Crystalbet

Benchmark records and predictions from this bookmaker.

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Historical cell ranking

Legacy ranking from the previous policy. Current tiers use historical cell ROI, and qualifying picks are recorded immediately.

Previous policy

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Exact league and contract evidence

Historical direction benchmarks

Benchmarks from 15 August 2026 · half-point lines only. Compare normal and reversed one-unit returns for each bookmaker, market and league.

Historical evidence

0Cells with a direction

14Cells still gathering evidence

5Earlier matches required

14Cells in this selection

League

StatisticOriginal model directionScopeCurrently producingPick stageShow cellsOrder benchmark rows

Reset

Rows with the most historical matches appear first. This only changes the table order; it does not assign Free or VIP.

Normal and Reversed compare earlier model directions under the previous policy. Current predictions require selected-offer EV of at least 8% and positive historical cell ROI.

1–14 of 14 cellsOne unit per earlier signal · returns rounded to two decimals

Bookmaker / league	Original model signal	Normal	Reversed	Selected direction	Current picks
CrystalbetDFB Pokal	Corners · OverHome team Evidence 0 reconstructed · 0 recorded detail:ft:corners:home · scraped	0.00u— ROI	0.00u— ROI	Hold5 more matches needed	Free · 2 View current matches VfL Bochum 1848 – 1. FSV Mainz 05Free · Predictions · Over · 27 Oct, 11:00 SG Sonnenhof Großaspach – FC AugsburgFree · Predictions · Over · 27 Oct, 11:00
CrystalbetDFB Pokal	Fouls · OverAway team Evidence 0 reconstructed · 0 recorded detail:ft:fouls:away · scraped	0.00u— ROI	0.00u— ROI	Hold5 more matches needed	Free · 1 View current matches Hamburger SV – Eintracht FrankfurtFree · Predictions · Over · 27 Oct, 11:00
CrystalbetDFB Pokal	Fouls · UnderAway team Evidence 0 reconstructed · 0 recorded detail:ft:fouls:away · scraped	0.00u— ROI	0.00u— ROI	Hold5 more matches needed	Free · 4 View current matches Rot-Weiss Essen – RB LeipzigFree · Pending · Under · 27 Oct, 11:00 Rot-Weiss Essen – RB LeipzigFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 11:00 Rot-Weiss Essen – RB LeipzigFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 11:00 VfL Bochum 1848 – 1. FSV Mainz 05Free · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 11:00
CrystalbetDFB Pokal	Fouls · UnderMatch total Evidence 0 reconstructed · 0 recorded detail:ft:fouls:total · scraped	0.00u— ROI	0.00u— ROI	Hold5 more matches needed	Free · 2 View current matches VfL Bochum 1848 – 1. FSV Mainz 05Free · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 11:00 Borussia M'gladbach – Karlsruher SCFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 13:45
CrystalbetDFB Pokal	Fouls · OverHome team Evidence 0 reconstructed · 0 recorded detail:ft:fouls:home · scraped	0.00u— ROI	0.00u— ROI	Hold5 more matches needed	Free · 1 View current matches Rot-Weiss Essen – RB LeipzigFree · Predictions · Over · 27 Oct, 11:00
CrystalbetDFB Pokal	Goal kicks · UnderMatch total Evidence 0 reconstructed · 0 recorded detail:ft:goal_kicks:total · scraped	0.00u— ROI	0.00u— ROI	Hold5 more matches needed	Free · 1 View current matches Rot-Weiss Essen – RB LeipzigFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 11:00
CrystalbetDFB Pokal	Shots on target · OverHome team Evidence 0 reconstructed · 0 recorded detail:ft:shots_on_target:home · scraped	0.00u— ROI	0.00u— ROI	Hold5 more matches needed	Free · 1 View current matches SG Sonnenhof Großaspach – FC AugsburgFree · Predictions · Over · 27 Oct, 11:00
CrystalbetEFL Cup	Goal kicks · UnderAway team Evidence 0 reconstructed · 0 recorded detail:ft:goal_kicks:away · scraped	0.00u— ROI	0.00u— ROI	Hold5 more matches needed	Free · 2 View current matches Fleetwood Town – ArsenalFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 14:00 Fleetwood Town – ArsenalFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 14:00
CrystalbetEFL Cup	Goal kicks · UnderMatch total Evidence 0 reconstructed · 0 recorded detail:ft:goal_kicks:total · scraped	0.00u— ROI	0.00u— ROI	Hold5 more matches needed	Free · 1 View current matches Fleetwood Town – ArsenalFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 14:00
CrystalbetEFL Cup	Shots on target · OverHome team Evidence 0 reconstructed · 0 recorded detail:ft:shots_on_target:home · scraped	0.00u— ROI	0.00u— ROI	Hold5 more matches needed	Free · 1 View current matches Bradford City – Peterborough UnitedFree · Predictions · Over · 27 Oct, 13:45
CrystalbetEFL Cup	Throw-ins · UnderAway team Evidence 0 reconstructed · 0 recorded detail:ft:throw_ins:away · scraped	0.00u— ROI	0.00u— ROI	Hold5 more matches needed	Free · 2 View current matches Fleetwood Town – ArsenalFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 14:00 Fleetwood Town – ArsenalFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 14:00
CrystalbetEFL Cup	Throw-ins · UnderMatch total Evidence 0 reconstructed · 0 recorded detail:ft:throw_ins:total · scraped	0.00u— ROI	0.00u— ROI	Hold5 more matches needed	Free · 5 View current matches Fleetwood Town – ArsenalFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 14:00 Fleetwood Town – ArsenalFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 14:00 Fleetwood Town – ArsenalFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 14:00 Fleetwood Town – ArsenalFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 14:00 Fleetwood Town – ArsenalFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 14:00
CrystalbetSerie A	Shots · OverMatch total Evidence 0 reconstructed · 0 recorded detail:ft:shots:total · scraped	0.00u— ROI	0.00u— ROI	Hold5 more matches needed	Free · 2 View current matches Roma – CagliariFree · Predictions · Over · 27 Oct, 13:45 Roma – CagliariFree · Predictions · Over · 27 Oct, 13:45
CrystalbetSerie A	Throw-ins · UnderMatch total Evidence 0 reconstructed · 0 recorded detail:ft:throw_ins:total · scraped	0.00u— ROI	0.00u— ROI	Hold5 more matches needed	Free · 2 View current matches Roma – CagliariFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 13:45 Roma – CagliariFree · Predictions · Under · 27 Oct, 13:45

How to read this evidence

This table preserves earlier direction comparisons. Reconstructed history and recorded pre-match signals remain separate from recorded prediction results.

Current tiers use historical cell ROI: VIP at 10% or higher; Free above zero and below 10%. Qualifying offers are recorded immediately. Lineups, quote age, bookmaker settlement rules and peer prices do not block recording.

Release 20261027-result-based-v1 · measured 27/10/2026, 10:12:52

Crystalbet

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