Málaga vs Espanyol — LaLiga

LaLigaLaLiga 26/27

Fri 9 Oct··Matchday 8·La Rosaleda, Malaga·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 8Corners2
  • 4Cards5
  • 15Shots9
  • 7Shots on target4
  • 10Fouls15
  • 24Throw-ins19
  • 2Offsides1
  • 3Goal kicks6
  • 2Saves6
  • 15Tackles25
  • 7Interceptions7
  • 12Dribbles11
0Free available0VIP available13Recorded Free7Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
MálagavEspanyolLaLiga8 won / 12 lost · −4.18u · 20 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds1.57
Odds down−0.48
Model chance at recommendation
54.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.83
Expected value at recommendation
+12.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +12.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.67
    Odds down−0.33
    Model chance54.8%EV+9.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds1.57
    Odds down−0.48
    Model chance54.8%EV+12.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate44.0%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.57
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.1%EV-0.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.57Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.46
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.1%EV-7.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate9.7%Closing EV estimate−43.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate−21.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate44.0%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.46Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.41
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.1%EV-11.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate9.7%Closing EV estimate−46.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate−24.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate44.0%Closing EV estimate−16.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.41Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.1%EV-11.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate9.7%Closing EV estimate−43.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate−24.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate44.0%Closing EV estimate−16.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.40Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.67
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.1%EV+5.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:45

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate+23.2%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate44.0%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.67Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.53
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.1%EV-3.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate2.0%Closing EV estimate−69.7%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate9.7%Closing EV estimate−39.6%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate24.6%Closing EV estimate−19.9%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate44.0%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.53Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.6%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate97.6%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:48: under 4.5 at 2.05 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 05:02. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Málaga total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.95
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
54.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.83
Expected value at recommendation
+9.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +9.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance54.9%EV+15.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation1.87
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds up+0.13
    Model chance54.9%EV+2.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+33.7%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance54.9%EV+9.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate+38.1%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate47.8%Closing EV estimate+36.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+30.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate81.3%Closing EV estimate+20.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate95.7%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.90
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance55.2%EV+7.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 04:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate+31.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate47.8%Closing EV estimate+31.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+27.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate81.3%Closing EV estimate+17.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation2.16
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds down−0.16
    Model chance55.6%EV+20.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate+27.0%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate47.8%Closing EV estimate+36.3%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+33.7%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate81.3%Closing EV estimate+26.8%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate95.7%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.6%EV+6.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:45

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate+43.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.88Closing chance estimate47.8%Closing EV estimate+37.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+27.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate81.3%Closing EV estimate+17.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Unchanged
    Model chance54.9%EV+13.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds31.00Closing chance estimate2.4%Closing EV estimate−24.5%margin2.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate11.3%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate+38.1%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate47.8%Closing EV estimate+43.5%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+38.4%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate81.3%Closing EV estimate+29.3%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+20.4%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate95.7%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate98.2%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate99.3%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin6.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate99.8%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin4.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.9%EV+30.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 05:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate+49.1%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate47.8%Closing EV estimate+38.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+30.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate81.3%Closing EV estimate+17.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate95.7%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 4.5 at 2.00 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 03:29. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Espanyol total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.32
Closing odds2.32
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
50.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.97
Expected value at recommendation
+18.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +18.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.18
    Closing odds2.33
    Odds up+0.15
    Model chance50.9%EV+11.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate92.0%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.68Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+37.1%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.7%Model unavailable
    • over 5.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+70.6%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+73.8%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Unchanged
    Model chance51.6%EV+16.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:45

