Como vs Roma — Serie A

Serie ASerie A 26/27

Como

0–0

HT 0–0

Roma

Sun 11 Oct··Matchday 6·Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 6Corners2
  • 2Cards3
  • 19Shots9
  • 4Shots on target2
  • 9Fouls9
  • 23Throw-ins25
  • 0Offsides3
  • 8Goal kicks10
  • 2Saves4
  • 18Tackles17
  • 12Interceptions7
  • 10Dribbles8
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available9Recorded Free6Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
ComovRomaSerie A5 won / 10 lost · −4.66u · 15 picks

Cards · Como total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.18
Closing odds2.12
Odds down−0.06
Model chance at recommendation
59.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.69
Expected value at recommendation
+29.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +29.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Unchanged
    Model chance60.0%EV+34.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+34.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate83.9%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Unchanged
    Model chance60.0%EV+37.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+37.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate83.9%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate94.9%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.18
    Closing odds2.12
    Odds down−0.06
    Model chance59.4%EV+29.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+27.1%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate83.9%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.20
    Odds up+0.20
    Model chance59.4%EV+18.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:07

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+31.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate83.9%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.30
    Odds up+0.15
    Model chance59.4%EV+27.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 15:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate25.2%Closing EV estimate+41.2%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+37.9%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate83.9%Closing EV estimate+18.3%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:17: under 1.5 at 2.18 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Roma total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds2.45
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
50.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.98
Expected value at recommendation
+24.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +24.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Unchanged
    Model chance57.4%EV+40.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate59.3%Closing EV estimate+45.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate83.4%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.65
    Closing odds2.45
    Odds down−0.20
    Model chance50.8%EV+34.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate59.3%Closing EV estimate+45.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate83.4%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin16.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.8%EV+24.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 04:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate59.3%Closing EV estimate+45.3%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate83.4%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds2.40
    Odds up+0.10
    Model chance50.8%EV+16.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:07

