Burnley vs Derby County 1-1 — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Burnley

1–1

HT 1–0

Derby County

Sat 19 Sep·08:00·Matchday 8·Turf Moor·Drawn

OverviewOverview OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

Priced Not priced

Bookmaker

Goals

Corners

Cards

Shots

Shots on target

Fouls

Throw-ins

Offsides

Goal kicks

Saves

Tackles

Interceptions

Dribbles

Clearances

Free kicks

Edge

badagbetModel13/15 markets · 1154 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

n/a

Liderbet7/15 markets · 143 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

14.3

Crocobet5/15 markets · 175 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

14.1

Superbet5/15 markets · 191 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

8.1

BetMGM UK4/15 markets · 16 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

9.2

Kambi4/15 markets · 83 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

9.3

Bet3653/15 markets · 42 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

5.6

Betlive3/15 markets · 172 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

13.8

Betlive

3 of 15 markets · 172 prices

Corners

Most corners1X2

	Burnley	Draw	Derby County
	1.49	7.80	2.85

Most corners1X2

	Burnley	Draw	Derby County
	1.70	5.00	2.75

Total cornersO/U

	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.30
7.5	1.19	3.60
8.5	1.35	2.50
9.5	1.60	1.95
10.5	1.90	1.60
11.5	2.40	1.39
12.5	3.00	1.24
13.5	4.50	1.11
14.5	6.00	1.05

Corners handicap

	Burnley	Derby County
-3.5/+3.5	2.45	1.41
-3/+3	2.20	1.50
-2.5/+2.5	2.10	1.50
-2/+2	1.75	1.80
-1.5/+1.5	1.75	1.75
-1/+1	1.46	2.30
-0.5/+0.5	1.48	2.15
0/0	1.34	2.65

Corners handicap

	Burnley	Derby County
-1.5/+1.5	2.30	1.42
-0.5/+0.5	1.65	1.85
+0.5/-0.5	1.32	2.60

Team total corners· Burnley

	Over	Under
3.5	1.12	4.35
4.5	1.29	2.90
5.5	1.60	2.05
6.5	2.10	1.55
7.5	2.85	1.30
8.5	4.35	1.12

Team total corners· Derby County

	Over	Under
2.5	1.23	3.25
3.5	1.60	2.00
4.5	2.25	1.47
5.5	3.50	1.20
6.5	5.70	1.06

Cards

Most cards1X2

	Burnley	Draw	Derby County
	4.20	3.95	1.55

Total cardsO/U

	Over	Under
1.5	1.08	4.80
2.5	1.29	2.75
3	1.40	2.35
3.5	1.70	1.80
4	2.25	1.45
4.5	2.50	1.36
5.5	3.75	1.14

Cards handicap

	Burnley	Derby County
+0.5/-0.5	2.35	1.40
+1/-1	1.85	1.65
+1.5/-1.5	1.55	2.05
+2/-2	1.30	2.70

Team total cards· Burnley

	Over	Under
0.5	1.30	2.70
1	1.60	1.95
1.5	2.35	1.40

Team total cards· Derby County

	Over	Under
1.5	1.30	2.70
2	1.50	2.10
2.5	1.95	1.60
3	2.70	1.30

Throw-ins

Most throw-ins1X2

	Burnley	Draw	Derby County
	1.60	9.50	2.30

Total throw-insO/U

	Over	Under
34.5	1.40	2.35
35.5	1.55	2.05
36.5	1.70	1.80
37.5	1.95	1.60
38.5	2.25	1.45

Throw-ins handicap

	Burnley	Derby County
-3.5/+3.5	2.35	1.40
-3/+3	2.25	1.45
-2.5/+2.5	2.05	1.55
-2/+2	1.95	1.60
-1.5/+1.5	1.80	1.70
-1/+1	1.70	1.80
-0.5/+0.5	1.60	1.95
0/0	1.55	2.05
+0.5/-0.5	1.45	2.25
+1/-1	1.40	2.35
+1.5/-1.5	1.35	2.50

Team total throw-ins· Burnley

	Over	Under
17.5	1.45	2.25
18	1.55	2.05
18.5	1.65	1.85
19	1.80	1.70
19.5	1.95	1.60
20	2.10	1.50
20.5	2.35	1.40

Team total throw-ins· Derby County

	Over	Under
16	1.37	2.45
16.5	1.50	2.10
17	1.60	1.95
17.5	1.70	1.80
18	1.85	1.65
18.5	2.05	1.55
19	2.35	1.40
19.5	2.45	1.37

Paddy Power3/15 markets · 44 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

8.2

Betfair Exchange1/15 markets · 50 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

1.3

Pinnacle1/15 markets · 12 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

5.0

Around this match

CompetitionChampionship Home teamBurnley Away teamDerby County

Betlive

Corners

Cards

Throw-ins

Around this match

Previous meetings

On this page

This category

StatsGem

Bro VIP · Beta

Football intelligence, with your VIP.

What are we exploring, bro?