Padova vs Virtus Entella 1-2 — Serie B

Serie BSerie B 26/27

Padova

1–2

HT 1–0

Virtus Entella

Sat 17 Oct·07:00·Matchday 7·Stadio Comunale Euganeo·Virtus Entella won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

4Corners6
1Cards1
6Shots18
1Shots on target7
7Fouls7
27Throw-ins33
4Offsides1
12Goal kicks3
4Saves1
11Tackles11
13Interceptions10
5Dribbles8

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

07:00PadovavVirtus EntellaSerie B0 won / 3 lost · −3.00u · 3 picks

Corners · Padova total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0413 Oct, 18:25

Closing odds2.0617 Oct, 02:41

Odds up+0.02

Model chance at recommendation: 58.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.72
Expected value at recommendation: +19.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 58.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +19.3%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 88 settled picksand +3.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.04
Closing odds2.04
Unchanged
Model chance58.9%EV+20.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 13:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.04Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 13:20
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.04
Closing odds2.06
Odds up+0.02
Model chance58.5%EV+19.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:41
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds2.06Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:41
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+6.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 14 Oct, 00:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 00:15
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+1.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:12
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:12
- over 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:12
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:12
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:12
- over 6.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate30.9%Closing EV estimate+16.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:12
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+1.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 08:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 08:30
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 08:30
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 08:30
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+1.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 05:12
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:12
- over 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:12
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:12
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:12
- over 6.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate30.9%Closing EV estimate+20.7%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:12
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+13.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 04:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:17
- over 2.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:17
- over 3.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:31
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:31
- over 5.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:31
- over 6.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate30.9%Closing EV estimate+20.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:31
- over 7.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate20.4%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 18:25: over 4.5 at 2.04 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 15 Oct, 11:08. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 26.5Actual: 24−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1015 Oct, 07:24

Closing odds2.2717 Oct, 05:36

Odds up+0.17

Model chance at recommendation: 55.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +16.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +16.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 264 settled picksand +12.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 26.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.27
Odds up+0.17
Model chance55.6%EV+16.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 06:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:36
- over 22.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:12
- over 23.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:25
- over 24.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:25
- over 25.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:36
- over 26.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:36
- over 27.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate46.7%Closing EV estimate+23.7%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:36
- over 28.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+30.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:25
- over 29.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate33.9%Closing EV estimate+27.2%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 07:24: over 26.5 at 2.10 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 16 Oct, 15:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Padova total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 12.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8517 Oct, 03:07

Closing odds1.8517 Oct, 03:06

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 57.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +5.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +5.6%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 187 settled picksand +10.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 12.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.85
Unchanged
Model chance57.1%EV+5.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:06
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:06
- over 13.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate47.1%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:06
SuperbetClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.5%EV+1.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 05:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:36
- over 10.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:36
- over 11.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:36
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:36
- over 13.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate47.1%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:36
- over 14.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:36
- over 15.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate31.6%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:36
- over 16.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate24.8%Closing EV estimate−19.2%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:17

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 03:07: over 12.5 at 1.85 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−100.0%ROI · 3 units staked

Profit−3.00units

W / L0 / 3picks

Avg odds2.00settled picks

Recorded picks31 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie B Home teamPadova Away teamVirtus Entella RefereeMadonia, Dario

Match overview

Matches

Corners · Padova total

Shots · match total

Shots · Padova total

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