Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig — UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 26/27
Wed 21 Oct··Matchday 3·Santiago Bernabéu·Real Madrid won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 7Corners1
- 1Cards1
- 18Shots11
- 11Shots on target6
- 13Fouls12
- 11Throw-ins12
- 3Offsides2
- 6Goal kicks7
- 5Saves6
- 14Tackles13
- 11Interceptions11
- 8Dribbles7
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
Board
Matches
Real MadridvRB LeipzigUEFA Champions League131 won / 19 lost · +103.56u · 150 picks
Fouls · Under Match total
FreeGlobal cell EV-bet ROI: +2.7% · All offered lines and odds. Only qualified offers enter Monitoring or Confirmed picks.
Crocobet2 linesOdds: 4.50Best EV: +8.3%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 18.5 | 4.50 | +8.3% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
| Under 18.5 | 4.50 | +8.3% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
Fouls · Under Home team
FreeGlobal cell EV-bet ROI: +0.8% · All offered lines and odds. Only qualified offers enter Monitoring or Confirmed picks.
Betlive6 linesOdds: 1.80–2.25Best EV: +8.2%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 | 2.25 | +8.2% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
| Under 9.5 | 2.25 | +8.2% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
| Under 10 | 2.00 | +8.1% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
| Under 10 | 2.00 | +8.1% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
| Under 10.5 | 1.80 | +8.1% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
| Under 10.5 | 1.80 | +8.0% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
Crocobet6 linesOdds: 1.80–4.50Best EV: +11.3%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 | 4.50 | +10.6% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
| Under 7.5 | 4.50 | +10.6% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
| Under 8.5 | 3.10 | +11.3% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
| Under 8.5 | 3.10 | +11.3% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
| Under 10.5 | 1.80 | +8.1% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
| Under 10.5 | 1.80 | +8.0% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
Liderbet2 linesOdds: 1.80Best EV: +8.1%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10.5 | 1.80 | +8.1% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
| Under 10.5 | 1.80 | +8.0% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
Offsides · Under Away team
FreeGlobal cell EV-bet ROI: +3.5% · All offered lines and odds. Only qualified offers enter Monitoring or Confirmed picks.
Crocobet2 linesOdds: 2.85Best EV: +9.7%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 | 2.85 | +9.7% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
| Under 0.5 | 2.85 | +9.7% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
Saves · Over Match total
VIPGlobal cell EV-bet ROI: +14.3% · All offered lines and odds. Only qualified offers enter Monitoring or Confirmed picks.
Betlive14 linesOdds: 1.33–2.85Best EV: +26.8%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 | 1.33 | +9.4% | — | Recorded+0.33u |
| Over 5.5 | 1.33 | +9.4% | — | Recorded+0.33u |
| Over 6 | 1.42 | +12.0% | — | Recorded+0.42u |
| Over 6 | 1.42 | +12.0% | — | Recorded+0.42u |
| Over 6.5 | 1.60 | +13.5% | — | Recorded+0.60u |
| Over 6.5 | 1.60 | +13.5% | — | Recorded+0.60u |
| Over 7 | 1.85 | +20.1% | — | Recorded+0.85u |
| Over 7 | 1.85 | +20.1% | — | Recorded+0.85u |
| Over 7.5 | 2.10 | +21.5% | — | Recorded+1.10u |
| Over 7.5 | 2.10 | +21.5% | — | Recorded+1.10u |
| Over 8 | 2.55 | +26.8% | — | Recorded+1.55u |
| Over 8 | 2.55 | +26.8% | — | Recorded+1.55u |
| Over 8.5 | 2.85 | +26.7% | — | Recorded+1.85u |
| Over 8.5 | 2.85 | +26.7% | — | Recorded+1.85u |
Crocobet8 linesOdds: 1.55–4.50Best EV: +44.8%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 1.55 | +10.0% | — | Recorded+0.55u |
| Over 6.5 | 1.55 | +10.0% | — | Recorded+0.55u |
| Over 7.5 | 2.00 | +15.7% | — | Recorded+1.00u |
| Over 7.5 | 2.00 | +15.7% | — | Recorded+1.00u |
| Over 8.5 | 2.85 | +26.7% | — | Recorded+1.85u |
| Over 8.5 | 2.85 | +26.7% | — | Recorded+1.85u |
| Over 9.5 | 4.50 | +44.8% | — | Recorded+3.50u |
| Over 9.5 | 4.50 | +44.8% | — | Recorded+3.50u |
Liderbet8 linesOdds: 1.36–2.85Best EV: +26.7%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 | 1.36 | +11.9% | — | Recorded+0.36u |
| Over 5.5 | 1.36 | +11.9% | — | Recorded+0.36u |
| Over 6.5 | 1.60 | +13.5% | — | Recorded+0.60u |
| Over 6.5 | 1.60 | +13.5% | — | Recorded+0.60u |
| Over 7.5 | 2.10 | +21.5% | — | Recorded+1.10u |
| Over 7.5 | 2.10 | +21.5% | — | Recorded+1.10u |
| Over 8.5 | 2.85 | +26.7% | — | Recorded+1.85u |
| Over 8.5 | 2.85 | +26.7% | — | Recorded+1.85u |
Saves · Over Home team
FreeGlobal cell EV-bet ROI: +9.2% · All offered lines and odds. Only qualified offers enter Monitoring or Confirmed picks.
