Cagliari vs Juventus — Serie A

Serie ASerie A 26/27

Cagliari

1–1

HT 1–0

Juventus

Sun 11 Oct··Matchday 6·Unipol Domus, Cagliari·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 1Corners9
  • 2Cards1
  • 4Shots22
  • 2Shots on target10
  • 8Fouls8
  • 12Throw-ins20
  • 2Offsides2
  • 16Goal kicks2
  • 9Saves1
  • 24Tackles21
  • 11Interceptions3
  • 9Dribbles11
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available8Recorded Free6Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
CagliarivJuventusSerie A10 won / 4 lost · +6.02u · 14 picks

Cards · Cagliari total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
53.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.86
Expected value at recommendation
+5.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +5.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance58.1%EV+16.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance58.1%EV+16.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.12
    Closing odds2.12
    Unchanged
    Model chance53.9%EV+14.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Unchanged
    Model chance53.9%EV+5.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 13:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.47
    Closing odds2.52
    Odds up+0.05
    Model chance53.9%EV+33.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate23.1%Closing EV estimate−76.2%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+43.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+22.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate93.9%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 13:42: under 1.5 at 1.95 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Juventus total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+0.95u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
51.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.94
Expected value at recommendation
+0.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Unchanged
    Model chance54.6%EV+3.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.9%EV+6.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.02
    Model chance55.9%EV+3.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Unchanged
    Model chance51.7%EV+0.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 13:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.74
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.7%EV-3.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate22.3%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.74Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 08:27: under 1.5 at 1.95 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Cagliari total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 1+0.85u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.85
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
66.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.52
Expected value at recommendation
+22.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 66.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +22.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.70
    Odds down−0.15
    Model chance57.8%EV+7.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−17.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Unchanged
    Model chance66.2%EV+22.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.45Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.0%EV+2.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.71
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.0%EV-2.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−27.4%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.71Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.0%EV-3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.45Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.0%EV+5.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.0%EV+2.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate3.9%Closing EV estimate−49.3%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−21.0%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate74.8%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate93.9%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate97.4%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin6.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.0%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.6%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin3.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 3.5 at 1.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 23.5Actual: 16+1.05u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds1.85
Odds down−0.20
Model chance at recommendation
75.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.33
Expected value at recommendation
+54.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 75.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.33. Expected value at recommendation: +54.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 23.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Unchanged
    Model chance75.3%EV+54.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 21.5odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 22.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+54.3%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+46.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+37.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate92.9%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 23.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance75.3%EV+50.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 21.5odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 22.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+50.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+42.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+37.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate92.9%Closing EV estimate+18.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 23.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds1.85
    Odds down−0.20
    Model chance75.3%EV+54.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailable
    • under 23.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+39.3%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+31.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.54Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+32.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance75.3%EV+54.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 21.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailable
    • under 22.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailable
    • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+54.3%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+46.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+33.3%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate92.9%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 01:06: under 23.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Juventus total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 11.5Actual: 8+0.97u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds2.10
Odds up+0.13
Model chance at recommendation
60.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.65
Expected value at recommendation
+19.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +19.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 11.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Unchanged
    Model chance60.6%EV+42.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+43.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+46.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate80.2%Closing EV estimate+36.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+26.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
    At recommendation1.97
    Closing odds2.10
    Odds up+0.13
    Model chance60.6%EV+19.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+28.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.45
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance61.2%EV+49.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate49.5%Closing EV estimate+63.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+49.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+39.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate80.2%Closing EV estimate+32.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 11.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 18.5Actual: 18−1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.55
Closing odds2.55
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
52.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.92
Expected value at recommendation
+33.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +33.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 18.5
    At recommendation2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Unchanged
    Model chance52.3%EV+33.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+26.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate61.4%Closing EV estimate+29.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.55Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+33.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.3%EV+38.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+29.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate61.4%Closing EV estimate+29.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.65Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+38.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.3%EV+35.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate89.8%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+26.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate61.4%Closing EV estimate+29.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.60Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+35.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate+40.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 04:04: over 18.5 at 2.55 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Cagliari total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 16+1.35u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds2.35
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
71.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.40
Expected value at recommendation
+68.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 71.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.40. Expected value at recommendation: +68.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate92.1%Closing EV estimate+19.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate86.1%Closing EV estimate+33.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+47.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Unchanged
    Model chance71.5%EV+68.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate86.1%Closing EV estimate+29.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+44.0%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailable
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate86.1%Closing EV estimate+29.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+44.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailable
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate+29.2%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%Model unavailable
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:36: over 10.5 at 2.35 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 12:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Juventus total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 6.5Actual: 2+0.92u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds1.80
Odds down−0.12
Model chance at recommendation
55.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.80
Expected value at recommendation
+6.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +6.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 6.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance56.0%EV+17.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 6.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance51.0%EV+2.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate34.5%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.5
    At recommendation1.92
    Closing odds1.80
    Odds down−0.12
    Model chance55.6%EV+6.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−9.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.1%EV+0.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate34.5%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 23:06: under 6.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 12:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
51.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.95
Expected value at recommendation
+2.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +2.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance51.3%EV+2.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin4.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin5.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.13
    Odds up+0.08
    Model chance51.3%EV+5.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds2.13Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin2.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.16