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate59.3%Closing EV estimate+42.4%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate83.4%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.47
    Closing odds2.52
    Odds up+0.05
    Model chance50.8%EV+25.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate24.8%Closing EV estimate−74.3%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate59.3%Closing EV estimate+49.5%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate83.4%Closing EV estimate+26.0%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 04:47: under 1.5 at 2.45 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Como total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
81.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.23
Expected value at recommendation
+55.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 81.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.23. Expected value at recommendation: +55.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Unchanged
    Model chance81.6%EV+55.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 22:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+55.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance81.6%EV+55.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+112.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+55.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate91.4%Closing EV estimate+31.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate96.4%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance81.6%EV+59.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+129.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+59.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate91.4%Closing EV estimate+37.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate96.4%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance81.6%EV+63.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+101.4%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.2%Model unavailable
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+63.2%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate91.4%Closing EV estimate+43.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate96.4%Closing EV estimate+27.2%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate98.6%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance81.6%EV+63.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds5.15Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+125.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds3.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.9%Model unavailable
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+63.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate91.4%Closing EV estimate+37.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate96.4%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate98.6%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance81.6%EV+51.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+110.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.88Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailable
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+51.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate91.4%Closing EV estimate+31.9%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.97
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance81.6%EV+60.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 20:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds28.00Closing chance estimate5.6%Closing EV estimate+57.8%margin3.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds9.30Closing chance estimate21.4%Closing EV estimate+98.7%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+108.0%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.0%Model unavailable
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+60.8%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.54Closing chance estimate91.4%Closing EV estimate+40.7%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate96.4%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate98.6%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate99.5%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate99.8%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate100.0%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 02:48: under 4.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 20.5Actual: 18+1.30u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds2.30
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
58.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.71
Expected value at recommendation
+34.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +34.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 20.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 21.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+72.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+59.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate+49.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+38.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate92.6%Closing EV estimate+28.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 20.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 19.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate+70.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 21.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+68.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+55.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate+49.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+38.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate92.6%Closing EV estimate+29.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 20.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Unchanged
    Model chance58.6%EV+34.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.9%Model unavailable
    • under 21.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+79.9%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+67.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate+53.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+43.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate92.6%Closing EV estimate+29.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 10:42: under 20.5 at 2.30 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Roma total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 9+0.92u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds2.00
Odds up+0.08
Model chance at recommendation
68.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.46
Expected value at recommendation
+31.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 68.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.46. Expected value at recommendation: +31.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance77.3%EV+43.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+52.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+43.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+27.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance77.3%EV+35.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate44.2%Closing EV estimate+45.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+60.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+42.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+27.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance77.3%EV+39.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+42.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+39.2%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+27.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
    At recommendation1.92
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds up+0.08
    Model chance68.7%EV+31.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate+54.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+45.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:17: under 12.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Como total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.85
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
66.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.52
Expected value at recommendation
+25.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 66.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +25.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.2%EV+29.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate85.8%Closing EV estimate+13.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+29.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+35.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.85
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance66.2%EV+25.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+22.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.2%EV+22.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+22.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+24.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 9.5 at 1.90 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Como total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 8.5Actual: 8+1.15u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds2.15
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
56.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.78
Expected value at recommendation
+21.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +21.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Unchanged
    Model chance56.3%EV+21.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate23.0%Closing EV estimate−50.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−42.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance23.0%EV-52.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 7.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate14.2%Closing EV estimate−61.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate23.0%Closing EV estimate−52.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−44.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate45.7%Closing EV estimate−36.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance23.0%EV-49.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate23.0%Closing EV estimate−49.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−40.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate45.7%Closing EV estimate−33.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.88
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance23.0%EV-56.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate23.0%Closing EV estimate−56.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 10:42: under 8.5 at 2.15 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 21:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Roma total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 7.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.75
Closing odds2.75
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
66.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.51
Expected value at recommendation
+83.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 66.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +83.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 7.5
    At recommendation2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Unchanged
    Model chance66.6%EV+83.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate+83.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+61.2%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate+44.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate93.1%Closing EV estimate+29.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 02:48: under 7.5 at 2.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds2.50
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
54.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.83
Expected value at recommendation
+37.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +37.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Unchanged
    Model chance54.9%EV+37.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate+28.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.4%EV+41.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate92.6%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate+29.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate+41.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+59.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.4%EV+38.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate92.6%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate+29.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.70Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate+38.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+54.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:32: over 5.5 at 2.50 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · Como total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 0+1.15u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds2.15
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
53.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.89
Expected value at recommendation
+14.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +14.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Unchanged
    Model chance53.0%EV+14.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds2.10
    Odds down−0.10
    Model chance53.0%EV+16.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate20.5%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds2.05
