Cesena vs Avellino — Serie B
Serie BSerie B 26/27
Sun 18 Oct··Matchday 7·Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi·Drawn
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 7Corners5
- 1Cards1
- 18Shots20
- 6Shots on target4
- 14Fouls6
- 26Throw-ins25
- 2Offsides1
- 12Goal kicks6
- 3Saves3
- 8Tackles12
- 17Interceptions8
- 6Dribbles6
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
Board
Matches
CesenavAvellinoSerie B3 won / 0 lost · +2.90u · 3 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 50.9%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.97
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 50.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +1.8%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 212 settled picksand +12.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance50.9%EV+1.8%UnchangedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds2.00Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 15:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.85Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 20:09Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.03Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%
- over 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%
- over 7.5odds1.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.9%
- over 10.5odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%
- over 11.5odds2.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
- over 12.5odds3.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%
- over 13.5odds5.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.85Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 09:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%
- over 7.5odds1.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.9%
- over 10.5odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%
- over 11.5odds2.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.82Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:16Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.6%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%
- over 10.5odds2.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.2%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.80Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.01Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%
- over 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%
- over 7.5odds1.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.7%
- over 10.5odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.9%
- over 11.5odds2.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
- over 12.5odds4.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 13.5odds5.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.92Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 09:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.04Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.0%
- over 5.5odds1.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%
- over 6.5odds1.21Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.6%
- over 7.5odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%
- over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%
- over 10.5odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%
- over 11.5odds3.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%
- over 12.5odds4.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%
- over 13.5odds5.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%
- over 14.5odds7.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.5%
Recommendation record
Recorded 14 Oct, 00:36: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 06:18. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 52.7%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.90
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +2.8%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 266 settled picksand +11.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 27.5
Model chance52.7%EV+2.8%Odds up+0.05At recommendation1.95Closing odds2.00Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:16Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 22.5odds1.19Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%
- over 23.5odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%
- over 24.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%
- over 25.5odds1.54Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%
- over 26.5odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%
- over 27.5odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%
- over 28.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%
- over 29.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%
- over 30.5odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%
- over 31.5odds3.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 16 Oct, 09:36: over 27.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 08:01. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 51.8%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.93
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 51.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +1.1%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 228 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
Model chance51.8%EV+1.1%Odds up+0.17At recommendation1.95Closing odds2.12Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:56Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.04Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- over 5.5odds1.14Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%
- over 6.5odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%
- over 7.5odds1.63Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.5%
- over 8.5odds2.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%
- over 9.5odds2.77Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.2%
- over 10.5odds3.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- over 11.5odds5.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
- over 12.5odds7.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 09:02: over 8.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 08:01. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions