Fluminense vs Santos — Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026
Sun 18 Oct··Matchday 31·Estádio do Maracanã·Santos won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 4Corners5
- 2Cards · Result conflict1
- 8Shots17
- 2Shots on target5
- 18Fouls18
- 14Throw-ins17
- 9Goal kicks6
- 3Saves1
- 25Tackles19
- 11Interceptions12
- 15Dribbles15
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
Board
Matches
FluminensevSantosBrasileirão Série A2 won / 2 lost · +0.06u · 4 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 53.3%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.88
- Expected value at recommendation
- +9.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 53.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +9.7%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 41 settled picksand +10.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
Model chance53.3%EV+9.7%Odds up+0.24At recommendation2.06Closing odds2.30Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5odds5.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.4%
- under 7.5odds4.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.6%
- under 8.5odds3.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.5%
- under 9.5odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.8%
- under 10.5odds1.82Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.7%
- under 11.5odds1.52Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.7%
- under 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%
- under 13.5odds1.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.3%
- under 14.5odds1.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.3%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.00Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5odds5.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%
- under 7.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%
- under 8.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.5%
- under 10.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%
- under 11.5odds1.41Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.5%
- under 12.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%
- under 13.5odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%
- under 14.5odds1.02Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.00Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:17Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 7.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%
- under 8.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.5%
- under 10.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%
- under 11.5odds1.41Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.5%
- under 12.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.00Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:17Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 7.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%
- under 8.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.5%
- under 10.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%
- under 11.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%
- under 12.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.95Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 18:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5odds15.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.2%
- under 5.5odds8.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.9%
- under 6.5odds6.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%
- under 7.5odds3.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%
- under 8.5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.3%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.2%
- under 10.5odds1.57Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%
- under 11.5odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.2%
- under 12.5odds1.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.8%
- under 13.5odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%
- under 14.5odds1.04Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.7%
- under 15.5odds1.01Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.10Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 10:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds50.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—
- under 3.5odds23.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin4.1%
- under 4.5odds13.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.7%
- under 5.5odds7.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- under 6.5odds5.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%
- under 7.5odds3.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%
- under 8.5odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- under 10.5odds1.73Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%
- under 11.5odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%
- under 12.5odds1.31Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%
- under 13.5odds1.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%
- under 14.5odds1.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- under 15.5odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%
- under 16.5odds1.04Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.9%
- under 17.5odds1.02Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.7%
- under 18.5odds1.01Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.0%
Recommendation record
Recorded 13 Oct, 11:45: under 9.5 at 2.06 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:07. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 52.4%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.91
- Expected value at recommendation
- +4.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +4.8%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 70 settled picksand +8.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 13.5
Model chance52.4%EV+4.8%UnchangedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds2.00Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 11:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 11.5odds1.46Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%
- over 12.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%
- over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 01:08: over 13.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 10:03. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 57.0%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.76
- Expected value at recommendation
- +4.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 39 settled picksand +8.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
Model chance57.0%EV+4.9%Odds up+0.07At recommendation1.84Closing odds1.91Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 11.5odds2.04Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
- under 12.5odds1.91Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- under 13.5odds1.66Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 12.5
Model chance54.9%EV+12.6%Odds up+0.02At recommendation2.05Closing odds2.07Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5odds4.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%
- under 10.5odds3.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- under 11.5odds2.52Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- under 12.5odds2.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- under 13.5odds1.76Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%
- under 14.5odds1.53Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%
- under 15.5odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%
- under 16.5odds1.26Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%
Bet365Closing estimateunder 12.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.73Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 18:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 12:33: under 12.5 at 1.84 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 12:47. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 50.5%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.98
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 50.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +1.0%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 80 settled picksand +30.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance50.5%EV+1.0%Odds down−0.09At recommendation2.00Closing odds1.91Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 18:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 9.5odds1.91Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance53.4%EV+4.1%UnchangedAt recommendation1.95Closing odds1.95Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 05:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.5%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
- over 10.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.61Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 6.5odds1.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%
- over 7.5odds1.18Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.61Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- over 10.5odds1.98Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- over 11.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.74Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.02Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.7%
- over 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%
- over 7.5odds1.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%
- over 8.5odds1.43Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.74Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- over 10.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.7%
- over 11.5odds2.82Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%
- over 12.5odds3.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- over 13.5odds5.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 07:42: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Predictions
This match
Around this match
Previous meetings
- Sun 19 AprSantos 2-3 Fluminense
- Sun 31 AugSantos 0-0 Fluminense
- Sun 13 AprFluminense 1-0 Santos
- Wed 29 NovSantos 0-3 Fluminense
- Sat 29 JulFluminense 1-0 Santos
- Mon 1 AugSantos 2-2 Fluminense
- Sat 9 AprFluminense 0-0 Santos
- Wed 27 OctSantos 2-0 Fluminense
- Thu 17 JunFluminense 1-0 Santos
- Sun 21 FebSantos 1-1 Fluminense