Preston North End vs Millwall — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Preston North End

0–1

HT 0–0

Millwall

Sat 10 Oct··Matchday 9·Deepdale·Millwall won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 4Corners4
  • 1Cards2
  • 12Shots11
  • 1Shots on target3
  • 8Fouls11
  • 19Throw-ins25
  • 1Offsides2
  • 8Goal kicks8
  • 2Saves1
  • 14Tackles10
  • 12Interceptions17
  • 6Dribbles8
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
Preston North EndvMillwallChampionship2 won / 5 lost · −3.03u · 7 picks

Cards · Millwall total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds1.77
Odds down−0.38
Model chance at recommendation
52.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.91
Expected value at recommendation
+13.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +13.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.80
    Odds down−0.20
    Model chance52.5%EV+4.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.12
    Closing odds1.80
    Odds down−0.32
    Model chance52.5%EV+11.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds1.77
    Odds down−0.38
    Model chance52.5%EV+13.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate23.8%Closing EV estimate−76.0%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.9%EV-1.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:36: under 1.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 07:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Preston North End total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.23
Closing odds2.38
Odds up+0.15
Model chance at recommendation
52.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.91
Expected value at recommendation
+16.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +16.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance52.4%EV+4.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate24.4%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.23
    Closing odds2.38
    Odds up+0.15
    Model chance52.4%EV+16.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+24.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.38Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.60
    Closing odds2.40
    Odds down−0.20
    Model chance52.4%EV+36.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+27.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds2.27
    Odds down−0.08
    Model chance52.4%EV+23.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate24.4%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.1%EV+6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.1%EV+6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 14:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate24.4%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:36: over 5.5 at 2.23 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Millwall total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 4+0.85u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.70
Odds down−0.15
Model chance at recommendation
55.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.80
Expected value at recommendation
+3.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +3.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.70
    Odds down−0.15
    Model chance55.8%EV+3.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 14:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate21.9%Closing EV estimate−14.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−9.8%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV-2.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV-7.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate21.9%Closing EV estimate−18.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV-10.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−10.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.96
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV+6.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.96Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV+0.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate10.0%Closing EV estimate−20.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate21.9%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV-2.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate10.0%Closing EV estimate−38.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate21.9%Closing EV estimate−20.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.42Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: under 5.5 at 1.85 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 01:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 27.5Actual: 23−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.90
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
65.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.53
Expected value at recommendation
+24.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 65.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.53. Expected value at recommendation: +24.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 27.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Unchanged
    Model chance65.8%EV+24.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 24.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+21.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 27.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.8%EV+31.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 21.5odds1.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • over 22.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate89.6%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate86.1%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+31.5%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate59.6%Closing EV estimate+37.1%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate53.3%Closing EV estimate+46.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate47.0%Closing EV estimate+48.0%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:42: over 27.5 at 1.90 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds2.05
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
59.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.68
Expected value at recommendation
+22.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +22.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Unchanged
    Model chance59.8%EV+22.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance59.8%EV+4.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate47.1%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.84
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance59.8%EV+10.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.84Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.43Closing chance estimate47.1%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance59.8%EV+9.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate95.4%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate47.1%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate35.2%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate16.7%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:42: over 8.5 at 2.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Preston North End total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 1+1.12u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds2.00
Odds down−0.12
Model chance at recommendation
51.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.96
Expected value at recommendation
+8.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +8.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation2.12
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds down−0.12
    Model chance51.2%EV+8.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate49.5%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds down−0.10
    Model chance51.2%EV+7.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate49.5%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.5%EV+8.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate49.5%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate82.7%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.5%EV-10.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate28.8%Closing EV estimate−22.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate49.5%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.5%EV+6.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds16.00Closing chance estimate2.6%Closing EV estimate−58.7%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate11.9%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate28.8%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate49.5%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.54Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate82.7%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate91.5%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:36: under 3.5 at 2.12 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Millwall total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds1.88
Odds down−0.22
Model chance at recommendation
50.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.99
Expected value at recommendation
+5.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +5.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds1.88
    Odds down−0.22
    Model chance50.3%EV+5.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+27.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.12
    Closing odds1.91
    Odds down−0.21
    Model chance50.3%EV+6.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.91Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+29.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate+40.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance67.6%EV+35.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+19.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+35.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate+43.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance67.6%EV+21.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+21.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate+28.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance67.6%EV+31.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.7%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+31.9%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate+40.9%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate35.6%Closing EV estimate+45.8%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate22.7%Closing EV estimate+38.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 4.5 at 2.10 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−43.3%ROI · 7 units staked
Profit−3.03units
W / L2 / 5picks
Avg odds2.06settled picks
Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionChampionshipHome teamPreston North EndAway teamMillwallRefereeBenjamin Speedie

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