FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew — MLS
MLSMLS 2026
Sun 18 Oct··TQL Stadium·Columbus Crew won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 2Corners2
- 2Cards2
- 23Shots3
- 7Shots on target2
- 13Fouls16
- 20Throw-ins17
- 2Offsides4
- 2Goal kicks15
- 0Saves7
- 18Tackles21
- 9Interceptions10
- 9Dribbles2
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
Board
Matches
FC CincinnativColumbus CrewMLS1 won / 1 lost · −0.05u · 2 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 59.5%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.69
- Expected value at recommendation
- +9.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 59.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +9.5%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 122 settled picksand +2.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance59.5%EV+9.5%Odds down−0.19At recommendation1.84Closing odds1.65Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 14:47Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%
- over 4.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%
- over 5.5odds2.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.3%
- over 6.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.2%
- over 7.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.9%
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.73Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 20:00Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.55Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 5.5odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%
- over 6.5odds3.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- over 7.5odds5.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.55Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 10:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.5%
- over 5.5odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.60Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 14:47Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.24Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.1%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.6%
- over 5.5odds2.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.5%
- over 6.5odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.3%
- over 7.5odds5.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.3%
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.65Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 20:00Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- over 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- over 5.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%
- over 6.5odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%
- over 7.5odds5.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- over 8.5odds8.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%
- over 9.5odds11.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.68Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 13:45Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.3%
- over 2.5odds1.14Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%
- over 3.5odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%
- over 5.5odds2.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%
- over 6.5odds3.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%
- over 7.5odds4.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 15:12: over 4.5 at 1.84 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 15:20. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 51.7%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.94
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 51.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 120 settled picksand +2.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
Model chance51.7%EV+0.8%Odds up+0.17At recommendation1.95Closing odds2.12Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 14:45Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.9%
- under 10.5odds2.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.9%
- under 11.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%
- under 12.5odds1.44Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- under 13.5odds1.26Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.60Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 05:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
- under 11.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.77Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 14:16Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5odds6.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%
- under 7.5odds4.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.8%
- under 8.5odds3.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%
- under 9.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.77Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%
- under 11.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.5%
- under 12.5odds1.26Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%
- under 13.5odds1.14Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%
- under 14.5odds1.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 06:09: under 10.5 at 1.95 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 13:01. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions
This match
Around this match
Previous meetings
- Sat 25 JulColumbus Crew 2-1 FC Cincinnati
- Sat 8 NovFC Cincinnati 2-1 Columbus Crew
- Sun 2 NovColumbus Crew 4-0 FC Cincinnati
- Mon 27 OctFC Cincinnati 1-0 Columbus Crew
- Sat 12 JulFC Cincinnati 2-4 Columbus Crew
- Sat 17 MayColumbus Crew 1-1 FC Cincinnati
- Sat 14 SepFC Cincinnati 0-0 Columbus Crew
- Sat 11 MayColumbus Crew 1-2 FC Cincinnati
- Sat 2 DecFC Cincinnati 2-2 Columbus Crew
- Sun 20 AugColumbus Crew 3-0 FC Cincinnati