PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur — Eredivisie

EredivisieEredivisie 26/27

PEC Zwolle

0–1

HT 0–0

SC Cambuur

Sun 11 Oct··Matchday 8·Mac3Park Stadion·SC Cambuur won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 5Corners5
  • 3Cards3
  • 15Shots13
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 16Fouls15
  • 18Throw-ins14
  • 1Offsides4
  • 9Goal kicks7
  • 3Saves6
  • 29Tackles19
  • 11Interceptions10
  • 5Dribbles10
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available9Recorded Free3Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
PEC ZwollevSC CambuurEredivisie2 won / 10 lost · −8.26u · 12 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds1.90
Odds up+0.02
Model chance at recommendation
63.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.59
Expected value at recommendation
+18.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +18.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation1.88
    Closing odds1.90
    Odds up+0.02
    Model chance63.0%EV+18.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate4.5%Closing EV estimate−94.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+13.3%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.5%EV+12.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.5%EV+12.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.5%EV+9.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.5%EV+12.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 23:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.45
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.5%EV-9.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate−20.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate−11.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.45Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate−8.2%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 3.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · PEC Zwolle total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.88
Odds down−0.07
Model chance at recommendation
51.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.94
Expected value at recommendation
+0.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.88
    Odds down−0.07
    Model chance51.7%EV+0.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate19.9%Closing EV estimate−79.1%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV-11.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−11.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV-8.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV-6.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.24
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV-35.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.24Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−35.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 11:51: under 1.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 04:04. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · SC Cambuur total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds2.15
Odds down−0.02
Model chance at recommendation
55.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.80
Expected value at recommendation
+21.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +21.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Unchanged
    Model chance56.5%EV+27.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+26.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds2.10
    Odds down−0.10
    Model chance55.7%EV+22.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.17
    Closing odds2.15
    Odds down−0.02
    Model chance55.7%EV+21.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+20.9%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.27
    Odds up+0.22
    Model chance55.7%EV+14.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate22.6%Closing EV estimate−75.8%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.2%EV+29.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+29.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 06:47: under 1.5 at 2.17 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
2.00
Expected value at recommendation
+5.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.2%EV+5.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.5%EV+0.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.9%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin15.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate21.8%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate15.0%Closing EV estimate−14.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.5%EV+0.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.9%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin15.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.04
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.5%EV+5.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate62.9%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.04Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate21.8%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.5%EV+0.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.9%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin15.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.87
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.5%EV-3.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate62.9%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.5%EV+5.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.7%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate94.8%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate62.9%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate21.8%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate15.0%Closing EV estimate−15.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 10.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · PEC Zwolle total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
59.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.69
Expected value at recommendation
+18.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +18.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance59.3%EV+18.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.04
    Closing odds2.04
    Unchanged
    Model chance59.3%EV+20.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.04Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−19.2%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance59.3%EV+18.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate93.0%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds5.35Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−15.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.5%EV+6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.5%EV+0.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.5%EV+6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.5%EV-0.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.0%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 5.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · SC Cambuur total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 5+0.94u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.94
Closing odds1.87
Odds down−0.07
Model chance at recommendation
51.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.93
Expected value at recommendation
+0.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation1.94
    Closing odds1.87
    Odds down−0.07
    Model chance51.9%EV+0.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV+1.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV-12.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−22.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV-12.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−14.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−23.6%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.87
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV-0.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−19.1%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate12.7%Closing EV estimate−36.4%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV-12.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−21.4%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV-8.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.88
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV+0.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.57Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−18.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds5.35Closing chance estimate12.7%Closing EV estimate−31.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 1.94 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · PEC Zwolle total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+0.80u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds1.80
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
57.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.74
Expected value at recommendation
+3.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Unchanged
    Model chance57.6%EV+3.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.8%EV-7.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:36: under 1.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 29.5Actual: 28−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.28
Closing odds2.10
Odds down−0.18
Model chance at recommendation
56.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.78
Expected value at recommendation
+28.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +28.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 29.5
    At recommendation2.28
    Closing odds2.10
    Odds down−0.18
    Model chance56.4%EV+28.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 26.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+19.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.3%EV+39.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 23.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+32.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+39.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+46.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate45.7%Closing EV estimate+53.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.45
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.3%EV+42.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 24.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+21.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+42.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+45.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.3%EV+22.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 26.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+19.3%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+30.0%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 06:47: over 29.5 at 2.28 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · PEC Zwolle total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds1.92
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
60.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.65
Expected value at recommendation
+19.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +19.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 15.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.92
    Odds down−0.08
    Model chance61.2%EV+22.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 15.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+18.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
    At recommendation1.97
    Closing odds1.92
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance60.9%EV+19.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.68Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+18.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 15.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Unchanged
    Model chance68.1%EV+32.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+20.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 15.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.07
    Odds up+0.02
    Model chance60.9%EV+24.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+27.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate+30.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+31.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance61.8%EV+26.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+26.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate+31.9%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 06:47: over 15.5 at 1.97 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.42
Closing odds2.42
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
52.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.90
Expected value at recommendation
+27.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +27.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation2.42
    Closing odds2.42
    Unchanged
    Model chance52.8%EV+27.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate96.0%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate91.9%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate85.5%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+26.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.42Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+32.6%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+38.4%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate32.6%Closing EV estimate+49.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds5.85Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate+36.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.35
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.8%EV+28.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate85.5%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+28.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.8%EV+15.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+18.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.8%EV+23.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+23.3%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+25.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 11:51: over 10.5 at 2.42 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 06:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · PEC Zwolle total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.90
Closing odds2.85
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
50.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
2.00
Expected value at recommendation
+45.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +45.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.90
    Closing odds2.85
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance50.1%EV+45.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:19

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+25.8%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance44.1%EV+19.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.70Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.92
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance44.1%EV+28.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 23:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+25.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.92Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+28.9%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate30.1%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate+17.3%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 18:04: over 6.5 at 2.90 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 19:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · SC Cambuur total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.88
Odds down−0.12
Model chance at recommendation
50.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.99
Expected value at recommendation
+0.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.88
    Odds down−0.12
    Model chance50.3%EV+0.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV+9.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.88
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV-2.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate34.9%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV+6.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate34.9%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.12
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV+10.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate34.9%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate21.1%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds6.90Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−19.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.00 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−68.8%ROI · 12 units staked
Profit−8.26units
W / L2 / 10picks
Avg odds2.12settled picks
Recorded picks121 matches

Around this match

CompetitionEredivisieHome teamPEC ZwolleAway teamSC CambuurRefereevan der Eijk, Sander

Previous meetings

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