Vélez Sarsfield vs Platense — Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Liga Profesional de FútbolPrimera LPF 2026

Mon 5 Oct··Matchday 11·Jose Amalfitani·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 4Corners4
  • 0Cards2
  • 10Shots16
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 8Fouls5
  • 24Throw-ins28
  • 2Offsides1
  • 9Goal kicks4
  • 2Saves4
  • 30Tackles25
  • 10Interceptions12
  • 6Dribbles11
6 Free1 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match
Vélez SarsfieldvPlatenseLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 won / 4 lost · −0.72u · 7 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon
under 5.51.81 at BetMGM UK+0.81u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365Original model estimate unavailableunder 5.51.67Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 15:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 5.51.81Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 15:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+21.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 5.51.81Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 15:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+21.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+17.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.51.55Model chance67.4%EV+4.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 12:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate15.6%Closing EV estimate−28.4%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailable
    • under 6.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailable
    • under 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.51.55Model chance67.4%EV+4.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate15.6%Closing EV estimate−28.4%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.51.55Model chance67.4%EV+4.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate15.6%Closing EV estimate−28.4%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.51.60Model chance67.4%EV+7.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 13:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate0.9%Closing EV estimate−98.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 15:00: under 5.5 at 1.81 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Platense total

Open match →FreeWon
under 2.52.50 at Betlive+1.50u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.52.50Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+30.7%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailable
    • under 3.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate74.0%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 4.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate88.0%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.52.20Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 08:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate74.0%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.0%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.52.20Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 15:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate74.0%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.52.00Model chance52.3%EV+4.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:41

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate27.1%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate74.0%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.52.02Model chance52.3%EV+5.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 13:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate7.6%Closing EV estimate−91.7%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate74.0%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 15:00: under 2.5 at 2.50 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreeWon
under 24.51.97 at Superbet+0.97u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 24.51.97Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 15:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate+21.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.51.80Model chance61.7%EV+11.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 21.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate37.8%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 22.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailable
    • under 23.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailable
    • under 25.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailable
    • under 26.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailable
    • under 27.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.51.70Model chance61.7%EV+4.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 23.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.51.75Model chance61.7%EV+8.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:41

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 15:40: under 24.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreeLost
over 3.52.20 at Crocobet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 3.52.10Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailable
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate59.1%Closing EV estimate+24.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
  • Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 3.52.20Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate59.1%Closing EV estimate+30.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.51.65Model chance59.1%EV-2.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:41

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate59.1%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 15:00: over 3.5 at 2.20 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Platense total

Open match →FreeLost
under 3.52.00 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.52.00Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 15:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.51.85Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • under 4.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.51.85Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.51.75Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 15:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.51.75Model chance54.6%EV-4.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:41

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.51.64Model chance54.6%EV-10.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 15:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate3.4%Closing EV estimate−66.3%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate14.6%Closing EV estimate−38.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−17.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.64Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate85.8%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate93.3%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 15:00: under 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreeLost
under 40.52.50 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 40.52.50Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 40.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+81.0%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 41.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate+72.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 42.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate80.3%Closing EV estimate+56.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 43.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+46.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 44.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate86.5%Closing EV estimate+38.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 45.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailable
    • under 46.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailable
Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 15:00: under 40.5 at 2.50 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Vélez Sarsfield total

Open match →VIPLost
under 21.52.25 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 21.52.25Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 21odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+70.8%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • under 22.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate+50.8%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailable
    • under 23.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate86.2%Closing EV estimate+37.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailable
    • under 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+30.3%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 21.52.20Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+67.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate+50.8%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate86.2%Closing EV estimate+42.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 21.52.20Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:41

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+67.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate+50.8%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate86.2%Closing EV estimate+42.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 03:43: under 21.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−10.3%ROI · 7 units staked
Profit−0.72units
W / L3 / 4picks
Avg odds2.18settled picks
Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

Previous meetings