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate92.0%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+28.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailable
    • over 5.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+68.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.32
    Closing odds2.32
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.9%EV+18.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.6%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate97.6%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate92.0%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+38.0%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.8%Model unavailable
    • over 5.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+70.6%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+77.3%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds7.50Closing chance estimate22.7%Closing EV estimate+70.5%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate13.5%Closing EV estimate+61.4%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds19.00Closing chance estimate7.4%Closing EV estimate+40.3%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 04:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate92.0%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+26.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%Model unavailable
    • over 5.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+65.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+84.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate92.0%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+26.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • over 5.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+57.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds5.45Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+93.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 04:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate92.0%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailable
    • over 5.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+68.1%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+98.6%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 25.5Actual: 25+1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.90
Odds down−0.10
Model chance at recommendation
50.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.98
Expected value at recommendation
+1.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 25.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance52.6%EV+5.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 23.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate58.4%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 28.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 29.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 25.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.90
    Odds down−0.10
    Model chance50.7%EV+1.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate58.4%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 28.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 25.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.4%EV+25.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate58.4%Closing EV estimate+25.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+23.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 25.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.4%EV+11.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 23.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate58.4%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 28.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 29.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 06:06: under 25.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 16:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Málaga total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 11.5Actual: 10+1.02u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds1.97
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
52.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.92
Expected value at recommendation
+5.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +5.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 11.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.15
    Odds up+0.05
    Model chance56.8%EV+19.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate59.1%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 11.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance56.8%EV+19.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate59.1%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds1.97
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance52.1%EV+5.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate59.1%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.0%EV+0.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate36.7%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate59.1%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 07:42: under 11.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 09:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Espanyol total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 13.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.90
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
60.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.67
Expected value at recommendation
+14.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +14.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 13.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Unchanged
    Model chance60.2%EV+14.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.2%EV+8.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.2%EV+5.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.2%EV+17.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate+24.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 03:51: under 13.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 14.5Actual: 9+0.85u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.85
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
57.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.74
Expected value at recommendation
+6.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +6.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 14.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Unchanged
    Model chance57.5%EV+6.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate37.3%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 14.5
    At recommendation1.83
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds up+0.12
    Model chance56.8%EV+4.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 14.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 14.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.6%EV+5.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate37.3%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 14.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.6%EV+5.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate27.2%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate37.3%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 09:06: under 14.5 at 1.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:26. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Espanyol total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 7.5Actual: 6+0.85u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.88
Odds up+0.03
Model chance at recommendation
61.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.65
Expected value at recommendation
+12.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 7.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance84.3%EV+30.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+59.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+46.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+30.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 7.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance84.3%EV+34.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+53.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+34.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+23.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance84.3%EV+34.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+49.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+34.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 7.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.88
    Odds up+0.03
    Model chance61.0%EV+12.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 7.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+58.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: under 7.5 at 1.85 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.11
Closing odds1.99
Odds down−0.12
Model chance at recommendation
55.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+16.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +16.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.85
    Odds down−0.15
    Model chance55.2%EV+10.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate80.1%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate35.3%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate8.4%Closing EV estimate−31.3%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance55.2%EV+10.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:09

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate80.1%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate35.3%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds8.50Closing chance estimate8.4%Closing EV estimate−28.8%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance55.2%EV+10.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate80.1%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate35.3%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds8.50Closing chance estimate8.4%Closing EV estimate−28.8%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 115.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • over 119.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • over 121.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
  • Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.11
    Closing odds1.99
    Odds down−0.12
    Model chance55.2%EV+16.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:45

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.99Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin2.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.7%EV+15.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin4.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate80.1%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin5.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate35.3%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin5.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate+29.2%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate8.4%Closing EV estimate+25.7%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.02
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.7%EV+16.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:45

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin0.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate80.1%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin1.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin0.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate35.3%Closing EV estimate+26.9%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds7.80Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate+43.9%margin0.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds19.50Closing chance estimate8.4%Closing EV estimate+63.4%margin0.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds50.00Closing chance estimate3.3%Closing EV estimate+67.3%margin1.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.7%EV+10.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:45

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate80.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate35.3%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate+29.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.7%EV+12.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin4.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate80.1%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin5.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate35.3%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate+20.0%margin5.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate8.4%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds30.00Closing chance estimate3.3%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin2.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds70.00Closing chance estimate1.2%Closing EV estimate−16.8%margin1.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds125.00Closing chance estimate0.4%Closing EV estimate−52.6%margin—Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 2.5 at 2.11 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · Málaga total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 2+1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.95
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
50.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.98
Expected value at recommendation
+1.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance50.7%EV+1.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate48.1%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.1%EV-15.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate−10.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate48.1%Closing EV estimate−15.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate22.6%Closing EV estimate−25.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.45
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.1%EV-30.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.45Closing chance estimate48.1%Closing EV estimate−30.2%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate22.6%Closing EV estimate−45.8%margin—Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.1%EV-11.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate48.1%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate22.6%Closing EV estimate−18.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds7.60Closing chance estimate8.6%Closing EV estimate−34.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:06: over 1.5 at 2.00 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 01:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Saves · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 8+1.10u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
2.00
Expected value at recommendation
+5.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.2%EV+5.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.8%EV+16.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 05:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.16
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.6%EV+9.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.16Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin—Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 01:26: over 6.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 24.5Actual: 24−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds1.71
Odds down−0.41
Model chance at recommendation
57.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.74
Expected value at recommendation
+22.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +22.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationover 24.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance57.6%EV+9.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 24.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.5%EV+8.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 22.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate38.4%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 24.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.58
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.5%EV+3.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 22.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.58Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.04Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.33Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate38.4%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 24.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.5%EV+8.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 22.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate38.4%Closing EV estimate+19.1%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 24.5
    At recommendation2.12
    Closing odds1.71
    Odds down−0.41
    Model chance57.6%EV+22.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 20.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate87.3%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.72Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate+22.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate38.4%Closing EV estimate+21.1%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate32.2%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 24.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.5%EV+8.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 21.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 24.5 at 2.12 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 04:34. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Málaga total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 12.5Actual: 15+1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
50.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.97
Expected value at recommendation
+1.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 12.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.8%EV+1.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate23.8%Closing EV estimate−52.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 12.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.8%EV+1.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate−37.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−45.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate23.8%Closing EV estimate−52.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance23.8%EV-58.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate23.8%Closing EV estimate−58.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance23.8%EV-50.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate−35.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−41.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate23.8%Closing EV estimate−50.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate16.2%Closing EV estimate−57.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance23.8%EV-53.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−31.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate−37.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−45.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate23.8%Closing EV estimate−53.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate16.2%Closing EV estimate−57.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance23.8%EV-58.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate23.8%Closing EV estimate−58.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate16.2%Closing EV estimate−66.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate10.5%Closing EV estimate−74.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.87
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance23.8%EV-55.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−30.7%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate−38.7%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−46.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate23.8%Closing EV estimate−55.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.22Closing chance estimate16.2%Closing EV estimate−64.0%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.72Closing chance estimate10.5%Closing EV estimate−71.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate6.6%Closing EV estimate−78.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 01:26: over 12.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 03:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Málaga total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds1.83
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
53.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.86
Expected value at recommendation
+1.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +1.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
    At recommendation1.88
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance53.8%EV+1.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate+48.4%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+48.4%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+46.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+39.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate+31.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance76.2%EV+31.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+31.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.84
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance76.2%EV+40.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.84Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+40.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance76.2%EV+18.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+27.8%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+23.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance76.2%EV+25.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate+44.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+36.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+30.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+25.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.84
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance76.2%EV+40.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.84Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+40.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate+34.0%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate+28.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance76.2%EV+21.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+30.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+21.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 14:11: under 12.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 15:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Espanyol total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 12.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds1.85
Odds down−0.17
Model chance at recommendation
56.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.77
Expected value at recommendation
+14.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +14.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 12.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds1.85
    Odds down−0.17
    Model chance57.8%EV+16.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+54.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance83.6%EV+33.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate89.1%Closing EV estimate+22.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+33.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+45.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailable
