Al-Qadsiah vs Abha 2-1 — Saudi Pro League

Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Pro League 26/27

Al-Qadsiah

2–1

HT 1–0

Abha

Fri 16 Oct·07:15·Matchday 9·EGO Stadium·Al-Qadsiah won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

4Corners3
2Cards1
8Shots6
4Shots on target1
12Fouls8
11Throw-ins18
3Offsides3
4Goal kicks5
0Saves2
13Tackles10
4Interceptions11
5Dribbles8

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

07:15Al-QadsiahvAbhaSaudi Pro League1 won / 1 lost · −0.09u · 2 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9513 Oct, 06:24

Closing odds1.8416 Oct, 06:57

Odds down−0.11

Model chance at recommendation: 52.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +3.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +3.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.84
Odds down−0.11
Model chance52.8%EV+3.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 06:57
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:57
- over 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:57
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:42
- over 9.5odds1.84Closing chance estimate55.8%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:57
- over 10.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:57
- over 11.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:52
- over 12.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate−9.9%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:57
- over 13.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate15.9%Closing EV estimate−20.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:32
- over 14.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate10.3%Closing EV estimate−52.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 15:22
Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.8%EV+0.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 07:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.8%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:02
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.8%EV-5.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 06:42
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 01:15
- over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:41
- over 8.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:41
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate55.8%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:41
- over 10.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:42
- over 11.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:41
- over 12.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate−14.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 01:15
- over 13.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate15.9%Closing EV estimate−20.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 01:15
- over 14.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate10.3%Closing EV estimate−29.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 01:15
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.8%EV-5.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 06:52
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:51
- over 8.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:52
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate55.8%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:51
- over 10.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:51
- over 11.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:51
- over 12.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate−12.3%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 01:07
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.8%EV-5.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 06:42
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:47
- over 8.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 08:39
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate55.8%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:47
- over 10.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:42
- over 11.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:47
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.8%EV+1.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 02:41
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 06:19
- over 5.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate93.1%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:41
- over 6.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:41
- over 7.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:41
- over 8.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:41
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate55.8%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:41
- over 10.5odds2.22Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:41
- over 11.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:41
- over 12.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate−14.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:41
- over 13.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate15.9%Closing EV estimate−23.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:41
- over 14.5odds6.30Closing chance estimate10.3%Closing EV estimate−35.0%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:41

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 06:24: over 9.5 at 1.95 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 3+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9114 Oct, 11:03

Closing odds2.2516 Oct, 06:15

Odds up+0.34

Model chance at recommendation: 56.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +7.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +7.6%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 58 settled picksand +6.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds2.25
Odds up+0.34
Model chance56.4%EV+7.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 06:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate11.0%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin4.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:15
- under 2.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate27.4%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin5.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:15
- under 3.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:15
- under 4.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:15
- under 5.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:15
- under 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:15
- under 7.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate96.1%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:15
- under 8.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.5%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin3.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:15
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.9%EV+0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 07:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.3%Closing EV estimate−81.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 01:46
- under 1.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate11.0%Closing EV estimate−31.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:02
- under 2.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate27.4%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:02
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:02
- under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:02
- under 5.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:02
- under 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:41
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.9%EV-1.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 06:27
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate2.3%Closing EV estimate−81.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:16
- under 1.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate11.0%Closing EV estimate−34.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:27
- under 2.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate27.4%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:27
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:27
- under 4.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:27
- under 5.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 06:27
- under 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:47
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.9%EV+0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 07:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.3%Closing EV estimate−81.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:47
- under 1.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate11.0%Closing EV estimate−33.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:07
- under 2.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate27.4%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:07
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:07
- under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:47
- under 5.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:07
- under 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:47
- under 176.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 15 Oct, 22:32
- under 186.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 06:42
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.27
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.9%EV+8.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 07:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds34.00Closing chance estimate2.3%Closing EV estimate−21.7%margin2.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:02
- under 1.5odds9.20Closing chance estimate11.0%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:02
- under 2.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate27.4%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin5.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:02
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.27Closing chance estimate47.9%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:02
- under 4.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin5.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:02
- under 5.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin5.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:02
- under 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 07:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 11:03: under 3.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 16 Oct, 03:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Result corrected: Provider full-time score differs from the originally recorded goal result.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−4.5%ROI · 2 units staked

Profit−0.09units

W / L1 / 1picks

Avg odds1.93settled picks

Recorded picks21 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSaudi Pro League Home teamAl-Qadsiah Away teamAbha RefereeAbdullah Al-Kharbosh

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Goals · match total

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