Crocobet4 linesOdds: 2.00–3.50Best EV: +24.5%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.00 | +12.6% | — | Recorded+1.00u |
| Over 2.5 | 2.00 | +12.9% | — | Recorded+1.00u |
| Over 3.5 | 3.50 | +24.2% | — | Recorded+2.50u |
| Over 3.5 | 3.50 | +24.5% | — | Recorded+2.50u |
Liderbet4 linesOdds: 1.39–2.10Best EV: +18.5%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.39 | +8.6% | — | Recorded+0.39u |
| Over 1.5 | 1.39 | +8.7% | — | Recorded+0.39u |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 | +18.3% | — | Recorded+1.10u |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 | +18.5% | — | Recorded+1.10u |
Shots · Over Match total
VIPGlobal cell EV-bet ROI: +10.6% · All offered lines and odds. Only qualified offers enter Monitoring or Confirmed picks.
Bet3651 linesOdds: 2.00Best EV: +14.3%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 32.5 | 2.00 | +14.3% | — | Recorded-1.00u |
Throw-ins · Under Match total
VIPGlobal cell EV-bet ROI: +11.6% · All offered lines and odds. Only qualified offers enter Monitoring or Confirmed picks.
Betlive12 linesOdds: 1.42–2.60Best EV: +65.3%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 29.5 | 2.60 | +65.3% | — | Recorded+1.60u |
| Under 29.5 | 2.60 | +65.1% | — | Recorded+1.60u |
| Under 30.5 | 2.25 | +54.2% | — | Recorded+1.25u |
| Under 30.5 | 2.25 | +54.0% | — | Recorded+1.25u |
| Under 31.5 | 1.95 | +42.5% | — | Recorded+0.95u |
| Under 31.5 | 1.95 | +42.4% | — | Recorded+0.95u |
| Under 32.5 | 1.75 | +35.2% | — | Recorded+0.75u |
| Under 32.5 | 1.75 | +35.1% | — | Recorded+0.75u |
| Under 33.5 | 1.55 | +25.5% | — | Recorded+0.55u |
| Under 33.5 | 1.55 | +25.5% | — | Recorded+0.55u |
| Under 34.5 | 1.42 | +19.7% | — | Recorded+0.42u |
| Under 34.5 | 1.42 | +19.7% | — | Recorded+0.42u |
Crocobet14 linesOdds: 1.35–2.75Best EV: +45.5%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 27.5 | 2.75 | +45.5% | — | Recorded+1.75u |
| Under 27.5 | 2.75 | +45.3% | — | Recorded+1.75u |
| Under 28.5 | 2.20 | +28.4% | — | Recorded+1.20u |
| Under 28.5 | 2.20 | +28.2% | — | Recorded+1.20u |
| Under 29.5 | 1.95 | +24.0% | — | Recorded+0.95u |
| Under 29.5 | 1.95 | +23.9% | — | Recorded+0.95u |
| Under 30.5 | 1.80 | +23.3% | — | Recorded+0.80u |
| Under 30.5 | 1.80 | +23.2% | — | Recorded+0.80u |
| Under 31.5 | 1.65 | +20.6% | — | Recorded+0.65u |
| Under 31.5 | 1.65 | +20.5% | — | Recorded+0.65u |
| Under 32.5 | 1.50 | +15.9% | — | Recorded+0.50u |
| Under 32.5 | 1.50 | +15.8% | — | Recorded+0.50u |
| Under 33.5 | 1.35 | +9.3% | — | Recorded+0.35u |
| Under 33.5 | 1.35 | +9.3% | — | Recorded+0.35u |
Liderbet14 linesOdds: 1.31–2.50Best EV: +59.0%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 29.5 | 2.50 | +59.0% | — | Recorded+1.50u |
