Al-Khaleej vs Al-Fayha — Saudi Pro League
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Pro League 26/27
Thu 15 Oct··Matchday 9·EGO Stadium·Al-Khaleej won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 6Corners4
- 0Cards2
- 10Shots10
- 5Shots on target0
- 6Fouls11
- 14Throw-ins14
- 1Offsides2
- 8Goal kicks4
- 0Saves3
- 11Tackles13
- 5Interceptions9
- 5Dribbles8
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
Board
Matches
Al-KhaleejvAl-FayhaSaudi Pro League1 won / 0 lost · +0.94u · 1 pick
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 54.7%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.83
- Expected value at recommendation
- +6.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 54.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +6.0%.
At recommendation, Betfair Exchange’s overall market record had 45 settled picksand +0.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365At recommendationunder 2.5
Model chance52.0%EV+1.4%Odds down−0.05At recommendation1.95Closing odds1.90Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 08:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate7.8%Closing EV estimate−14.6%margin4.3%
- under 1.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin6.3%
- under 2.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin5.3%
- under 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin5.8%
- under 4.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin5.4%
- under 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate95.4%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin3.8%
- under 6.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.4%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin2.9%
Betfair Exchangeresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
Model chance54.7%EV+6.0%Odds down−0.02At recommendation1.94Closing odds1.92Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 08:42Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate7.8%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin0.3%
- under 1.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin1.3%
- under 2.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin0.6%
- under 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin0.6%
- under 4.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin1.0%
- under 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate95.4%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin1.2%
- under 6.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.4%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin1.1%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance53.0%EV-7.3%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 07:26Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds6.40Closing chance estimate7.8%Closing EV estimate−50.3%margin11.8%
- under 1.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate−14.4%margin12.3%
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin12.7%
- under 3.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.0%
- under 4.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin11.7%
- under 5.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate95.4%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin11.9%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance53.0%EV-7.3%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 07:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds6.40Closing chance estimate7.8%Closing EV estimate−50.3%margin11.8%
- under 1.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate−14.4%margin12.3%
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin12.7%
- under 3.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.0%
- under 4.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin11.7%
- under 5.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate95.4%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin11.9%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance53.0%EV-7.3%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 08:46Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds6.40Closing chance estimate7.8%Closing EV estimate−50.3%margin11.8%
- under 1.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate−14.4%margin12.3%
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin12.7%
- under 3.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.0%
- under 4.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin11.9%
- under 5.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate95.4%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin12.1%
- under 120.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- under 122.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- under 128.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance53.0%EV-7.3%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 08:42Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate7.8%Closing EV estimate−22.4%margin8.0%
- under 1.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin8.1%
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin9.5%
- under 3.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin8.1%
- under 4.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin7.7%
PinnacleClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance53.0%EV-3.3%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.83Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 08:42Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin4.8%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance53.0%EV-0.4%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.88Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 05:56Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate7.8%Closing EV estimate−22.4%margin4.3%
- under 1.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate27.6%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin5.1%
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin5.3%
- under 3.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin4.9%
- under 4.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin4.7%
- under 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate95.4%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin3.8%
- under 6.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.4%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin2.5%
Recommendation record
Recorded 13 Oct, 15:10: under 2.5 at 1.94 with Betfair Exchange. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 21:51. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions