Sporting Braga vs Gil Vicente 1-2 — Liga Portugal Betclic

Liga Portugal BetclicLiga Portugal 26/27

Sporting Braga

1–2

HT 1–0

Gil Vicente

Mon 19 Oct·13:15·Matchday 2·Estádio Municipal de Braga·Gil Vicente won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

4Corners1
3Cards3
18Shots10
6Shots on target4
13Fouls9
25Throw-ins17
2Offsides1
6Goal kicks6
3Saves5
8Tackles14
9Interceptions16
3Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

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Matches

1 match

13:15Sporting BragavGil VicenteLiga Portugal Betclic1 won / 1 lost · +0.30u · 2 picks

Corners · Sporting Braga total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 4+1.30u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3017 Oct, 06:55

Closing odds2.2519 Oct, 12:33

Odds down−0.05

Model chance at recommendation: 53.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +23.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +23.2%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 180 settled picksand +1.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds2.25
Odds down−0.05
Model chance53.6%EV+23.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 19 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.4%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:33
- under 5.5odds1.74Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:33
- under 6.5odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.9%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:33
- under 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:33
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 19 Oct, 07:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds4.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 07:03
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 07:03
- under 5.5odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 07:03
- under 6.5odds1.43Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 07:03
- under 7.5odds1.21Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 07:03
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 05:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 05:35
- under 5.5odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 05:35
- under 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 05:35
- under 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 05:35
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 19 Oct, 12:17
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds4.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:17
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.7%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:17
- under 5.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:17
- under 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.1%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:17
- under 7.5odds1.19Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:17
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 19 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds6.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:33
- under 3.5odds3.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:33
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:33
- under 5.5odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:33
- under 6.5odds1.52Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:33
- under 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:33
- under 8.5odds1.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 18:22

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 06:55: under 4.5 at 2.30 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 05:54. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Gil Vicente total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0218 Oct, 13:16

Closing odds2.1019 Oct, 13:06

Odds up+0.08

Model chance at recommendation: 50.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 58 settled picksand +5.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds2.10
Odds up+0.08
Model chance50.3%EV+1.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 19 Oct, 13:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds8.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.9%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 13:06
- under 1.5odds3.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.7%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 13:06
- under 2.5odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 13:06
- under 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.5%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 13:06
- under 4.5odds1.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 13:06
- under 5.5odds1.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:33
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 19 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 03:03
- under 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 03:03
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 19 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds3.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.2%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 03:33
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.5%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 03:33
- under 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 03:33
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 19 Oct, 12:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:03
- under 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.1%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:16: under 2.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 15:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+15.0%ROI · 2 units staked

Profit+0.30units

W / L1 / 1picks

Avg odds2.16settled picks

Recorded picks21 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLiga Portugal Betclic Home teamSporting Braga Away teamGil Vicente RefereeFabio Jose Costa Verissimo

Match overview

Matches

Corners · Sporting Braga total

Shots on target · Gil Vicente total

This match

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