    Odds down−0.20
    Model chance53.0%EV+19.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 02:48: under 1.5 at 2.15 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 31.5Actual: 28−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.65
Closing odds2.43
Odds down−0.22
Model chance at recommendation
51.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.94
Expected value at recommendation
+37.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +37.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 31.5
    At recommendation2.65
    Closing odds2.43
    Odds down−0.22
    Model chance51.8%EV+37.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 25.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate55.9%Closing EV estimate+18.5%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5odds2.43Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+22.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.45
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.8%EV+22.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 24.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate55.9%Closing EV estimate+18.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.87Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+25.6%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 33.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate38.0%Closing EV estimate+29.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.8%EV+19.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 25.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate55.9%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+22.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.8%EV+14.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 25.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate55.9%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+20.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.8%EV-2.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 26.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate55.9%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 33.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate38.0%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 04:47: over 31.5 at 2.65 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 16:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Como total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 19+0.82u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.82
Closing odds1.64
Odds down−0.18
Model chance at recommendation
64.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.55
Expected value at recommendation
+17.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 64.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +17.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 15.5
    At recommendation1.82
    Closing odds1.67
    Odds down−0.15
    Model chance64.5%EV+17.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 15.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate12.8%Closing EV estimate−78.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
    At recommendation1.82
    Closing odds1.64
    Odds down−0.18
    Model chance64.8%EV+17.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−72.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate12.8%Closing EV estimate−79.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds1.86Closing chance estimate8.3%Closing EV estimate−84.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance12.8%EV-77.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate46.3%Closing EV estimate−42.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailable
    • over 13.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailable
    • over 14.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−70.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate12.8%Closing EV estimate−77.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate8.3%Closing EV estimate−82.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate5.3%Closing EV estimate−87.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate3.2%Closing EV estimate−90.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance12.8%EV-77.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate12.8%Closing EV estimate−77.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance12.8%EV-77.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailable
    • over 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−71.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate12.8%Closing EV estimate−77.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate8.3%Closing EV estimate−82.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate5.3%Closing EV estimate−86.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance12.8%EV-78.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailable
    • over 13.5odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • over 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−71.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate12.8%Closing EV estimate−78.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate8.3%Closing EV estimate−83.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate5.3%Closing EV estimate−87.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance12.8%EV-79.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−70.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate12.8%Closing EV estimate−79.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate8.3%Closing EV estimate−84.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate5.3%Closing EV estimate−88.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 04:47: over 15.5 at 1.82 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 11:34. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Como total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 15.5Actual: 19−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
87.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.15
Expected value at recommendation
+66.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 87.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.15. Expected value at recommendation: +66.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 15.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Unchanged
    Model chance87.2%EV+66.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+66.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance87.2%EV+70.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+70.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance87.2%EV+57.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 13.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailable
    • under 14.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+74.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+57.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+42.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate+29.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance87.2%EV+65.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5odds3.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailable
    • under 13.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 14.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+78.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+65.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+46.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate+32.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.98
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance87.2%EV+72.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 14.5odds2.32Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+88.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.98Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+72.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+58.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance87.2%EV+74.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 14.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+70.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+74.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+55.8%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate+42.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.92
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance87.2%EV+67.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate+93.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds3.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailable
    • under 13.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailable
    • under 14.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+84.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+67.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+52.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate+40.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 18.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate96.8%Closing EV estimate+29.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 15.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.73
Odds down−0.12
Model chance at recommendation
54.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.83
Expected value at recommendation
+1.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +1.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.73
    Odds down−0.12
    Model chance54.7%EV+1.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate32.6%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate22.8%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.88
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.4%EV+6.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate93.8%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate32.6%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds4.65Closing chance estimate22.8%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds5.90Closing chance estimate15.2%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.4%EV-4.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate32.6%Closing EV estimate−12.0%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.4%EV-4.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.6%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.4%EV-6.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate32.6%Closing EV estimate−15.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate22.8%Closing EV estimate−18.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:06: over 9.5 at 1.85 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Como total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds1.83
Odds down−0.27
Model chance at recommendation
54.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.84
Expected value at recommendation
+14.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +14.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.27
    Model chance54.5%EV+14.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 21:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−68.8%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds2.04
    Odds down−0.21
    Model chance54.5%EV+22.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds2.04Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−65.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Unchanged
    Model chance54.5%EV+17.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−35.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate31.2%Closing EV estimate−50.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−63.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.45
    Closing odds2.35
    Odds down−0.10
    Model chance52.7%EV+29.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate−21.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−32.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate31.2%Closing EV estimate−46.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−60.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate8.2%Closing EV estimate−72.9%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate3.6%Closing EV estimate−82.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance17.0%EV-64.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate31.2%Closing EV estimate−51.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−64.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance17.0%EV-62.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−36.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate31.2%Closing EV estimate−50.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−62.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.98
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance17.0%EV-66.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−39.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate31.2%Closing EV estimate−53.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.98Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−66.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate8.2%Closing EV estimate−77.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 11:34: over 5.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 21:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−31.1%ROI · 15 units staked
Profit−4.66units
W / L5 / 10picks
Avg odds2.17settled picks
Recorded picks151 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie AHome teamComoAway teamRomaRefereeMichael Fabbri

Previous meetings

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