Barcelona vs Getafe — LaLiga

LaLigaLaLiga 26/27

Barcelona

3–0

Getafe

Sat 10 Oct··Matchday 8·Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona·Barcelona won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 9Corners2
  • 2Cards4
  • 23Shots4
  • 8Shots on target1
  • 9Fouls11
  • 12Throw-ins11
  • 1Offsides3
  • 4Goal kicks13
  • 1Saves5
  • 18Tackles12
  • 5Interceptions9
  • 13Dribbles6
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free3Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
BarcelonavGetafeLaLiga3 won / 6 lost · −2.37u · 9 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.27
Closing odds2.20
Odds down−0.07
Model chance at recommendation
57.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.74
Expected value at recommendation
+30.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +30.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • KambiAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation2.23
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance57.6%EV+28.5%
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation2.27
    Closing odds2.20
    Odds down−0.07
    Model chance57.6%EV+30.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds16.00Closing chance estimate3.5%Closing EV estimate−44.3%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds6.70Closing chance estimate14.9%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate34.1%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate97.4%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.0%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.5%EV+11.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.5%EV+16.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate14.9%Closing EV estimate−13.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate34.1%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.5%EV+16.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.90Closing chance estimate14.9%Closing EV estimate−11.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate34.1%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.5%EV+16.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate14.9%Closing EV estimate−13.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate34.1%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.5%EV+22.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate34.1%Closing EV estimate+32.8%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: under 3.5 at 2.27 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Getafe total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.14
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
69.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.44
Expected value at recommendation
+49.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 69.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.44. Expected value at recommendation: +49.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds up+0.10
    Model chance67.0%EV+27.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate+33.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation2.14
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance69.7%EV+49.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.6%EV+19.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate+19.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.6%EV+19.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate+19.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.92
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.6%EV+27.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate13.3%Closing EV estimate−85.8%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate+37.5%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate+27.9%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:47: under 2.5 at 2.14 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 11:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 24.5Actual: 20+1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.71
Odds down−0.29
Model chance at recommendation
82.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.22
Expected value at recommendation
+65.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 82.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.22. Expected value at recommendation: +65.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance84.7%EV+39.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 21.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailable
    • under 22.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+61.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+51.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+39.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+31.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate+23.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance84.7%EV+39.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 21.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailable
    • under 22.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+61.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+51.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+39.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+33.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate+24.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate94.6%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance84.7%EV+39.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 20.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+76.8%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 21.5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.0%Model unavailable
    • under 22.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+57.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+51.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+39.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+28.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 24.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.71
    Odds down−0.29
    Model chance82.5%EV+65.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+68.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+55.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+44.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+50.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate+43.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:51: under 24.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 04:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Getafe total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 11+1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.02
Odds up+0.02
Model chance at recommendation
66.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.52
Expected value at recommendation
+31.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 66.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +31.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.02
    Odds up+0.02
    Model chance66.0%EV+31.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:08

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+38.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+45.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 11:51: under 12.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Getafe total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 11.5Actual: 13−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds2.02
Odds up+0.05
Model chance at recommendation
59.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.69
Expected value at recommendation
+17.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +17.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
    At recommendation1.97
    Closing odds2.02
    Odds up+0.05
    Model chance59.4%EV+17.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:08

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+29.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.33
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance64.3%EV-14.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate28.3%Closing EV estimate−30.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate−23.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate−18.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.33Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate−14.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:51: under 11.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 31.5Actual: 27−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation3.15
Closing odds2.90
Odds down−0.25
Model chance at recommendation
60.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.66
Expected value at recommendation
+90.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +90.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 24.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailable
    • over 25.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+23.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+31.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+39.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate72.3%Closing EV estimate+48.3%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 25.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+20.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+29.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+39.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+47.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate72.3%Closing EV estimate+51.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 31.5
    At recommendation3.15
    Closing odds2.90
    Odds down−0.25
    Model chance60.4%EV+90.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:09

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 24.5odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailable
    • over 25.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+31.5%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+39.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.91Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+47.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.18Closing chance estimate72.3%Closing EV estimate+57.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailable
    • over 31.5odds2.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailable
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 25.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+21.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+29.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+35.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+43.2%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate72.3%Closing EV estimate+55.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailable
    • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailable
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:08

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 25.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+21.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+27.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+33.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate72.3%Closing EV estimate+42.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailable
    • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailable
    • over 32.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+64.9%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 33.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate48.9%Closing EV estimate+81.0%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 31.5 at 3.15 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 04:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Barcelona total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 22.5Actual: 23+1.63u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.63
Closing odds2.63
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
74.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.35
Expected value at recommendation
+96.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 74.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.35. Expected value at recommendation: +96.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateover 22.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 17.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+27.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+22.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate80.3%Closing EV estimate+32.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+41.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • over 23.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+62.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 22.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.45
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 17.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+20.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+32.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate80.3%Closing EV estimate+40.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+49.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 22.5
    At recommendation2.63
    Closing odds2.63
    Unchanged
    Model chance74.5%EV+96.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:09

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 18.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+38.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+46.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate80.3%Closing EV estimate+56.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5odds2.23Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+66.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.63Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailable
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 22.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:08

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 18.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+28.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate80.3%Closing EV estimate+35.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+43.1%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailable
    • over 23.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+53.0%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate+56.7%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 22.5 at 2.63 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 10:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
64.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.55
Expected value at recommendation
+29.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 64.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +29.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance64.8%EV+29.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.5%EV+30.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate+30.2%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.5%EV+23.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate+23.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation2.27
    Closing odds2.27
    Unchanged
    Model chance64.8%EV+47.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:08

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate96.8%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate93.6%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+22.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+32.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.27Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate+44.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+59.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate+61.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds5.55Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate+82.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.5%EV+27.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate93.6%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate+27.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+35.1%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate+42.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 11.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 16:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Barcelona total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds2.63
Odds up+0.73
Model chance at recommendation
67.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.49
Expected value at recommendation
+27.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 67.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +27.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds2.63
    Odds up+0.73
    Model chance67.2%EV+27.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds2.63Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate+51.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Unchanged
    Model chance57.8%EV+24.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate79.7%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate+23.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Unchanged
    Model chance57.8%EV+27.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate79.7%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate+26.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.6%EV+49.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:09

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate79.7%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+36.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.60Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate+49.8%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate45.7%Closing EV estimate+57.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate34.5%Closing EV estimate+58.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.35
    Odds up+0.25
    Model chance57.8%EV+21.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate79.7%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.45
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.6%EV+41.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:08

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate79.7%Closing EV estimate+21.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+31.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate+41.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate45.7%Closing EV estimate+43.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate34.5%Closing EV estimate+48.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 9.5 at 1.90 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−26.3%ROI · 9 units staked
Profit−2.37units
W / L3 / 6picks
Avg odds2.23settled picks
Recorded picks91 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLaLigaHome teamBarcelonaAway teamGetafeRefereeJesus Gil Manzano

Previous meetings

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