Pinnacle

Benchmark records and predictions from this bookmaker.

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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BenchmarksBenchmarks PredictionsPredictions

0Free available0VIP available1Recorded Free0Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

1 pick shown with Pinnacle prices. Results retain the original recorded line and odds.

Board

Matches

1 match

13:00Viking FKvFC Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions League1 won / 0 lost · +0.98u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 6+0.98u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.988 Oct, 11:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.7%EV+10.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:36: over 4.5 at 1.98 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Result corrected: Provider full-time score differs from the originally recorded goal result.

Selected day

Tue, 13 Oct 2026

Recorded picks · Pinnacle

Return+98.0%ROI · 1 unit staked

Profit+0.98units

W / L1 / 0picks

Avg odds1.98settled picks

Recorded picks11 matches

All dates

Overall results

42 settled picks

One unit per pick at its recorded odds. Earlier estimated history is excluded. Results: 8 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026.

ROI+4.5%

Profit+1.87 u

W / L22 / 20

Avg odds2.02