CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco 1-2 — UEFA Conference League

UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League 26/27

CSKA Sofia

1–2

HT 0–2

AS Monaco

Thu 15 Oct·10:45·Matchday 1·Neutral venue·Vasil Levski National Sports Academy·AS Monaco won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

12Corners1
3Cards1
21Shots10
5Shots on target5
13Fouls12
32Throw-ins14
1Offsides2
6Goal kicks12
3Saves4
15Tackles18
5Interceptions8
4Dribbles13

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

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Matches

1 match

10:45CSKA SofiavAS MonacoUEFA Conference League1 won / 1 lost · +0.00u · 2 picks

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 23.5Actual: 25−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0514 Oct, 23:00

Closing odds2.0715 Oct, 09:51

Odds up+0.02

Model chance at recommendation: 53.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +9.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +9.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 237 settled picksand +8.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 23.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds2.07
Odds up+0.02
Model chance53.5%EV+9.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 09:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 23.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 09:51
- under 24.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate63.7%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 08:47
- under 25.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 08:12
BetliveClosing estimateunder 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.4%EV+20.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 03:42
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 21.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate44.0%Closing EV estimate+32.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- under 22odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- under 22.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate+26.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- under 23odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- under 24odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- under 24.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate63.7%Closing EV estimate+17.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- under 25odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- under 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- under 26odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- under 26.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- under 27odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- under 27.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate79.7%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.4%EV+14.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 03:17
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 21.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate44.0%Closing EV estimate+29.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:17
- under 22.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate+24.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:17
- under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate+14.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:17
- under 24.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate63.7%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:17
- under 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:17
- under 26.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:17
- under 27.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate79.7%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:17
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.4%EV+20.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 07:17
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 21.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate44.0%Closing EV estimate+38.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 07:17
- under 22.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate+26.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 07:17
- under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 07:17
- under 24.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate63.7%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 07:17
- under 25.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 07:17
- under 26.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 07:17
- under 27.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate79.7%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 07:17

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 23:00: under 23.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Fouls · AS Monaco total

Open match →VIPWon

over 11.5Actual: 12+1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0014 Oct, 01:08

Closing odds2.0514 Oct, 11:00

Odds up+0.05

Model chance at recommendation: 53.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +7.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +7.0%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 41 settled picksand +23.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.05
Odds up+0.05
Model chance53.5%EV+7.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 14 Oct, 11:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 11:00
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.8%EV-6.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 03:42
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10odds1.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- over 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- over 11odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- over 12odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
- over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate41.1%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:42
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.8%EV-3.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 03:17
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:17
- over 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:17
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:17
- over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate41.1%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:17
- over 13.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate32.0%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 03:17
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.8%EV-6.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 07:17
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 07:17
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 07:17
- over 12.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate41.1%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 07:17

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 01:08: over 11.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 15:27. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+0.0%ROI · 2 units staked

Profit+0.00units

W / L1 / 1picks

Avg odds2.02settled picks

Recorded picks21 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Conference League Home teamCSKA Sofia Away teamAS Monaco RefereeJoao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves