Burnley vs Wolverhampton 1-2 — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Burnley

1–2

HT 1–1

Wolverhampton

Fri 16 Oct·13:00·Matchday 11·Turf Moor·Wolverhampton won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners6
2Cards1
15Shots20
4Shots on target8
13Fouls9
22Throw-ins10
7Offsides0
14Goal kicks9
5Saves3
21Tackles17
12Interceptions7
5Dribbles8

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

13:00BurnleyvWolverhamptonChampionship0 won / 2 lost · −2.00u · 2 picks

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 15.5Actual: 23−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8016 Oct, 02:47

Closing odds1.8016 Oct, 02:42

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 58.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.72
Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 58.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 165 settled picksand +1.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 15.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds1.80
Unchanged
Model chance58.3%EV+4.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 02:42
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 13.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:42
- under 14.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:42
- under 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:42
- under 16.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:42
- under 17.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:42
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.1%EV-0.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 02:58
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 14.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:58
- under 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:58
- under 16.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:58

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 02:47: under 15.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 16 Oct, 12:53. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Burnley total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 7.5Actual: 14−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1016 Oct, 02:47

Closing odds2.1016 Oct, 02:42

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 50.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.97
Expected value at recommendation: +6.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +6.6%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 103 settled picksand +16.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 7.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance50.8%EV+6.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 02:42
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:42
- under 8.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:42
- under 9.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:42
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 7.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance50.8%EV+11.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 02:58
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:58
- under 8.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:58
- under 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:58
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV-8.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 12:43
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate−8.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 12:43

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 02:47: under 7.5 at 2.10 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−100.0%ROI · 2 units staked

Profit−2.00units

W / L0 / 2picks

Avg odds1.95settled picks

Recorded picks21 matches

Around this match

CompetitionChampionship Home teamBurnley Away teamWolverhampton RefereeLewis Smith

Match overview

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Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · Burnley total

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