Platense vs Lanús — Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Liga Profesional de FútbolPrimera LPF 2026
Sat 17 Oct··Matchday 13·Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez·Lanús won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 12Corners5
- 2Cards2
- 16Shots9
- 3Shots on target3
- 8Fouls9
- 19Throw-ins21
- 3Offsides1
- 6Goal kicks10
- 1Saves3
- 24Tackles24
- 12Interceptions12
- 7Dribbles7
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
Board
Matches
PlatensevLanúsLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 won / 1 lost · −0.02u · 2 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 52.7%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.90
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
Model chance52.7%EV+0.1%Odds down−0.11At recommendation1.90Closing odds1.79Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 14:25Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 5.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate16.6%Closing EV estimate−23.8%margin9.5%
- under 6.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−15.3%margin9.3%
- under 7.5odds2.28Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin9.2%
- under 8.5odds1.79Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin9.1%
- under 9.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin9.2%
- under 10.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate73.9%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin8.9%
- under 11.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin9.5%
- under 12.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin9.0%
Bet365Closing estimateunder 8.5
Model chance51.6%EV-10.9%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.73Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 20:14Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin7.9%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 8.5
Model chance51.6%EV-9.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 14:25Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 5.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate16.6%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin11.6%
- under 6.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−20.6%margin13.9%
- under 7.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate−14.2%margin13.9%
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin12.7%
- under 9.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin13.9%
- under 10.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate73.9%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin13.8%
- under 11.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin12.3%
- under 12.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin11.6%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.5
Model chance51.6%EV-14.9%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.65Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 10:27Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 5.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate16.6%Closing EV estimate−33.8%margin14.3%
- under 6.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−24.7%margin13.8%
- under 7.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate−18.1%margin14.3%
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate−14.9%margin14.7%
- under 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin14.0%
- under 10.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate73.9%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin14.1%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
Model chance51.6%EV-9.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 14:25Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−20.6%margin13.9%
- under 7.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate−14.2%margin14.4%
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin12.7%
- under 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin13.4%
- under 10.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate73.9%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin13.8%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
Model chance51.6%EV-6.1%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.82Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 14:25Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate3.9%Closing EV estimate−53.5%margin6.4%
- under 4.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate8.8%Closing EV estimate−40.1%margin8.2%
- under 5.5odds4.45Closing chance estimate16.6%Closing EV estimate−26.3%margin7.9%
- under 6.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin8.0%
- under 7.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate−10.3%margin8.0%
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin8.1%
- under 9.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin8.0%
- under 10.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate73.9%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin8.0%
- under 11.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin8.3%
- under 12.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin7.8%
- under 13.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate93.0%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin8.0%
Recommendation record
Recorded 12 Oct, 18:42: under 8.5 at 1.90 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 51.2%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.96
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 51.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +4.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance51.2%EV+1.4%Odds down−0.16At recommendation1.98Closing odds1.82Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 13:52Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin9.4%
- over 3.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin9.1%
- over 4.5odds1.82Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin9.0%
- over 5.5odds2.43Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin9.2%
- over 6.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate25.5%Closing EV estimate−14.5%margin9.2%
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
Model chance50.8%EV-6.9%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.83Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 20:14Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin9.1%
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance50.8%EV-8.1%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.81Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 04:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.81Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin9.0%
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance50.8%EV-16.2%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.65Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 13:52Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate−17.0%margin12.1%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate−16.2%margin11.9%
- over 5.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate−14.5%margin12.0%
- over 6.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate25.5%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin11.9%
- over 7.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate16.4%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin11.6%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance50.8%EV-23.8%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.50Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 10:27Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate−23.8%margin14.3%
- over 5.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate−21.9%margin14.3%
- over 6.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate25.5%Closing EV estimate−24.7%margin13.9%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance50.8%EV-18.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.60Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 13:52Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate−19.0%margin12.9%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate−18.7%margin13.8%
- over 5.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate−14.5%margin12.4%
- over 6.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate25.5%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin12.5%
- over 7.5odds5.95Closing chance estimate16.4%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin13.0%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance50.8%EV-8.6%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.80Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 14:25Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin7.9%
- over 2.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin7.9%
- over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin8.2%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate−8.6%margin7.6%
- over 5.5odds2.42Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate−10.1%margin8.0%
- over 6.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate25.5%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin8.2%
- over 7.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate16.4%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin8.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 14 Oct, 06:24: over 4.5 at 1.98 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 12:24. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions