KAA Gent vs AGF 1-0 — UEFA Conference League

UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League 26/27

KAA Gent

1–0

AGF

Thu 15 Oct·10:45·Matchday 1·Ghelamco Arena·KAA Gent won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

11Corners2
2Cards2
22Shots4
4Shots on target1
10Fouls15
13Throw-ins14
1Offsides0
4Goal kicks10
0Saves3
11Tackles16
9Interceptions11
6Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

10:45KAA GentvAGFUEFA Conference League0 won / 2 lost · −2.00u · 2 picks

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 22.5Actual: 25−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0714 Oct, 22:48

Closing odds2.0715 Oct, 10:16

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 50.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 237 settled picksand +8.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 22.5
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds2.07
Unchanged
Model chance50.7%EV+4.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 10:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 21.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 09:56
- under 22.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 10:16
- under 23.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 10:16
- under 24.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 10:31
BetliveClosing estimateunder 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV+8.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 03:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate38.2%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:46
- under 21.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:46
- under 22.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:46
- under 23.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:46
- under 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:46
- under 25.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:46
- under 26.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:46
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV+3.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 02:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate38.2%Closing EV estimate+18.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 02:36
- under 21.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 02:36
- under 22.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 02:36
- under 23.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 02:36
- under 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 02:36
- under 25.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 02:36
- under 26.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 02:36
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV+8.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 09:11
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate38.2%Closing EV estimate+20.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 09:11
- under 21.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 09:11
- under 22.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 09:11
- under 23.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 09:11
- under 24.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 09:11
- under 25.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 09:11
- under 26.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 09:11

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 22:48: under 22.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Fouls · AGF total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 11.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0015 Oct, 02:18

Closing odds2.0015 Oct, 09:11

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 52.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +4.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +4.6%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 241 settled picksand +11.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance52.3%EV+4.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 09:11
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 09:11
- under 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 09:11
- under 13.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate71.5%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 09:11
BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV+8.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 03:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate42.8%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:46
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:46
- under 12.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:46
- under 13.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate71.5%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:46
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV+3.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 02:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate42.8%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 02:36
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 02:36
- under 12.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 02:36
- under 13.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate71.5%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 02:36
- under 14.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 02:36
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV-0.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 10:16
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 10:16

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 02:18: under 11.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−100.0%ROI · 2 units staked

Profit−2.00units

W / L0 / 2picks

Avg odds2.04settled picks

Recorded picks21 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Conference League Home teamKAA Gent Away teamAGF RefereeSariyev, Bulat

Match overview

Matches

Fouls · match total

Fouls · AGF total

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