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.3%EV+10.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin0.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.16Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin0.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin0.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds9.00Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate+27.0%margin0.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds23.00Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate+35.5%margin0.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds65.00Closing chance estimate2.2%Closing EV estimate+40.1%margin0.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.3%EV+0.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate−18.2%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds8.60Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate−49.3%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.3%EV+0.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate−18.2%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds8.60Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate−49.3%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.3%EV+0.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate−18.2%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds8.60Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate−49.3%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 118.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • over 120.5odds1.86Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.5%Model unavailable
    • over 124.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.3%EV+2.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds7.50Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.3%EV+6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin5.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin5.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds16.00Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds36.00Closing chance estimate2.2%Closing EV estimate−22.4%margin2.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds85.00Closing chance estimate0.7%Closing EV estimate−40.5%margin1.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds150.00Closing chance estimate0.2%Closing EV estimate−69.3%margin—Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 2.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 26.5Actual: 26−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
59.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.68
Expected value at recommendation
+13.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +13.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 26.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Unchanged
    Model chance59.6%EV+13.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+34.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance70.2%EV+40.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 23.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+19.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+29.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+36.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+47.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+59.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+47.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.87
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance70.2%EV+31.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 23.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+20.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+25.7%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+31.3%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.14Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+37.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.48Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+44.1%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.88Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+49.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 26.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds1.85
    Odds down−0.17
    Model chance59.6%EV+20.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 22.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+29.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+38.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+46.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+52.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+61.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance70.2%EV+40.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 22.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+36.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+51.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+62.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+42.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance70.2%EV+40.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 22.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+19.1%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+28.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+47.9%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+56.8%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+45.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 26.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Cagliari total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 9.5Actual: 4+0.91u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
56.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.78
Expected value at recommendation
+7.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +7.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Unchanged
    Model chance56.4%EV+7.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.0%EV-24.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−24.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.0%EV-24.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate−31.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−24.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−20.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.0%EV-22.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 7.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate20.3%Closing EV estimate−33.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate−29.8%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−22.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate−15.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.0%EV-26.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate−35.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−26.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−19.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.0%EV-22.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate−28.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−22.3%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−19.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.0%EV-11.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds4.45Closing chance estimate12.1%Closing EV estimate−46.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate20.3%Closing EV estimate−29.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds2.57Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate−21.6%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−11.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 08:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Juventus total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 16.5Actual: 22+1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
65.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.53
Expected value at recommendation
+31.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 65.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.53. Expected value at recommendation: +31.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 16.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance65.6%EV+31.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+46.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance73.2%EV+53.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+28.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate+39.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+53.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailable
  • KambiClosing estimateover 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance73.2%EV+35.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 15.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate+30.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailable
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance73.2%EV+35.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance73.2%EV+42.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate+31.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+42.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance73.2%EV+46.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+28.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate+35.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+46.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.97
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance73.2%EV+44.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate93.8%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+23.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+31.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate79.9%Closing EV estimate+37.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+44.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailable
    • over 18.5odds2.77Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate+59.7%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate49.5%Closing EV estimate+60.8%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 05:02: over 16.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 14:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 12+1.02u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds1.98
Odds down−0.04
Model chance at recommendation
51.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.97
Expected value at recommendation
+3.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +3.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Unchanged
    Model chance62.5%EV+19.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+19.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds1.98
    Odds down−0.04
    Model chance51.0%EV+3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate91.6%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+16.0%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.98Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+23.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+28.9%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate+32.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.22
    Closing odds2.20
    Odds down−0.02
    Model chance51.0%EV+13.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate96.2%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate91.6%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+25.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+37.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+48.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate+49.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate+45.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds7.40Closing chance estimate17.7%Closing EV estimate+31.3%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.4%EV+9.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.4%EV+15.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+15.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate+22.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance62.4%EV+12.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate91.6%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate37.2%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 13:47: over 8.5 at 2.02 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 14:50. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Juventus total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 10+1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
51.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.95
Expected value at recommendation
+2.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +2.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance51.4%EV+2.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+19.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.0%EV+7.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.0%EV+10.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.89
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.0%EV+13.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.89Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+13.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate29.8%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate18.6%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.0%EV+7.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.0%EV+28.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate94.9%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+28.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate44.1%Closing EV estimate+36.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate29.8%Closing EV estimate+28.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds6.30Closing chance estimate18.6%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 5.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 10:23. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+43.0%ROI · 14 units staked
Profit+6.02units
W / L10 / 4picks
Avg odds2.03settled picks
Recorded picks141 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie AHome teamCagliariAway teamJuventusRefereeMatteo Marcenaro

Previous meetings

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