Real Oviedo vs Eibar — LaLiga 2

LaLiga 2LaLiga 2 26/27

Real Oviedo

3–1

HT 2–0

Eibar

Mon 12 Oct··Matchday 9·Carlos Tartiere·Real Oviedo won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 10Corners5
  • 4Cards3
  • 16Shots18
  • 7Shots on target6
  • 16Fouls15
  • 19Throw-ins14
  • 1Offsides0
  • 13Goal kicks4
  • 5Saves5
  • 20Tackles14
  • 7Interceptions7
  • 9Dribbles13
0Free available0VIP available5Recorded Free4Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
Real OviedovEibarLaLiga 23 won / 6 lost · −2.64u · 9 picks

Cards · Real Oviedo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.77
Odds down−0.08
Model chance at recommendation
56.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.79
Expected value at recommendation
+3.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +3.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Unchanged
    Model chance56.0%EV+0.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 23:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate29.0%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.77
    Odds down−0.08
    Model chance56.1%EV+3.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate−91.8%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.9%EV-0.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 03:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate29.0%Closing EV estimate−14.3%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.9%EV-6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate29.0%Closing EV estimate−18.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 06:36: under 2.5 at 1.85 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Eibar total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds1.95
Odds down−0.07
Model chance at recommendation
55.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.80
Expected value at recommendation
+12.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +12.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance54.2%EV+13.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 03:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance54.2%EV+8.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.5%EV+13.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 00:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds down−0.07
    Model chance55.6%EV+12.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate6.8%Closing EV estimate−92.5%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 06:36: under 2.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 05:54. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 8.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds2.15
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
50.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.97
Expected value at recommendation
+9.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +9.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.9%EV+9.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 01:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds6.40Closing chance estimate11.0%Closing EV estimate−29.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate19.6%Closing EV estimate−17.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate−14.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate42.9%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate90.5%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.9%EV+9.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate19.6%Closing EV estimate−21.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate−14.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate42.9%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation2.08
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance50.9%EV+5.9%
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.9%EV+9.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 7.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate−14.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate42.9%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.9%EV+14.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 07:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds9.40Closing chance estimate5.3%Closing EV estimate−49.9%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate11.0%Closing EV estimate−33.7%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate19.6%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.92Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate42.9%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate90.5%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 8.5 at 2.15 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:26. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Eibar total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds1.91
Odds down−0.19
Model chance at recommendation
52.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.91
Expected value at recommendation
+10.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +10.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds1.91
    Odds down−0.19
    Model chance52.5%EV+10.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 04:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds1.91Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation2.04
    Closing odds2.04
    Unchanged
    Model chance51.4%EV+4.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 21:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.04Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.6%EV+6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate33.4%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.6%EV+6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate33.4%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.6%EV+6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 09:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate33.4%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.6%EV+1.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 07:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate5.1%Closing EV estimate−23.4%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds5.65Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate33.4%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 3.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 05:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Eibar total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 13.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
69.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.45
Expected value at recommendation
+45.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 69.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.45. Expected value at recommendation: +45.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 13.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance69.4%EV+45.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 03:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+46.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+37.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate85.0%Closing EV estimate+27.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance69.8%EV+22.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 05:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+34.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate85.0%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance69.8%EV+25.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 07:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+25.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+25.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate85.0%Closing EV estimate+27.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 05:24: under 13.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 26.5Actual: 34+1.17u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds2.37
Odds up+0.20
Model chance at recommendation
50.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.98
Expected value at recommendation
+10.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +10.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 26.5
    At recommendation2.17
    Closing odds2.37
    Odds up+0.20
    Model chance50.7%EV+10.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 20.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate−12.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate−13.3%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate−14.0%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate−14.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate47.4%Closing EV estimate−15.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate40.3%Closing EV estimate−17.3%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−20.2%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate22.2%Closing EV estimate−26.8%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate17.5%Closing EV estimate−36.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance33.7%EV-34.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 06:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 23.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate−26.3%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate47.4%Closing EV estimate−28.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate40.3%Closing EV estimate−31.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−34.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate−37.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate22.2%Closing EV estimate−42.3%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate17.5%Closing EV estimate−52.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance33.7%EV-37.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 07:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate47.4%Closing EV estimate−31.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate40.3%Closing EV estimate−33.5%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−37.7%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate−44.8%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance33.7%EV-41.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 03:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 25.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate40.3%Closing EV estimate−37.5%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−41.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate−44.8%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 10:42: over 26.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Real Oviedo total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 14.5Actual: 16+1.17u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds2.30
Odds up+0.13
Model chance at recommendation
58.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.73
Expected value at recommendation
+25.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +25.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 14.5
    At recommendation2.17
    Closing odds2.30
    Odds up+0.13
    Model chance58.0%EV+25.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate55.9%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 14.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance47.6%EV-14.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 06:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate−14.8%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate55.9%Closing EV estimate−13.4%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate−14.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance47.6%EV-16.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 03:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate55.9%Closing EV estimate−16.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate−16.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate−16.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 10:42: over 14.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Real Oviedo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 7+1.02u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds2.35
Odds up+0.33
Model chance at recommendation
52.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.91
Expected value at recommendation
+6.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +6.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds2.35
    Odds up+0.33
    Model chance52.5%EV+6.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate16.5%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds7.30Closing chance estimate8.7%Closing EV estimate−36.6%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance44.9%EV-21.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 05:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate−14.3%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate−21.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate−28.5%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance44.9%EV-23.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 03:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate−15.5%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate−23.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate−32.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance44.9%EV-21.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 03:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate−21.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 10:42: over 4.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Eibar total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds1.90
Odds down−0.07
Model chance at recommendation
54.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.85
Expected value at recommendation
+7.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +7.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation1.97
    Closing odds1.90
    Odds down−0.07
    Model chance54.3%EV+7.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate3.1%Closing EV estimate−60.3%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds5.45Closing chance estimate13.4%Closing EV estimate−26.9%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV-11.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 05:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−18.7%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV-6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−15.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV-8.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 03:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 06:02: under 3.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 06:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−29.3%ROI · 9 units staked
Profit−2.64units
W / L3 / 6picks
Avg odds2.06settled picks
Recorded picks91 matches

Around this match

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