ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart 0-3 — UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 26/27

ŠK Slovan Bratislava

0–3

HT 0–1

VfB Stuttgart

Wed 14 Oct·13:00·Matchday 2·Tehelne Pole Stadion, Bratislava·VfB Stuttgart won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

1Corners8
1Cards3
15Shots16
1Shots on target8
11Fouls15
8Throw-ins14
1Offsides2
11Goal kicks10
6Saves1
10Tackles15
12Interceptions5
8Dribbles3

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

13:00ŠK Slovan BratislavavVfB StuttgartUEFA Champions League8 won / 4 lost · +3.71u · 12 picks

Cards · VfB Stuttgart total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8514 Oct, 01:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.85
Expected value at recommendation: +0.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +0.2%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 115 settled picksand +4.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.2%EV+0.2%

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 01:18: under 1.5 at 1.85 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Corners · ŠK Slovan Bratislava total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 1+0.95u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9514 Oct, 01:13

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +5.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +5.2%.

At recommendation, Paddy Power’s overall market record had 92 settled picksand +0.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.9%EV+5.2%

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 01:13: under 3.5 at 1.95 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 03:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · ŠK Slovan Bratislava total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 11.5Actual: 11+0.95u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9513 Oct, 13:12

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 67.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.49
Expected value at recommendation: +31.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 67.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +31.4%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 97 settled picksand +14.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance67.4%EV+31.4%

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 13:12: under 11.5 at 1.95 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 16:52. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · ŠK Slovan Bratislava total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 8.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2514 Oct, 07:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +13.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +13.1%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 75 settled picksand +9.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.3%EV+13.1%
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 8.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.3%EV+10.6%
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 8.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.3%EV+10.6%

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 07:48: under 8.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · VfB Stuttgart total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 3+0.88u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8814 Oct, 08:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +1.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +1.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 39 settled picksand +5.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.8%EV+1.2%

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 08:09: over 2.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 08:15. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 3+0.95u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9513 Oct, 12:07

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +6.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +6.8%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 39 settled picksand +21.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.8%EV+4.0%
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.8%EV+6.8%

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 12:07: under 3.5 at 1.95 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Offsides · ŠK Slovan Bratislava total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 13:12

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +3.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +3.2%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 33 settled picksand +51.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.6%EV+3.2%
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.7%EV+0.9%
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.6%EV+3.2%

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 13:12: under 1.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 03:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 28.5Actual: 31+1.10u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1013 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +11.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +11.7%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 55 settled picksand +2.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+6.4%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+6.4%
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+11.7%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+2.1%

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:32: over 28.5 at 2.10 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 15:53. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · ŠK Slovan Bratislava total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 15+1.05u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0513 Oct, 12:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +13.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +13.1%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 93 settled picksand +0.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.2%EV+8.7%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.0%EV+2.7%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.2%EV+13.1%

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 12:45: over 9.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 17:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0813 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +23.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 59.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +23.4%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 57 settled picksand +2.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.3%EV+18.7%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.3%EV+15.7%
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.08
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.3%EV+23.4%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.3%EV+22.8%

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:32: over 10.5 at 2.08 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 15:53. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · ŠK Slovan Bratislava total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2513 Oct, 17:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +17.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +17.3%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +23.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.1%EV+17.3%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.0%EV+29.9%

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 17:11: over 3.5 at 2.25 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · VfB Stuttgart total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 8+0.83u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.838 Oct, 04:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 67.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.48
Expected value at recommendation: +24.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 67.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.48. Expected value at recommendation: +24.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance67.9%EV+24.3%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 6.5 at 1.83 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+30.9%ROI · 12 units staked

Profit+3.71units

W / L8 / 4picks

Avg odds2.01settled picks

Recorded picks121 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Champions League Home teamŠK Slovan Bratislava Away teamVfB Stuttgart RefereeIrfan Peljto

Previous meetings

Tue 21 JanŠK Slovan Bratislava 1-3 VfB Stuttgart

Match overview

Matches

Cards · VfB Stuttgart total

Corners · ŠK Slovan Bratislava total

Fouls · ŠK Slovan Bratislava total

Goal kicks · ŠK Slovan Bratislava total

Goals · VfB Stuttgart total

Offsides · match total

Offsides · ŠK Slovan Bratislava total

Shots · match total

Shots · ŠK Slovan Bratislava total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · ŠK Slovan Bratislava total

Shots on target · VfB Stuttgart total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

On this page

This category

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