Milan vs Atalanta — Serie A
Serie ASerie A 26/27
Sun 18 Oct··Matchday 7·San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza·Milan won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 2Corners2
- 1Cards2
- 11Shots12
- 6Shots on target4
- 3Fouls10
- 12Throw-ins10
- 1Offsides1
- 7Goal kicks6
- 2Saves3
- 20Tackles14
- 10Interceptions7
- 4Dribbles7
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
Board
Matches
MilanvAtalantaSerie A3 won / 2 lost · +1.28u · 5 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 57.7%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.74
- Expected value at recommendation
- +21.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 57.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +21.2%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 59 settled picksand +16.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
CrocobetAt recommendationover 6.5
Model chance57.7%EV+12.5%UnchangedAt recommendation1.95Closing odds1.95Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- over 7.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
Model chance57.7%EV+21.2%UnchangedAt recommendation2.10Closing odds2.10Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 02:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 7.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%
KambiClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.98Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:28Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—
- over 5.5odds1.54Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.98Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—
- over 7.5odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 07:42: over 6.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 58.9%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.70
- Expected value at recommendation
- +8.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 58.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +8.9%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +37.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance58.9%EV+8.9%UnchangedAt recommendation1.85Closing odds1.85Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.88Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:28Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—
- over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 03:31: over 3.5 at 1.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 07:42. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 57.7%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.74
- Expected value at recommendation
- +5.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 57.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 125 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
Model chance57.7%EV+5.5%Odds up+0.15At recommendation1.83Closing odds1.98Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:28Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 10.5odds1.68Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%
- over 11.5odds1.98Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- over 12.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
Bet365Closing estimateover 11.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.00Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 15:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.00Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 9.5odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%
- over 10.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%
- over 12.5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.95Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 9.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%
- over 10.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- over 12.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%
- over 13.5odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.94Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:46Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 10.5odds1.61Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.94Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.3%
- over 12.5odds2.43Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 11.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.12Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:48Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5odds1.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- over 8.5odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.8%
- over 9.5odds1.51Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%
- over 10.5odds1.77Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.6%
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.9%
- over 12.5odds2.57Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.8%
- over 13.5odds3.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.5%
- over 14.5odds3.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%
Recommendation record
Recorded 16 Oct, 10:44: over 11.5 at 1.83 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 53.6%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.87
- Expected value at recommendation
- +12.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +12.6%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 132 settled picksand +6.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance53.6%EV+12.6%Odds down−0.27At recommendation2.10Closing odds1.83Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 15:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.83Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.30Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.20Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 4.5odds3.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:28Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.8%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%
- over 4.5odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.9%
- over 5.5odds4.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.28Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:46Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.56Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.6%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.6%
- over 4.5odds3.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.4%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.85Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
- over 2.5odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%
- over 4.5odds2.67Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.9%
- over 5.5odds4.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%
- over 6.5odds6.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 10:05: over 3.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 10:19. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 56.5%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.78
- Expected value at recommendation
- +32.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 56.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +32.7%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 452 settled picksand +1.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 32.5
Model chance56.5%EV+32.7%UnchangedAt recommendation2.35Closing odds2.35Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 05:10Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- under 33.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- under 34.5odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%
- under 35.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- under 36.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%
- under 37.5odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- under 38.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 32.5
Model chance56.4%EV+43.9%Odds down−0.49At recommendation2.55Closing odds2.06Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:46Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 30.5odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.4%
- under 31.5odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%
- under 32.5odds2.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%
- under 33.5odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%
- under 34.5odds1.64Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%
- under 35.5odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.9%
- under 36.5odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.0%
- under 37.5odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%
- under 38.5odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 32.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.20Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 07:34Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- under 33.5odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- under 34.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- under 35.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- under 36.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- under 37.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 32.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.88Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:28Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 31.5odds2.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%
- under 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%
- under 33.5odds1.67Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- under 34.5odds1.56Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 03:02: under 32.5 at 2.35 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 05:10. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions