kicks4
2Saves3
21Tackles26
18Interceptions8
12Dribbles11

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Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:00Stade de ReimsvDijonLigue 21 won / 1 lost · +0.20u · 2 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9114 Oct, 00:33

Closing odds1.9116 Oct, 11:15

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 53.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +2.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +2.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 212 settled picksand +12.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance53.5%EV+2.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 11:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 11:15
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.6%EV-2.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 12:20
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.6%EV+0.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 05:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate93.6%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 04:17
- over 5.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:32
- over 6.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:32
- over 7.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:32
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:07
- over 9.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate43.5%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:32
- over 10.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate32.4%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:32
- over 11.5odds4.05Closing chance estimate23.0%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:32
- over 12.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate15.5%Closing EV estimate−14.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:32
- over 13.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate10.0%Closing EV estimate−28.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:07
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.6%EV-5.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 05:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:02
- over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:02
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:02
- over 9.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate43.5%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:02
- over 10.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate32.4%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:02
KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.6%EV-2.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 22:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 06:20
- over 9.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate43.5%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 22:02
- over 10.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate32.4%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 06:20
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.6%EV+0.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 11:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate93.6%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 04:37
- over 5.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 11:03
- over 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 11:03
- over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 11:03
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 11:03
- over 9.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate43.5%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 11:03
- over 10.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate32.4%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 11:03
- over 11.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate23.0%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 11:03
- over 12.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate15.5%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 11:03
- over 13.5odds8.15Closing chance estimate10.0%Closing EV estimate−18.6%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 11:03
SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.6%EV+5.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 14 Oct, 14:54
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.3%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 4.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate93.6%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 5.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 6.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 7.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 9.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate43.5%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 10.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate32.4%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 11.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate23.0%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 12.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate15.5%Closing EV estimate−14.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 13.5odds7.40Closing chance estimate10.0%Closing EV estimate−26.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 00:33: over 8.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 23:34. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Dijon total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 5+1.20u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2012 Oct, 18:42

Closing odds2.2014 Oct, 00:15

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 57.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +25.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +25.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance57.0%EV+25.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 14 Oct, 00:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+31.9%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 00:15
KambiAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds1.85
Odds down−0.03
Model chance57.0%EV+7.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 22:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 22:02
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.0%EV+10.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 23:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 23:15
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.0%EV+16.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 05:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate89.0%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:07
- over 2.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:07
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:07
- over 4.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+32.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:07
- over 5.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate30.1%Closing EV estimate+50.6%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:07
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.0%EV+16.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 05:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:02
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:02
- over 4.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+30.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:02
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.0%EV+16.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 11:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate89.0%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 11:03
- over 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 11:03
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 11:03
- over 4.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+36.7%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 11:03
- over 5.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate30.1%Closing EV estimate+62.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 11:03
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.0%EV+28.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 14 Oct, 14:54
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate97.1%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 1.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate89.0%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 2.5odds1.54Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+28.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 4.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+41.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 5.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate30.1%Closing EV estimate+47.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54
- over 6.5odds7.50Closing chance estimate19.1%Closing EV estimate+43.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 14:54

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 18:42: over 3.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:15. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+10.0%ROI · 2 units staked

Profit+0.20units

W / L1 / 1picks

Avg odds2.05settled picks

Recorded picks21 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 2 Home teamStade de Reims Away teamDijon RefereeEddy Rosier

Match overview

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