Abha vs Al-Faisaly — Saudi Pro League

Postponed

Sun 11 Oct·09:25·Matchday 8

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

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Matches

1 match

09:25AbhavAl-FaisalySaudi Pro League2 picks· 0 available

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelResult under review

The fixture or result requires review.

under 3.5

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1211 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds2.1511 Oct, 06:33

Odds up+0.03

Model chance at recommendation: 52.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +10.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +10.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds2.15
Odds up+0.03
Model chance52.2%EV+10.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate2.8%Closing EV estimate−96.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:08
- under 2.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate30.8%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:33
- under 3.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate52.2%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:33
- under 4.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate71.2%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:33
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.2%EV-6.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate52.2%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:20

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 3.5 at 2.12 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Al-Faisaly total

Open match →FreePrevious modelResult under review

The fixture or result requires review.

over 3.5

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.007 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds2.009 Oct, 09:26

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 61.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.64
Expected value at recommendation: +22.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +22.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance61.1%EV+22.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:26
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+26.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:26
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.82
Closing odds2.05
Odds up+0.23
Model chance61.1%EV+11.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+30.0%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:15
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.4%EV+11.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
- over 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate44.6%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.4%EV+17.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate92.9%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:33
- over 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:33
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+17.3%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:33
- over 4.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate44.6%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:33
- over 5.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate28.1%Closing EV estimate+34.9%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:33
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.97
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.4%EV+25.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate98.6%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- over 1.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate92.9%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- over 2.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- over 4.5odds2.87Closing chance estimate44.6%Closing EV estimate+28.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- over 5.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate28.1%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- over 6.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate16.0%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

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CompetitionSaudi Pro League Home teamAbha Away teamAl-Faisaly

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