Celta Vigo vs Juventus — UEFA Europa League

UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League 26/27

Celta Vigo

1–2

HT 1–0

Juventus

Thu 15 Oct··Matchday 2·Municipal de Balaidos·Juventus won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 2Corners7
  • 2Cards2
  • 9Shots22
  • 2Shots on target6
  • 12Fouls19
  • 17Throw-ins19
  • 5Goal kicks7
  • 4Saves1
  • 19Tackles19
  • 13Interceptions15
  • 6Dribbles9
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available4Recorded Free3Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
Celta VigovJuventusUEFA Europa League2 won / 3 lost · −1.09u · 7 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 8.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds1.83
Odds down−0.27
Model chance at recommendation
50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
2.00
Expected value at recommendation
+5.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.27
    Model chance50.2%EV+5.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−9.9%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate29.9%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.38Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.4%EV-0.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 09:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.4%EV-3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:57

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate10.2%Closing EV estimate−26.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds4.65Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−12.8%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate29.9%Closing EV estimate−10.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.4%EV-3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:17

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds6.75Closing chance estimate10.2%Closing EV estimate−31.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−15.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate29.9%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.4%EV-3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds8.15Closing chance estimate10.2%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate29.9%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.4%EV+1.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 05:58

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.0%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.9%Model unavailable
Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 18:42: under 8.5 at 2.10 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Celta Vigo total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
50.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
2.00
Expected value at recommendation
+10.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +10.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 37 settled picksand +21.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance50.1%EV+10.2%
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.25
    Odds up+0.15
    Model chance50.1%EV+5.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 10:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate96.8%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds27.00Closing chance estimate0.8%Closing EV estimate−78.8%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.23
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance39.4%EV-12.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.23Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance39.4%EV-15.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:57

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate−12.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate56.1%Closing EV estimate−13.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate−15.4%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate25.2%Closing EV estimate−19.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate14.8%Closing EV estimate−23.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance39.4%EV-23.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 14 Oct, 06:11

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate56.1%Closing EV estimate−18.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate−23.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate25.2%Closing EV estimate−28.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate14.8%Closing EV estimate−29.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.23
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance39.4%EV-12.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate56.1%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.23Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate25.2%Closing EV estimate−20.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate14.8%Closing EV estimate−33.4%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance39.4%EV-15.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate56.1%Closing EV estimate−15.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate−15.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate25.2%Closing EV estimate−16.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate14.8%Closing EV estimate−18.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance39.4%EV-11.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate56.1%Closing EV estimate−11.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate25.2%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 13:25: over 4.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 19:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelAwaiting result

Awaiting a verified result for this recorded pick.

under 2.5
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation3.45
Closing odds2.75
Odds down−0.70
Model chance at recommendation
55.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.80
Expected value at recommendation
+91.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +91.8%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 98 settled picksand +3.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Unchanged
    Model chance56.4%EV+55.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 08:24

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+57.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+38.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+19.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate95.2%Closing EV estimate+21.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation3.45
    Closing odds2.75
    Odds down−0.70
    Model chance55.6%EV+91.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 11:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds9.90Closing chance estimate10.0%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate+63.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+57.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+38.1%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+21.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate95.2%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.3%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.1%EV+57.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 06:08

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate+68.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+57.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+41.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+19.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate95.2%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 10:11: under 2.5 at 3.45 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 15:34. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · Celta Vigo total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelAwaiting result

Awaiting a verified result for this recorded pick.

under 1.5
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds2.10
Odds down−0.20
Model chance at recommendation
69.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.44
Expected value at recommendation
+60.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 69.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.44. Expected value at recommendation: +60.7%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 72 settled picksand +25.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds2.10
    Odds down−0.25
    Model chance70.1%EV+64.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 08:28

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate+48.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.45
    Closing odds2.10
    Odds down−0.35
    Model chance70.1%EV+71.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 06:08

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate35.1%Closing EV estimate+84.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate+48.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+21.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate97.2%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds2.10
    Odds down−0.20
    Model chance69.9%EV+60.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 11:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate+48.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+23.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate97.2%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 10:11: under 1.5 at 2.30 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Celta Vigo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 10.5Actual: 9+0.91u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.83
Odds down−0.08
Model chance at recommendation
55.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+5.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +5.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.08
    Model chance55.1%EV+5.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 13:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.9%EV-5.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.9%EV+9.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.9%EV+9.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 01:43

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.76
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.9%EV-3.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.76Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.9%EV+23.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 11:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+14.8%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.9%EV+13.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:58

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin5.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 18:42: under 10.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:15. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Juventus total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 22−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.94
Closing odds1.75
Odds down−0.19
Model chance at recommendation
60.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.65
Expected value at recommendation
+17.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 60.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +17.7%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +9.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
    At recommendation1.94
    Closing odds1.75
    Odds down−0.19
    Model chance60.7%EV+17.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.1%EV-0.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.1%EV+22.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+34.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+22.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.1%EV+14.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 01:43

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+29.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.1%EV+28.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 11:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+28.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate+20.0%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.02
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.1%EV+15.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:58

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate32.0%Closing EV estimate+21.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate40.3%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 16:48: under 12.5 at 1.94 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 15 Oct, 12:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 8.5Actual: 8+1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.80
Odds down−0.20
Model chance at recommendation
54.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.83
Expected value at recommendation
+9.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +9.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.80
    Odds down−0.20
    Model chance54.9%EV+9.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 01:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.6%EV+15.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 01:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 7.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.9%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.6%EV+15.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 01:43

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate+27.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.9%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.72
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.6%EV+7.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.23Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.72Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate73.9%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.6%EV+37.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 11:12

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds4.05Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate+47.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+41.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+37.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate73.9%Closing EV estimate+29.3%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+20.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate93.9%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.6%EV+25.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 12:58

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds9.00Closing chance estimate14.0%Closing EV estimate+26.1%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds5.65Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate+36.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate+36.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+31.7%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate93.9%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 18:42: under 8.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 16:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−21.8%ROI · 5 units staked
Profit−1.09units
W / L2 / 3picks
Avg odds2.03settled picks
Recorded picks72 awaiting result

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Europa LeagueHome teamCelta VigoAway teamJuventusRefereevan der Eijk, Sander
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