Azerbaijan vs Lithuania — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Azerbaijan

1–0

HT 1–0

Lithuania

Sun 4 Oct··Matchday 4·Neftçi Arena·Azerbaijan won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 2Corners5
  • 3Cards3
  • 13Shots13
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 14Fouls9
  • 19Throw-ins38
  • 1Offsides1
  • 7Goal kicks8
  • 3Saves6
  • 26Tackles19
  • 15Interceptions15
  • 8Dribbles9
9 Free3 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match
AzerbaijanAzerbaijanvLithuaniaLithuaniaUEFA Nations League5 won / 7 lost · −1.60u · 12 picks

Cards · Azerbaijan total

Open match →FreeLost
under 2.51.87 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.51.80Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.51.87Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 04:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate7.6%Closing EV estimate−91.7%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.51.75Model chance51.6%EV-9.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 06:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−22.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailable
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • under 3.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.51.75Model chance51.6%EV-9.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−20.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 06:05: under 2.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Lithuania total

Open match →FreeLost
under 2.51.95 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.51.95Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 04:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate8.7%Closing EV estimate−90.5%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.51.85Model chance55.0%EV+1.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 06:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate29.5%Closing EV estimate−20.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • under 3.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.51.85Model chance55.0%EV+1.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate29.5%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.51.90Model chance55.0%EV+4.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 06:05: under 2.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →FreeWon
over 14.52.05 at Liderbet+1.05u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 14.52.05Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 06:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−32.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate38.9%Closing EV estimate−37.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate29.7%Closing EV estimate−39.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate21.8%Closing EV estimate−46.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate15.5%Closing EV estimate−51.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 14.51.80Model chance29.7%EV-46.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−34.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13odds1.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • over 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate38.9%Closing EV estimate−41.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate29.7%Closing EV estimate−46.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • over 15.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate21.8%Closing EV estimate−53.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • over 16.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate15.5%Closing EV estimate−58.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 14.51.85Model chance29.7%EV-45.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−34.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate38.9%Closing EV estimate−39.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate29.7%Closing EV estimate−45.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate21.8%Closing EV estimate−51.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate15.5%Closing EV estimate−57.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 06:05: over 14.5 at 2.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Azerbaijan total

Open match →FreeLost
over 7.52.35 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.52.25Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • over 6.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailable
    • over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
  • CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.52.10Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate−17.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.52.35Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 06:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 06:05: over 7.5 at 2.35 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Offsides · Lithuania total

Open match →FreeLost
over 1.52.45 at Crocobet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 1.52.40Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate74.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate41.8%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 1.52.45Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate74.9%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate41.8%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate18.4%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 1.52.45Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 05:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate41.8%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate18.4%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 06:05: over 1.5 at 2.45 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Saves · Azerbaijan total

Open match →FreeWon
over 2.51.95 at Crocobet+0.95u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 2.51.95Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 06:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 06:05: over 2.5 at 1.95 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon
over 21.52.10 at Crocobet+1.10u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveArchived model estimateover 21.52.05Model chance54.7%EV+12.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the archived model estimate. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 17.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18odds1.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • over 18.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailable
    • over 19.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • over 20.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • over 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate+21.8%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailable
    • over 22.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+31.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • over 23.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+36.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 21.52.10Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 03:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 17.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+39.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+41.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 21.52.10Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 05:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 18.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate66.2%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+33.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 06:07: over 21.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Azerbaijan total

Open match →FreeLost
under 9.52.95 at Crocobet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 9.52.85Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.85Closing chance estimate38.2%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 10.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate49.4%Closing EV estimate+23.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 11.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • under 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 13.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
  • Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 9.52.95Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 03:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.95Closing chance estimate38.2%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate49.4%Closing EV estimate+35.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate+15.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 06:34: under 9.5 at 2.95 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Lithuania total

Open match →VIPWon
over 9.52.45 at Crocobet+1.45u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 9.52.40Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailable
    • over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • over 8.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate+55.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailable
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+82.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • over 10.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailable
  • Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 9.52.45Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 03:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate+59.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+86.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • over 11.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+97.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetArchived model estimateover 9.51.90Model chance77.1%EV+46.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 05:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the archived model estimate. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate+59.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+44.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 06:07: over 9.5 at 2.45 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost
under 7.52.10 at Crocobet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 7.52.10Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate40.7%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.5%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 7.52.05Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 05:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate40.7%Closing EV estimate+16.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate78.5%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate86.5%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 7.51.95Model chance54.9%EV+7.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate40.7%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailable
    • under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailable
    • under 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9odds1.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • under 9.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate78.5%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 06:05: under 7.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Azerbaijan total

Open match →FreeLost
under 3.52.35 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.52.25Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+28.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailable
    • under 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+20.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
  • CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.52.30Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+31.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+20.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.52.35Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 05:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+34.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+20.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 06:05: under 3.5 at 2.35 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Azerbaijan total

Open match →VIPWon
under 21.51.85 at Liderbet+0.85u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 21.51.80Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 18odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • under 18.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 19odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailable
    • under 19.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate48.2%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 20odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 20.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate55.8%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 21odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailable
    • under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • under 22.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23odds1.44Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 23.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 21.51.80Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 04:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 18.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 19.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate48.2%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 20.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate55.8%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 21.51.85Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 05:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 19.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate48.2%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 20.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate55.8%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 21.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 04:38: under 21.5 at 1.85 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−13.3%ROI · 12 units staked
Profit−1.60units
W / L5 / 7picks
Avg odds2.20settled picks
Recorded picks121 matches

Around this match

Previous meetings