Milan vs Atalanta — Serie A

Serie ASerie A 26/27

Milan

3–2

HT 2–0

Atalanta

Sun 18 Oct··Matchday 7·San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza·Milan won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 2Corners2
  • 1Cards2
  • 11Shots12
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 3Fouls10
  • 12Throw-ins10
  • 1Offsides1
  • 7Goal kicks6
  • 2Saves3
  • 20Tackles14
  • 10Interceptions7
  • 4Dribbles7
0Free available0VIP available3Recorded Free2Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
MilanvAtalantaSerie A3 won / 2 lost · +1.28u · 5 picks

Saves · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
57.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.74
Expected value at recommendation
+21.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +21.2%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 59 settled picksand +16.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Unchanged
    Model chance57.7%EV+12.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • over 7.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailable
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance57.7%EV+21.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 02:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • over 7.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailable
  • KambiClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.98
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:28

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—Model unavailable
    • over 5.5odds1.54Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—Model unavailable
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.98Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—Model unavailable
    • over 7.5odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—Model unavailable
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 07:42: over 6.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Saves · Atalanta total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.85
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
58.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.70
Expected value at recommendation
+8.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 58.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +8.9%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +37.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Unchanged
    Model chance58.9%EV+8.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailable
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.88
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:28

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—Model unavailable
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—Model unavailable
    • over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—Model unavailable
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 03:31: over 3.5 at 1.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 07:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Atalanta total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 12+0.83u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds1.98
Odds up+0.15
Model chance at recommendation
57.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.74
Expected value at recommendation
+5.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 125 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation1.83
    Closing odds1.98
    Odds up+0.15
    Model chance57.7%EV+5.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:28

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.68Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailable
    • over 11.5odds1.98Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • over 12.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailable
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 15:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailable
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailable
    • over 10.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailable
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailable
    • over 12.5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailable
    • over 10.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailable
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • over 12.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • over 13.5odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailable
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.94
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:46

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.61Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%Model unavailable
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.94Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.3%Model unavailable
    • over 12.5odds2.43Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%Model unavailable
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.12
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:48

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • over 8.5odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.8%Model unavailable
    • over 9.5odds1.51Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%Model unavailable
    • over 10.5odds1.77Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.6%Model unavailable
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.9%Model unavailable
    • over 12.5odds2.57Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.8%Model unavailable
    • over 13.5odds3.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.5%Model unavailable
    • over 14.5odds3.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailable
Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 10:44: over 11.5 at 1.83 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Atalanta total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+1.10u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds1.83
Odds down−0.27
Model chance at recommendation
53.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.87
Expected value at recommendation
+12.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +12.6%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 132 settled picksand +6.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.27
    Model chance53.6%EV+12.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 15:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.83Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailable
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailable
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • over 4.5odds3.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:28

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.8%Model unavailable
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailable
    • over 4.5odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.9%Model unavailable
    • over 5.5odds4.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.28
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:46

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.56Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.6%Model unavailable
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.6%Model unavailable
    • over 4.5odds3.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.4%Model unavailable
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailable
    • over 2.5odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%Model unavailable
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailable
    • over 4.5odds2.67Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.9%Model unavailable
    • over 5.5odds4.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailable
    • over 6.5odds6.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 10:05: over 3.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 10:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 32.5Actual: 22+1.35u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds2.35
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
56.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.78
Expected value at recommendation
+32.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +32.7%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 452 settled picksand +1.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 32.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Unchanged
    Model chance56.5%EV+32.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 05:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 33.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 34.5odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailable
    • under 35.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • under 36.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailable
    • under 37.5odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 38.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailable
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 32.5
    At recommendation2.55
    Closing odds2.06
    Odds down−0.49
    Model chance56.4%EV+43.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:46

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 30.5odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.4%Model unavailable
    • under 31.5odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%Model unavailable
    • under 32.5odds2.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailable
    • under 33.5odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailable
    • under 34.5odds1.64Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailable
    • under 35.5odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.9%Model unavailable
    • under 36.5odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.0%Model unavailable
    • under 37.5odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailable
    • under 38.5odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailable
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 32.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 07:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • under 33.5odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • under 34.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • under 35.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • under 36.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • under 37.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 32.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.88
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:28

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 31.5odds2.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailable
    • under 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailable
    • under 33.5odds1.67Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailable
    • under 34.5odds1.56Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailable
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 03:02: under 32.5 at 2.35 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 05:10. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+25.6%ROI · 5 units staked
Profit+1.28units
W / L3 / 2picks
Avg odds2.05settled picks
Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

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