Nancy vs Guingamp 1-0 — Ligue 2

Ligue 2Ligue 2 26/27

Nancy

1–0

HT 0–0

Guingamp

Fri 9 Oct·12:00·Matchday 8·Stade Marcel Picot·Nancy won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

4Corners4
3Cards5
17Shots8
7Shots on target2
22Fouls17
20Throw-ins10
2Offsides1
7Goal kicks8
2Saves6
9Tackles18
12Interceptions12
2Dribbles3

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Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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Board

Matches

1 match

12:00NancyvGuingampLigue 20 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.329 Oct, 00:47

Closing odds2.459 Oct, 11:40

Odds up+0.13

Model chance at recommendation: 50.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +17.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +17.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds2.05
Unchanged
Model chance50.7%EV+4.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:30
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:30
- under 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:30
- under 5.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate83.3%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:30
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.32
Closing odds2.45
Odds up+0.13
Model chance50.7%EV+17.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−97.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:40
- under 3.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+22.1%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:40
- under 4.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:40
- under 5.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate83.3%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:40
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.8%EV-0.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
- under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.8%EV+4.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:33
- under 4.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:33
- under 5.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate83.3%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:47: under 3.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−100.0%ROI · 1 unit staked

Profit−1.00units

W / L0 / 1picks

Avg odds2.32settled picks

Recorded picks11 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 2 Home teamNancy Away teamGuingamp RefereeGabriel Henry

Match overview

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