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 12.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds1.85
    Odds down−0.17
    Model chance56.6%EV+14.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate89.1%Closing EV estimate+42.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+54.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.16Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+65.6%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance83.6%EV+33.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate89.1%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+33.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+49.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 12.5
    At recommendation2.07
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds down−0.12
    Model chance60.4%EV+25.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate98.0%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate96.2%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate93.3%Closing EV estimate+34.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate89.1%Closing EV estimate+47.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+63.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+80.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.77Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.2%Model unavailable
    • over 15.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate59.8%Closing EV estimate+103.4%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance83.6%EV+53.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+53.2%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance83.6%EV+37.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate93.3%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate89.1%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+37.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+49.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 13:06: over 12.5 at 2.02 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 05:02. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 11+1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.83
Odds down−0.17
Model chance at recommendation
56.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.78
Expected value at recommendation
+12.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.17
    Model chance56.2%EV+12.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.0%EV+5.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.0%EV+2.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.0%EV+13.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.38Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate+22.3%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate27.1%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.0%EV+5.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds4.15Closing chance estimate27.1%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.0%EV+8.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate95.8%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.92Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate27.1%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 13:06: over 8.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 11:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Espanyol total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds1.91
Odds down−0.19
Model chance at recommendation
50.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
2.00
Expected value at recommendation
+5.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +5.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds1.91
    Odds down−0.19
    Model chance50.1%EV+5.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.91Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.32
    Closing odds2.02
    Odds down−0.30
    Model chance50.1%EV+16.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+26.1%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Unchanged
    Model chance54.5%EV+0.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.18
    Closing odds2.02
    Odds down−0.16
    Model chance50.1%EV+9.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate90.1%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+26.1%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+34.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate+33.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.17
    Closing odds2.05
    Odds down−0.12
    Model chance52.4%EV+13.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate90.1%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+28.0%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.92Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+32.8%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate+33.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate18.4%Closing EV estimate+21.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.4%EV+15.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.4%EV+15.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 13:26: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 32.5Actual: 43−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.06
Closing odds2.15
Odds up+0.09
Model chance at recommendation
55.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.81
Expected value at recommendation
+14.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +14.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 32.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.8%EV+24.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 31.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+29.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 33.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate+20.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 34.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 35.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 36.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 32.5
    At recommendation2.06
    Closing odds2.15
    Odds up+0.09
    Model chance55.4%EV+14.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 30.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 31.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+27.0%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 32.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 33.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate+20.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 34.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 35.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 36.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 37.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 32.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.8%EV+27.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 31.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+27.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 33.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate+23.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 34.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate+24.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 35.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+21.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 36.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 06:06: under 32.5 at 2.06 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 16:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · Málaga total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 16.5Actual: 24−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.10
Odds up+0.10
Model chance at recommendation
53.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.86
Expected value at recommendation
+7.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +7.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 16.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds2.15
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance55.6%EV+22.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 16.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+43.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+33.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 18.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+25.4%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 19.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate86.2%Closing EV estimate+19.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 16.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds up+0.10
    Model chance66.5%EV+26.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 16.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+33.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+33.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 18.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+29.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 16.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.10
    Odds up+0.10
    Model chance53.9%EV+7.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 16.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+39.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+33.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 18.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+21.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:48: under 16.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 14:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · Espanyol total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 17.5Actual: 19−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.75
Odds down−0.10
Model chance at recommendation
69.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.44
Expected value at recommendation
+29.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 69.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.44. Expected value at recommendation: +29.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 17.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.75
    Odds down−0.10
    Model chance69.7%EV+29.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 17.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate60.1%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 17.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.1%EV-9.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 14.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate33.5%Closing EV estimate−16.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate−15.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate−10.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimate60.1%Closing EV estimate−9.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 17.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.1%EV-3.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 15.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate−15.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate60.1%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 01:11: under 17.5 at 1.85 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−20.9%ROI · 20 units staked
Profit−4.18units
W / L8 / 12picks
Avg odds2.01settled picks
Recorded picks201 matches

Around this match

Previous meetings

Drag to move this button. Its position is remembered.