Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano 1-1 — LaLiga

LaLigaLaLiga 26/27

Getafe

1–1

HT 0–1

Rayo Vallecano

Mon 19 Oct·13:00·Matchday 9·Coliseum Alfonso Pérez·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

8Corners8
6Cards3
12Shots21
4Shots on target5
12Fouls9
13Throw-ins15
0Offsides3
9Goal kicks5
4Saves3
14Tackles10
9Interceptions10
5Dribbles2

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

0Free available0VIP available1Recorded Free0Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

13:00GetafevRayo VallecanoLaLiga0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Shots · Rayo Vallecano total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 11.5Actual: 21−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9718 Oct, 07:42

Closing odds2.1519 Oct, 12:45

Odds up+0.18

Model chance at recommendation: 53.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +6.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +6.0%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 145 settled picksand +0.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds2.15
Odds up+0.18
Model chance53.8%EV+6.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 19 Oct, 12:45
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5odds3.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 03:03
- under 9.5odds3.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:45
- under 10.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:45
- under 11.5odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:45
- under 12.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.6%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:45
- under 13.5odds1.54Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:45
- under 14.5odds1.19Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:45
- under 15.5odds1.24Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.9%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:45
BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 19 Oct, 02:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 02:32
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 02:32
- under 12.5odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 02:32
- under 13.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 02:32
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 19 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 03:03
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 03:03
- under 12.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 03:03
- under 13.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 03:03
- under 14.5odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 03:03
KambiClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 19 Oct, 12:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 11:33
- under 12.5odds1.63Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:06
- under 13.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:06
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 19 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:33
- under 12.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:33
- under 13.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.1%Model unavailableCaptured 19 Oct, 12:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 07:42: under 11.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−100.0%ROI · 1 unit staked

Profit−1.00units

W / L0 / 1picks

Avg odds1.97settled picks

Recorded picks11 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLaLiga Home teamGetafe Away teamRayo Vallecano RefereeJon Ander Gonzalez Esteban

Match overview

Matches

Shots · Rayo Vallecano total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

On this page

This category

StatsGem