| Under 29.5 | 2.50 | +58.8% | — | Recorded+1.50u |
| Under 30.5 | 2.20 | +50.7% | — | Recorded+1.20u |
| Under 30.5 | 2.20 | +50.6% | — | Recorded+1.20u |
| Under 31.5 | 1.95 | +42.5% | — | Recorded+0.95u |
| Under 31.5 | 1.95 | +42.4% | — | Recorded+0.95u |
| Under 32.5 | 1.75 | +35.2% | — | Recorded+0.75u |
| Under 32.5 | 1.75 | +35.1% | — | Recorded+0.75u |
| Under 33.5 | 1.55 | +25.5% | — | Recorded+0.55u |
| Under 33.5 | 1.55 | +25.5% | — | Recorded+0.55u |
| Under 34.5 | 1.40 | +18.0% | — | Recorded+0.40u |
| Under 34.5 | 1.40 | +18.0% | — | Recorded+0.40u |
| Under 35.5 | 1.31 | +14.2% | — | Recorded+0.31u |
| Under 35.5 | 1.31 | +14.2% | — | Recorded+0.31u |
Superbet4 linesOdds: 1.73–2.00Best EV: +27.2%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 29.5 | 2.00 | +27.2% | — | Recorded+1.00u |
| Under 29.5 | 2.00 | +27.0% | — | Recorded+1.00u |
| Under 30.5 | 1.73 | +18.5% | — | Recorded+0.73u |
| Under 30.5 | 1.73 | +18.4% | — | Recorded+0.73u |
Throw-ins · Under Home team
VIPGlobal cell EV-bet ROI: +14.1% · All offered lines and odds. Only qualified offers enter Monitoring or Confirmed picks.
Betlive16 linesOdds: 1.39–2.50Best EV: +39.6%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 15.5 | 2.50 | +39.6% | — | Recorded+1.50u |
| Under 15.5 | 2.50 | +39.6% | — | Recorded+1.50u |
| Under 16 | 2.30 | +36.4% | — | Recorded+1.30u |
| Under 16 | 2.30 | +36.4% | — | Recorded+1.30u |
| Under 16.5 | 2.00 | +27.7% | — | Recorded+1.00u |
| Under 16.5 | 2.00 | +27.7% | — | Recorded+1.00u |
| Under 17 | 1.90 | +28.5% | — | Recorded+0.90u |
| Under 17 | 1.90 | +28.5% | — | Recorded+0.90u |
| Under 17.5 | 1.75 | +24.4% | — | Recorded+0.75u |
| Under 17.5 | 1.75 | +24.4% | — | Recorded+0.75u |
| Under 18 | 1.60 | +20.1% | — | Recorded+0.60u |
| Under 18 | 1.60 | +20.1% | — | Recorded+0.60u |
| Under 18.5 | 1.50 | +16.2% | — | Recorded+0.50u |
| Under 18.5 | 1.50 | +16.2% | — | Recorded+0.50u |
| Under 19 | 1.39 | +13.1% | — | Recorded+0.39u |
| Under 19 | 1.39 | +13.1% | — | Recorded+0.39u |
Crocobet2 linesOdds: 1.70Best EV: +8.5%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 16.5 | 1.70 | +8.5% | — | Recorded+0.70u |
| Under 16.5 | 1.70 | +8.5% | — | Recorded+0.70u |
Liderbet6 linesOdds: 1.45–1.95Best EV: +24.5%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 16.5 | 1.95 | +24.5% | — | Recorded+0.95u |
| Under 16.5 | 1.95 | +24.5% | — | Recorded+0.95u |
| Under 17.5 | 1.65 | +17.3% | — | Recorded+0.65u |
| Under 17.5 | 1.65 | +17.3% | — | Recorded+0.65u |
| Under 18.5 | 1.45 | +12.3% | — | Recorded+0.45u |
| Under 18.5 | 1.45 | +12.3% | — | Recorded+0.45u |
Throw-ins · Under Away team
FreeGlobal cell EV-bet ROI: +4.6% · All offered lines and odds. Only qualified offers enter Monitoring or Confirmed picks.
