Sampdoria vs Arezzo 1-2 — Serie B

Serie BSerie B 26/27

Sampdoria

1–2

HT 1–1

Arezzo

Yesterday·11:30·Matchday 7·Luigi Ferraris·Arezzo won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

10Corners4
2Cards2
22Shots14
5Shots on target5
13Fouls18
16Throw-ins17
1Offsides2
6Goal kicks11
3Saves3
12Tackles8
6Interceptions14
4Dribbles12

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Board

Matches

1 match

11:30SampdoriavArezzoSerie B5 won / 0 lost · +5.63u · 5 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 9.5Actual: 14+1.30u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3013 Oct, 06:24

Closing odds2.2818 Oct, 10:45

Odds down−0.02

Model chance at recommendation: 51.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +18.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +18.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds2.28
Odds down−0.02
Model chance51.7%EV+18.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 10:45
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.49Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 06:20
- over 8.5odds1.82Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 06:20
- over 9.5odds2.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:45
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 00:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 00:01
- over 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.2%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:16
- over 7.5odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:16
- over 8.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:16
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:16
- over 10.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:16
- over 11.5odds3.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 00:01
- over 12.5odds5.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 00:01
- over 13.5odds6.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 00:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 10:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.2%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:17
- over 7.5odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:17
- over 8.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:17
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:17
- over 10.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:17
- over 11.5odds3.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 10:32
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 11:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 6.5odds1.18Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 8.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 10.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 11.5odds3.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 12.5odds5.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 13.5odds7.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 18:19
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.02Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.7%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:19
- over 4.5odds1.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:19
- over 5.5odds1.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:19
- over 6.5odds1.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:19
- over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:19
- over 8.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:19
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:19
- over 10.5odds2.87Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:19
- over 11.5odds3.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:19
- over 12.5odds5.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:19
- over 13.5odds6.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:19

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 06:24: over 9.5 at 2.30 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Sampdoria total

Open match →FreeWon

over 5.5Actual: 10+1.35u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3514 Oct, 18:24

Closing odds2.3818 Oct, 10:45

Odds up+0.03

Model chance at recommendation: 55.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +29.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +29.5%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 91 settled picksand +2.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds2.38
Odds up+0.03
Model chance55.1%EV+29.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 10:45
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.78Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:45
- over 5.5odds2.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:45
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 00:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 00:01
- over 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 00:01
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 00:01
- over 6.5odds3.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 00:01
- over 7.5odds5.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 00:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 10:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 10:32
- over 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.5%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 10:32
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 10:32
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 11:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.24Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 6.5odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 7.5odds5.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.42
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 11:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.04Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 11:32
- over 2.5odds1.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 11:32
- over 3.5odds1.41Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 11:32
- over 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 11:32
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 11:32
- over 6.5odds3.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 11:32
- over 7.5odds4.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 11:32

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 18:24: over 5.5 at 2.35 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 15 Oct, 00:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Arezzo total

Open match →VIPWon

over 3.5Actual: 4+0.86u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8613 Oct, 11:25

Closing odds1.8318 Oct, 10:45

Odds down−0.03

Model chance at recommendation: 61.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.63
Expected value at recommendation: +14.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 61.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +14.3%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 35 settled picksand +17.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.86
Closing odds1.83
Odds down−0.03
Model chance61.5%EV+14.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 10:45
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.83Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:45
- over 4.5odds2.63Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.9%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 06:20
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 19:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 19:01
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 00:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 00:01
- over 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 00:01
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 00:01
- over 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 00:01
- over 5.5odds3.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 00:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 10:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 10:32
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 10:32
- over 4.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 10:32
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 11:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 2.5odds1.26Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 5.5odds4.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.74
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 11:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.7%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:19
- over 1.5odds1.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 02:51
- over 2.5odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 11:32
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.74Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 11:32
- over 4.5odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 11:32
- over 5.5odds3.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 02:51
- over 6.5odds5.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 02:51

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:25: over 3.5 at 1.86 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

over 25.5Actual: 36+1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0016 Oct, 12:17

Closing odds1.8817 Oct, 22:01

Odds down−0.12

Model chance at recommendation: 68.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.47
Expected value at recommendation: +36.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 68.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.47. Expected value at recommendation: +36.3%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 266 settled picksand +11.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.88
Odds down−0.12
Model chance68.1%EV+36.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:09
- over 22.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:03
- over 23.5odds1.47Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:57
- over 24.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:39
- over 25.5odds1.88Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 22:01
- over 26.5odds2.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:34
- over 27.5odds2.57Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:37
- over 28.5odds3.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:47
- over 29.5odds3.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:57

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 12:17: over 25.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Sampdoria total

Open match →FreeWon

over 15.5Actual: 22+1.12u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1216 Oct, 12:17

Closing odds2.1218 Oct, 08:34

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 52.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 193 settled picksand +6.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds2.12
Unchanged
Model chance52.9%EV+12.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.26Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:34
- over 12.5odds1.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:34
- over 13.5odds1.57Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:03
- over 14.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:34
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:34
- over 16.5odds2.52Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:34
- over 17.5odds3.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 05:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 12:17: over 15.5 at 2.12 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+112.6%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit+5.63units

W / L5 / 0picks

Avg odds2.13settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie B Home teamSampdoria Away teamArezzo RefereeAndrea Colombo