Vitória vs Chapecoense — Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026

Vitória

4–0

HT 1–0

Chapecoense

Wed 7 Oct··Matchday 29·Estádio Manoel Barradas·Vitória won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 3Corners6
  • 2Cards3
  • 20Shots11
  • 8Shots on target4
  • 8Fouls17
  • 14Throw-ins20
  • 3Goal kicks9
  • 4Saves4
  • 15Tackles8
  • 7Interceptions5
  • 9Dribbles8
8 Free0 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match
VitóriavChapecoenseBrasileirão Série A3 won / 5 lost · −2.24u · 8 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost
under 4.52.10 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.52.10Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.51.75Model chance56.2%EV-1.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 14:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate19.2%Closing EV estimate−19.4%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailable
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailable
    • under 5.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.51.75Model chance56.2%EV-1.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 14:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate19.2%Closing EV estimate−19.4%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 4.51.86Model chance56.2%EV+4.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.86Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.51.75Model chance56.2%EV-1.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 14:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate19.2%Closing EV estimate−19.4%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.51.95Model chance56.2%EV+9.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate19.2%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.51.87Model chance56.2%EV+5.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 14:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate1.3%Closing EV estimate−98.4%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate19.2%Closing EV estimate−15.5%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:00: under 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost
over 12.53.70 at Paddy Power−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Paddy Powerresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 12.53.70Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate+18.6%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.70Closing chance estimate33.5%Closing EV estimate+23.9%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 12.52.95Model chance33.5%EV-1.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate91.6%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.95Closing chance estimate33.5%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate24.4%Closing EV estimate+18.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate17.1%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 12.52.95Model chance33.5%EV-1.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 05:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.95Closing chance estimate33.5%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate24.4%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 12.53.15Model chance33.5%EV+5.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate91.6%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.15Closing chance estimate33.5%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate24.4%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate17.1%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.52.95Model chance33.5%EV-1.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 06:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.95Closing chance estimate33.5%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 12.53.15Model chance33.5%EV+5.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 05:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.4%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin4.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate98.2%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.8%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate91.6%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.15Closing chance estimate33.5%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate24.4%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate17.1%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate11.5%Closing EV estimate−19.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds9.20Closing chance estimate7.4%Closing EV estimate−32.0%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate4.6%Closing EV estimate−40.4%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds18.00Closing chance estimate2.7%Closing EV estimate−50.7%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:00: over 12.5 at 3.70 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Vitória total

Open match →FreeLost
over 8.54.30 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 8.54.10Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.7%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate41.0%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate28.3%Closing EV estimate+18.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 8.54.30Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.7%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate41.0%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds4.30Closing chance estimate28.3%Closing EV estimate+21.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 8.53.30Model chance28.3%EV-6.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate91.3%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate69.7%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.94Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate41.0%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.30Closing chance estimate28.3%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate18.3%Closing EV estimate−19.5%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.53.50Model chance28.3%EV-0.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 05:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.2%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin4.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate96.7%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate91.3%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate69.7%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds2.57Closing chance estimate41.0%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.50Closing chance estimate28.3%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate18.3%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds6.70Closing chance estimate11.1%Closing EV estimate−25.7%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds9.40Closing chance estimate6.3%Closing EV estimate−40.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:00: over 8.5 at 4.30 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreeLost
under 24.52.07 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 24.52.07Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 23.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.51.95Model chance53.8%EV+4.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 28.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate79.1%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:40: under 24.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Chapecoense total

Open match →FreeLost
under 12.52.25 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 12.52.25Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 12.52.02Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+21.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:00: under 12.5 at 2.25 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Vitória total

Open match →FreeWon
over 16.51.73 at Bet365+0.73u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 16.51.73Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 16.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKOriginal model estimate unavailableover 16.51.68Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 16.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 16.51.67Model chance65.8%EV+9.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.67Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 16.51.70Model chance65.8%EV+11.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 15.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 16.51.65Model chance65.8%EV+8.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate32.2%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:00: over 16.5 at 1.73 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon
over 8.51.83 at Bet365+0.83u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 8.51.83Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+26.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.51.65Model chance69.3%EV+14.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 00:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+19.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 8.51.55Model chance69.3%EV+7.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.93Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate44.6%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate33.0%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.51.70Model chance69.3%EV+17.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+19.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate44.6%Closing EV estimate+29.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.51.68Model chance69.3%EV+16.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 15:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate94.1%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+22.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.77Closing chance estimate44.6%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate33.0%Closing EV estimate+23.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds5.15Closing chance estimate23.2%Closing EV estimate+19.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:00: over 8.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Vitória total

Open match →FreeWon
over 5.52.20 at Bet365+1.20u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 5.52.20Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+33.3%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.52.00Model chance60.6%EV+21.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 00:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+21.2%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 5.51.70Model chance60.6%EV+3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate87.6%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.52.05Model chance60.6%EV+24.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate+29.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.51.83Model chance60.6%EV+10.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate87.6%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:00: over 5.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−28.0%ROI · 8 units staked
Profit−2.24units
W / L3 / 5picks
Avg odds2.52settled picks
Recorded picks81 matches

Around this match

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