Betlive14 linesOdds: 1.40–2.30Best EV: +33.7%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 13.5 | 2.30 | +33.7% | — | Recorded+1.30u |
| Under 13.5 | 2.30 | +33.5% | — | Recorded+1.30u |
| Under 14 | 2.10 | +30.2% | — | Recorded+1.10u |
| Under 14 | 2.10 | +30.0% | — | Recorded+1.10u |
| Under 14.5 | 1.90 | +25.8% | — | Recorded+0.90u |
| Under 14.5 | 1.90 | +25.6% | — | Recorded+0.90u |
| Under 15 | 1.75 | +23.1% | — | Recorded+0.75u |
| Under 15 | 1.75 | +22.9% | — | Recorded+0.75u |
| Under 15.5 | 1.60 | +17.4% | — | Recorded+0.60u |
| Under 15.5 | 1.60 | +17.3% | — | Recorded+0.60u |
| Under 16 | 1.45 | +12.6% | — | Recorded+0.45u |
| Under 16 | 1.45 | +12.5% | — | Recorded+0.45u |
| Under 16.5 | 1.40 | +11.4% | — | Recorded+0.40u |
| Under 16.5 | 1.40 | +11.3% | — | Recorded+0.40u |
Crocobet8 linesOdds: 1.50–2.20Best EV: +12.5%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 | 2.20 | +8.8% | — | Recorded+1.20u |
| Under 12.5 | 2.20 | +8.6% | — | Recorded+1.20u |
| Under 13.5 | 1.90 | +10.5% | — | Recorded+0.90u |
| Under 13.5 | 1.90 | +10.3% | — | Recorded+0.90u |
| Under 14.5 | 1.70 | +12.5% | — | Recorded+0.70u |
| Under 14.5 | 1.70 | +12.4% | — | Recorded+0.70u |
| Under 15.5 | 1.50 | +10.1% | — | Recorded+0.50u |
| Under 15.5 | 1.50 | +10.0% | — | Recorded+0.50u |
Superbet2 linesOdds: 1.74Best EV: +15.2%
| Line | Odds | EV | Opposite EV | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 | 1.74 | +15.2% | — | Recorded+0.74u |
| Under 14.5 | 1.74 | +15.1% | — | Recorded+0.74u |
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 59.8%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.68
- Expected value at recommendation
- +12.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 59.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 7.5
Model chance59.8%EV+12.5%Odds down−0.34At recommendation1.88Closing odds1.54Last captured before kickoffas of 21 Oct, 12:58Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds4.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%
- under 4.5odds3.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.2%
- under 5.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.8%
- under 6.5odds1.88Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.7%
- under 7.5odds1.54Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.8%
- under 8.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%
- under 9.5odds1.19Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.4%
- under 10.5odds1.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%
- under 11.5odds1.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 7.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.50Last captured before kickoffas of 21 Oct, 05:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5odds4.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- under 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%
- under 6.5odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- under 8.5odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 7.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.50Last captured before kickoffas of 21 Oct, 00:42Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5odds3.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- under 5.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%
- under 6.5odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- under 8.5odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.50Last captured before kickoffas of 21 Oct, 11:37Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5odds4.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%
- under 5.5odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%
- under 6.5odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- under 8.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 7.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.50Last captured before kickoffas of 21 Oct, 17:22Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds11.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%
- under 3.5odds7.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%
- under 4.5odds3.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%
- under 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- under 6.5odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%
- under 8.5odds1.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%
- under 9.5odds1.14Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%
- under 10.5odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%
- under 11.5odds1.03Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- under 12.5odds1.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.2%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.58Last captured before kickoffas of 21 Oct, 12:58Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds25.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.6%
- under 2.5odds11.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.2%
- under 3.5odds6.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.3%
- under 4.5odds3.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.0%
- under 5.5odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.0%
- under 6.5odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.8%
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.58Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.8%
- under 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.9%
- under 9.5odds1.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.4%
- under 10.5odds1.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.3%
- under 11.5odds1.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.7%
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 19:21: under 7.5 at 1.88 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions