Coritiba vs Botafogo — Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026

Coritiba

1–1

HT 1–1

Botafogo

Mon 12 Oct··Matchday 30·Estádio Couto Pereira·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 8Corners7
  • 5Cards2
  • 13Shots18
  • 3Shots on target5
  • 16Fouls13
  • 15Throw-ins30
  • 2Offsides0
  • 15Goal kicks5
  • 4Saves3
  • 11Tackles9
  • 8Interceptions6
  • 7Dribbles8
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free2Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
CoritibavBotafogoBrasileirão Série A1 won / 7 lost · −5.98u · 8 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.23
Closing odds2.20
Odds down−0.03
Model chance at recommendation
53.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.87
Expected value at recommendation
+19.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +19.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation2.23
    Closing odds2.20
    Odds down−0.03
    Model chance53.7%EV+19.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation2.47
    Closing odds2.15
    Odds down−0.32
    Model chance53.7%EV+32.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate2.9%Closing EV estimate−96.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate13.0%Closing EV estimate−35.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate30.9%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV+14.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 09:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV+4.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 07:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate13.0%Closing EV estimate−29.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate30.9%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV+4.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 07:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate13.0%Closing EV estimate−31.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate30.9%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV+14.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV+4.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 07:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate13.0%Closing EV estimate−29.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate30.9%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin15.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 16:17: under 3.5 at 2.23 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Coritiba total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.22
Closing odds2.02
Odds down−0.20
Model chance at recommendation
50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
2.00
Expected value at recommendation
+11.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +11.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.22
    Closing odds2.02
    Odds down−0.20
    Model chance50.2%EV+11.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate15.7%Closing EV estimate−26.1%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.3%EV+3.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.3%EV-3.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.3%EV+11.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 22:47: under 1.5 at 2.22 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 23.5Actual: 29−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds2.15
Odds up+0.18
Model chance at recommendation
72.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.39
Expected value at recommendation
+41.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 72.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.39. Expected value at recommendation: +41.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 23.5
    At recommendation1.97
    Closing odds2.15
    Odds up+0.18
    Model chance72.0%EV+41.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds2.32Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+32.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+38.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+31.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 23.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance64.5%EV+19.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 05:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 21.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate+33.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+28.5%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+19.3%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate86.7%Closing EV estimate+21.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 28.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate90.2%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance64.5%EV+19.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 05:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+25.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+19.3%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+39.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+36.0%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance64.5%EV+25.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 09:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+31.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+25.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate86.7%Closing EV estimate+25.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 28.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate90.2%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 00:06: under 23.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 01:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Botafogo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 13−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds1.97
Odds up+0.05
Model chance at recommendation
73.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.37
Expected value at recommendation
+40.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 73.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.37. Expected value at recommendation: +40.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
    At recommendation1.92
    Closing odds1.97
    Odds up+0.05
    Model chance73.2%EV+40.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 11:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+34.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+33.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+22.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance67.8%EV+38.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 05:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+38.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance67.8%EV+25.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 05:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+34.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+25.4%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+19.0%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+34.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance67.8%EV+28.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 09:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+28.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+19.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+30.2%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 00:06: under 12.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 01:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 30.5Actual: 31+1.02u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds1.88
Odds down−0.14
Model chance at recommendation
51.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.94
Expected value at recommendation
+4.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +4.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationover 30.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.1%EV+5.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 30.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 30.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds1.88
    Odds down−0.14
    Model chance51.8%EV+4.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 26.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate44.3%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.43Closing chance estimate38.1%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 33.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 30.5
    At recommendation2.17
    Closing odds1.88
    Odds down−0.29
    Model chance51.8%EV+12.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 11:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 25.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate80.3%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate44.3%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate38.1%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 33.5odds2.92Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 34.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.7%EV+1.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 03:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 28.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:22: over 30.5 at 2.02 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Coritiba total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 14.5Actual: 13−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds1.66
Odds down−0.21
Model chance at recommendation
58.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.71
Expected value at recommendation
+9.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 14.5
    At recommendation1.87
    Closing odds1.66
    Odds down−0.21
    Model chance58.8%EV+9.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate56.1%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate40.7%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate33.5%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 14.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.1%EV+0.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate56.1%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 14.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.1%EV-3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate56.1%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.98Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate40.7%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 14:22: over 14.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
56.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.78
Expected value at recommendation
+18.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +18.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance56.4%EV+18.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:13

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+28.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds down−0.10
    Model chance61.2%EV+28.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 05:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate82.8%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.87
    Closing odds1.73
    Odds down−0.14
    Model chance56.4%EV+5.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate90.2%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate82.8%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate26.8%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.87
    Closing odds1.68
    Odds down−0.19
    Model chance56.4%EV+5.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 11:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate95.2%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate90.2%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate82.8%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.68Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate26.8%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate18.3%Closing EV estimate−12.3%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance61.3%EV+37.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate82.8%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate+27.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+37.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+44.6%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance61.3%EV+25.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 09:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate90.2%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate82.8%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+25.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+32.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate+43.3%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:22: over 9.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Coritiba total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
57.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.76
Expected value at recommendation
+8.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +8.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Unchanged
    Model chance57.0%EV+8.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:13

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation1.87
    Closing odds1.79
    Odds down−0.08
    Model chance57.0%EV+6.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate88.7%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.79Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate42.9%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate28.1%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance59.7%EV+16.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance59.7%EV+7.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 05:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate42.9%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance59.7%EV+10.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 09:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.66
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance59.7%EV-0.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate88.7%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.66Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate42.9%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate28.1%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate16.8%Closing EV estimate−20.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:22: over 4.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−74.8%ROI · 8 units staked
Profit−5.98units
W / L1 / 7picks
Avg odds2.03settled picks
Recorded picks81 matches

Around this match

CompetitionBrasileirão Série AHome teamCoritibaAway teamBotafogoRefereeMatheus Delgado Candançan

Previous meetings

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