São Bernardo vs Criciúma 0-1 — Brasileirão Série B

Brasileirão Série BBrasileiro Serie B 2026

São Bernardo

0–1

HT 0–1

Criciúma

Sun 18 Oct·13:00·Matchday 34·Estádio Primeiro de Maio·Criciúma won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

9Corners2
1Cards1
6Shots9
0Shots on target2
13Fouls15
22Throw-ins19
1Offsides0
8Goal kicks7
1Saves0
8Tackles6
5Interceptions7
4Dribbles7

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

13:00São BernardovCriciúmaBrasileirão Série B1 won / 1 lost · −0.09u · 2 picks

Corners · São Bernardo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9517 Oct, 16:37

Closing odds1.7318 Oct, 12:48

Odds down−0.22

Model chance at recommendation: 56.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.73
Odds down−0.22
Model chance56.3%EV+9.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:48
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds2.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:48
- under 4.5odds1.73Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:48
- under 5.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:48
- under 6.5odds1.21Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:48
- under 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.9%Model unavailableCaptured 12 Oct, 06:20
Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 14 Oct, 00:16
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 14 Oct, 00:16
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:16
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 02:16
- under 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 02:16
- under 6.5odds1.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 02:16
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:36
- under 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:36
- under 6.5odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:36
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.97
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds2.82Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:36
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:36
- under 5.5odds1.54Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 16:37: under 4.5 at 1.95 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 05:54. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 8.5Actual: 2+0.91u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9118 Oct, 12:48

Closing odds1.9118 Oct, 12:48

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 52.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +0.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +0.3%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 97 settled picksand +4.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance52.5%EV+0.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:48
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:46
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:48
- under 9.5odds1.52Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:32
- under 10.5odds1.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:19
Bet365Closing estimateunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 06:16
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 15 Oct, 06:16
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 10:26
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds2.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:26
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 16:20
- under 9.5odds1.46Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.8%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 13:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 12:48: under 8.5 at 1.91 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−4.5%ROI · 2 units staked

Profit−0.09units

W / L1 / 1picks

Avg odds1.93settled picks

Recorded picks21 matches

Around this match

CompetitionBrasileirão Série B Home teamSão Bernardo Away teamCriciúma RefereeBruno Pereira Vasconcelos

Previous meetings

Sat 27 JunCriciúma 1-0 São Bernardo