Grêmio vs Cruzeiro 2-4 — Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026

Grêmio

2–4

HT 2–1

Cruzeiro

Sun 18 Oct·13:00·Matchday 31·Arena do Grêmio·Cruzeiro won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

8Corners8
1Cards3
17Shots13
6Shots on target6
19Fouls16
13Throw-ins21
0Offsides1
6Goal kicks8
2Saves4
15Tackles10
8Interceptions7
2Dribbles3

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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Board

Matches

1 match

13:00GrêmiovCruzeiroBrasileirão Série A2 won / 1 lost · +1.15u · 3 picks

Goals · Cruzeiro total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 4+1.15u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1517 Oct, 03:49

Closing odds1.9018 Oct, 12:16

Odds down−0.25

Model chance at recommendation: 59.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +27.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 59.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +27.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 53 settled picksand +1.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance62.8%EV+19.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 18:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.18Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:02
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:02
- over 2.5odds4.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:02
- over 3.5odds11.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin4.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:02
- over 4.5odds26.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:02
BetliveAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.80
Odds down−0.15
Model chance61.3%EV+19.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:16
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.16Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 1.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 2.5odds3.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 3.5odds6.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 4.5odds8.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:09
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds1.80
Odds down−0.25
Model chance59.3%EV+21.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:16
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.16Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 1.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 2.5odds3.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 3.5odds6.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 4.5odds8.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:11
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.80
Odds down−0.05
Model chance62.8%EV+16.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:21
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.16Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:21
- over 1.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:21
- over 2.5odds3.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:21
- over 3.5odds6.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:21
- over 4.5odds8.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:11
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds1.90
Odds down−0.25
Model chance59.3%EV+27.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:16
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.18Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 1.5odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 2.5odds3.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 3.5odds8.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 4.5odds20.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin4.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.94
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.18Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:31
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.94Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:31
- over 2.5odds3.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:31
- over 3.5odds8.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 03:49: over 1.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Cruzeiro total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 14.5Actual: 13−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0016 Oct, 13:45

Closing odds1.7718 Oct, 12:31

Odds down−0.23

Model chance at recommendation: 59.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.68
Expected value at recommendation: +19.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 59.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +19.0%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 125 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.77
Odds down−0.23
Model chance59.5%EV+19.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.63Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
- over 14.5odds1.77Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:31
- over 15.5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:31
Bet365Closing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 18:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 18:02
SuperbetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.71
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:16
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:01
- over 12.5odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.71Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 15.5odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 16.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 17.5odds2.82Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 18.5odds3.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 13:45: over 14.5 at 2.00 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 12:31. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 12+1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0018 Oct, 05:31

Closing odds1.7618 Oct, 12:16

Odds down−0.24

Model chance at recommendation: 51.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.93
Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 237 settled picksand +0.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.76
Odds down−0.24
Model chance51.9%EV+3.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.02Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 8.5odds1.44Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:31
- over 9.5odds1.76Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 10.5odds2.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 11.5odds2.87Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 12.5odds3.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
- over 13.5odds5.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:16
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 05:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 05:30
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 05:30
- over 10.5odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 05:30
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.68
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:08
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 06:20
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:03
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:08
- over 10.5odds2.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:08
- over 11.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:04
- over 12.5odds3.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 18:20

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 05:31: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 12:01. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+38.3%ROI · 3 units staked

Profit+1.15units

W / L2 / 1picks

Avg odds2.05settled picks

Recorded picks31 matches

Around this match

CompetitionBrasileirão Série A Home teamGrêmio Away teamCruzeiro RefereeJoao Vitor Gobi

Match overview

Matches

Goals · Cruzeiro total

Shots · Cruzeiro total

Shots on target · match total

This match

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