St.Louis City vs LA Galaxy 6-2

MLSMLS 2026

St.Louis City

6–2

HT 5–1

LA Galaxy

Sun 11 Oct·17:00·CITYPARK·St.Louis City won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

2Corners3
2Cards2
11Shots18
6Shots on target7
17Fouls10
16Throw-ins15
3Offsides1
5Goal kicks2
5Saves1
19Tackles15
9Interceptions14
4Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

6 Free1 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

17:00St.Louis CityvLA GalaxyMLS5 won / 2 lost · +3.47u · 7 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 4.51.88 at Superbet+0.88u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.51.88Model chance57.0%EV+7.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 14:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate1.3%Closing EV estimate−98.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:35
- under 3.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 14:02
- under 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 14:02
- under 5.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 14:02
Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.51.80Model chance56.4%EV+1.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.51.68Model chance56.4%EV-5.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:50
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.51.70Model chance56.4%EV-4.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate19.3%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- under 3.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- under 4odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- under 5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 5.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- under 6odds1.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:01
- under 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.51.70Model chance56.4%EV-4.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate19.3%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:32
- under 3.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:32
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:32
- under 5.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:32
- under 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:32
KambiClosing estimateunder 4.51.68Model chance56.4%EV-5.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 15:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:33
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.51.70Model chance56.4%EV-4.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate19.3%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- under 3.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- under 5.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- under 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.51.67Model chance56.4%EV-6.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:50
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.67Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 4.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 04:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · St.Louis City total

Open match →FreeWon

under 5.52.00 at Crocobet+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.52.00Model chance54.9%EV+9.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate30.8%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
- under 6.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.52.05Model chance47.3%EV-3.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- under 6odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- under 6.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- under 7odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 14:32: under 5.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 15:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 3.52.01 at Pinnacle+1.01u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +6.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.52.01Model chance53.1%EV+6.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:50
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3odds1.62Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.9%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 3.25odds1.84Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 3.5odds2.04Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.51.91Model chance53.2%EV+1.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:50
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 4.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin5.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 5.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 6.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate9.4%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 7.5odds21.00Closing chance estimate4.2%Closing EV estimate−12.6%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.52.12Model chance53.2%EV+12.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:50
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin1.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 0.75odds1.02Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.9%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 1odds1.02Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 1.25odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 1.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin0.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 1.75odds1.16Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 2odds1.18Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 2.25odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin0.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 2.75odds1.54Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 3odds1.66Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 3.25odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.9%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin0.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 3.75odds2.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.9%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 4odds2.91Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 4.25odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 4.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin0.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 4.75odds4.41Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 5odds5.97Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 5.25odds6.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 5.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate+28.2%margin0.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 5.75odds9.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 6odds14.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 6.25odds14.91Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 6.5odds15.50Closing chance estimate9.4%Closing EV estimate+45.1%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 6.75odds21.01Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 7odds33.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 7.25odds33.72Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 7.5odds34.00Closing chance estimate4.2%Closing EV estimate+41.5%margin1.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 7.75odds47.64Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 8odds73.81Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 8.25odds74.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 8.5odds75.00Closing chance estimate1.7%Closing EV estimate+25.4%margin0.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.51.85Model chance53.2%EV-1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 17:00
- over 1.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:30
- over 2odds1.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:30
- over 2.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:30
- over 3odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:30
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 14:30
- over 4odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:30
- over 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:30
- over 5odds4.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:30
- over 5.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate−15.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:30
- over 6odds6.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.51.85Model chance53.2%EV-1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 17:03
- over 1.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 2odds1.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 2.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 3odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 14:31
- over 4odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 5odds4.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 5.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate−15.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 6odds6.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.51.85Model chance53.2%EV-1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 17:05
- over 1.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 2odds1.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 14:32
- over 3odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 17:05
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 14:32
- over 4odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 5odds4.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 5.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate−15.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 6odds6.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 165.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 168.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:33
- over 169.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:36
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.51.95Model chance53.2%EV+3.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:50
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 4.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 5.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
- over 6.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate9.4%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.51.97Model chance53.2%EV+4.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin3.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:02
- over 1.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin5.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 14:32
- over 2.25odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:02
- over 2.75odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 3odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 3.25odds1.77Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 14:32
- over 3.75odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 4odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 4.25odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 4.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 5.5odds5.65Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin4.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 6.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate9.4%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 3.5 at 2.01 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · LA Galaxy total

