Juventus vs Lazio 0-3 — Serie A

Serie ASerie A 26/27

Juventus

0–3

HT 0–1

Lazio

Sun 18 Oct·12:45·Matchday 7·Allianz Stadium·Lazio won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

5Corners7
0Cards2
9Shots9
2Shots on target3
7Fouls7
17Throw-ins10
6Offsides1
5Goal kicks10
0Saves2
25Tackles13
5Interceptions7
5Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45JuventusvLazioSerie A2 won / 1 lost · +1.64u · 3 picks

Corners · Juventus total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 5+1.04u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0417 Oct, 05:45

Closing odds2.1018 Oct, 12:34

Odds up+0.06

Model chance at recommendation: 53.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +8.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +8.3%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 180 settled picksand +1.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.04
Closing odds2.10
Odds up+0.06
Model chance53.1%EV+8.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds4.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:34
- under 4.5odds2.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:34
- under 5.5odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:34
- under 6.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:34
- under 7.5odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 8.5odds1.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:34
- under 9.5odds1.13Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:34
Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 18:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:01
BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 10:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds3.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:36
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:36
- under 6.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:36
- under 7.5odds1.36Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:36
- under 8.5odds1.16Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:36
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 07:54
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds3.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 07:54
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 07:54
- under 6.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 07:54
- under 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 07:54
- under 8.5odds1.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 07:54
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 6.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 7.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 8.5odds1.14Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 18:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds9.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:01
- under 3.5odds5.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:01
- under 4.5odds3.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:01
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:01
- under 6.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:01
- under 7.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:01
- under 8.5odds1.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:01
- under 9.5odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:01
- under 10.5odds1.03Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:01
- under 11.5odds1.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:01
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.22
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 11:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds20.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin4.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:32
- under 2.5odds8.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:32
- under 3.5odds5.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:32
- under 4.5odds3.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:32
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:32
- under 6.5odds1.72Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:32
- under 7.5odds1.43Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:32
- under 8.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:32
- under 9.5odds1.14Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:47
- under 10.5odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.2%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 13:19
- under 11.5odds1.03Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.2%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 13:19

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 05:45: under 5.5 at 2.04 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 03:39. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Lazio total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1516 Oct, 13:20

Closing odds2.2018 Oct, 12:34

Odds up+0.05

Model chance at recommendation: 55.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +18.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +18.8%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 125 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds2.20
Odds up+0.05
Model chance55.2%EV+18.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:34
- over 9.5odds1.83Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:34
- over 10.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:34
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- over 11.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- over 11.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- over 12.5odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 9.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 11.5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:49
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:47
- over 7.5odds1.21Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:36
- over 8.5odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:01
- over 9.5odds1.61Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:36
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:36
- over 11.5odds2.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:36
- over 12.5odds2.82Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:36
- over 13.5odds3.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 13:20: over 10.5 at 2.15 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 03:39. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 33.5Actual: 27+1.60u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.6018 Oct, 03:05

Closing odds2.6018 Oct, 03:04

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 62.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.60
Expected value at recommendation: +62.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 62.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.60. Expected value at recommendation: +62.8%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 452 settled picksand +1.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 33.5
At recommendation2.60
Closing odds2.60
Unchanged
Model chance62.6%EV+62.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 33.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 34.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 35.5odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 36.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 37.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 38.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 39.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 33.5
At recommendation2.55
Closing odds2.55
Unchanged
Model chance62.6%EV+59.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 33.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 34.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 35.5odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 36.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 37.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 38.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 39.5odds1.36Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 33.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 32.5odds2.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:36
- under 33.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:36
- under 34.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:36
- under 35.5odds1.57Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 03:05: under 33.5 at 2.60 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+54.7%ROI · 3 units staked

Profit+1.64units

W / L2 / 1picks

Avg odds2.26settled picks

Recorded picks31 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie A Home teamJuventus Away teamLazio RefereeMassa, Davide

Match overview

Matches

Corners · Juventus total

Shots · Lazio total

Throw-ins · match total

This match

Around this match

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