Open match →FreeWon

over 1.52.43 at BetMGM UK+1.43u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +24.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 1.52.43Model chance51.2%EV+24.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−14.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 18:20
BetliveAt recommendationover 1.52.45Model chance51.2%EV+25.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:30
- over 1.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−12.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:30
- over 2.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−37.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:31
- over 3.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate3.2%Closing EV estimate−74.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:30
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.52.45Model chance51.2%EV+25.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 1.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−12.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 2.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−36.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 3.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate3.2%Closing EV estimate−74.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.52.45Model chance51.2%EV+25.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:33
- over 1.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−11.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 2.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−35.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
- over 3.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate3.2%Closing EV estimate−74.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:31
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.53.00Model chance32.9%EV-1.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 15:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:35
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.00Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin6.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:35
- over 2.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:35
- over 3.5odds23.00Closing chance estimate3.2%Closing EV estimate−26.8%margin3.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:35
SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.52.82Model chance32.9%EV-7.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 14:02
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.82Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
- over 2.5odds6.90Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−20.3%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 3.5odds19.00Closing chance estimate3.2%Closing EV estimate−39.5%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 4.5odds55.00Closing chance estimate0.7%Closing EV estimate−60.5%margin1.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 1.5 at 2.43 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 17:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · St.Louis City total

Open match →VIPLost

over 16.51.87 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +6.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.51.87Model chance56.9%EV+6.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 15:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate81.9%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 14:02
- over 14.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 15.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 16.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 17.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 18.5odds2.22Closing chance estimate41.4%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 19.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate33.4%Closing EV estimate−12.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 20.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate26.3%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
BetliveClosing estimateover 16.52.05Model chance58.6%EV+20.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 14.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 15odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 15.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 16odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+20.2%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 17odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 17.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate+22.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
CrocobetClosing estimateover 16.51.95Model chance58.6%EV+14.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
- over 15.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
- over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:48: over 16.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 10.52.15 at Superbet+1.15u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +7.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 10.52.20Model chance50.1%EV+10.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
- over 9.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.52.15Model chance50.2%EV+7.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate89.6%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 7.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 8.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 9.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 10.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 11.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 12.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 13.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate20.5%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.52.25Model chance50.2%EV+13.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 8.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 9odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 9.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 10odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 11odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 11.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
KambiClosing estimateover 10.52.02Model chance50.2%EV+1.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:33
- over 9.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:33
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:33
- over 11.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 12.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:48: over 10.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 17:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · St.Louis City total

Open match →FreeLost

over 6.52.25 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +18.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

KambiAt recommendationover 6.51.87Model chance56.4%EV+5.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 5.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 6.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:32
- over 7.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:33
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.52.25Model chance52.7%EV+18.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 15:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate96.6%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 17:06
- over 3.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate91.0%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 4.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 5.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 6.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 7.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 8.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate27.5%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
- over 9.5odds5.15Closing chance estimate17.6%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:02
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 6.52.08Model chance54.3%EV+13.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:50
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.08Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 16:50
BetliveClosing estimateover 6.52.10Model chance54.3%EV+14.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 6odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
- over 7odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:31
CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.52.10Model chance54.3%EV+14.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
- over 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:32

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:48: over 6.5 at 2.25 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+49.6%ROI · 7 units staked

Profit+3.47units

W / L5 / 2picks

Avg odds2.08settled picks

Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionMLS Home teamSt.Louis City Away teamLA Galaxy RefereeJoseph Dickerson

Matches

Cards · match total

Goal kicks · St.Louis City total

Goals · match total

Goals · LA Galaxy total

Shots · St.Louis City total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · St.Louis City total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings