Sheffield United vs Lincoln City 3-0 — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Sheffield United

3–0

HT 1–0

Lincoln City

Sat 10 Oct·08:00·Matchday 9·Bramall Lane·Sheffield United won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

2Corners2
4Cards3
10Shots12
5Shots on target3
14Fouls17
20Throw-ins21
2Offsides1
4Goal kicks4
3Saves2
13Tackles11
8Interceptions5
5Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

3 Free3 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

08:00Sheffield UnitedvLincoln CityChampionship2 won / 4 lost · −2.12u · 6 picks

Cards · Sheffield United total

Open match →VIPWon

over 1.51.88 at Superbet+0.88u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +0.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.51.88Model chance53.3%EV+0.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds7.30Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+501.7%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:07
- over 1.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
BetliveClosing estimateover 1.51.80Model chance51.9%EV-6.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:32
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:32
- over 2odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:32
CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.51.75Model chance51.9%EV-9.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- over 2.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−16.5%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
KambiClosing estimateover 1.51.75Model chance51.9%EV-9.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:36: over 1.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Sheffield United total

Open match →VIPWon

under 5.52.00 at Bet365+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +2.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.52.00Model chance51.0%EV+2.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 06:05
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 5.51.95Model chance51.5%EV+0.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 08:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate34.3%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- under 6.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 5.52.00Model chance51.1%EV+2.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 14:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate19.5%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- under 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate34.3%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- under 5.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- under 6.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- under 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.51.90Model chance50.9%EV-3.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate19.5%Closing EV estimate−12.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- under 4.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate34.3%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- under 6.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- under 7.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
KambiClosing estimateunder 5.51.95Model chance50.9%EV-0.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate34.3%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- under 6.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- under 7.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.52.10Model chance50.9%EV+6.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds9.00Closing chance estimate8.6%Closing EV estimate−22.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
- under 3.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate19.5%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
- under 4.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate34.3%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.51.95Model chance50.9%EV-0.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate8.6%Closing EV estimate−39.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 3.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate19.5%Closing EV estimate−20.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 4.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate34.3%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 6.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 7.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 8.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate87.6%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:36: under 5.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 13:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Lincoln City total

Open match →FreeLost

over 4.51.91 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +8.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.51.91Model chance56.8%EV+8.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 06:05
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.51.85Model chance56.8%EV+5.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.51.75Model chance57.0%EV-0.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate87.6%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.0%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 5.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 6.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.51.70Model chance57.0%EV-3.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 08:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate74.0%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
KambiClosing estimateover 4.52.00Model chance57.0%EV+13.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate74.0%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 5.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 6.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:39
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.51.70Model chance57.0%EV-3.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 14:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate87.6%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- over 3.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate74.0%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- over 5.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- over 6.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.51.85Model chance57.0%EV+5.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate87.6%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
- over 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate74.0%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
- over 5.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.51.85Model chance57.0%EV+5.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.9%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate87.6%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 3.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate74.0%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 5.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 6.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−8.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 7.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate14.8%Closing EV estimate−23.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:36: over 4.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 2.52.06 at Betfair Exchange−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betfair Exchangeresult priceAt recommendationover 2.52.06Model chance55.3%EV+13.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin0.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 0.75odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 1odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 1.25odds1.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 1.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 1.75odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 2odds1.47Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 2.25odds1.71Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 2.5odds1.96Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin0.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 2.75odds2.21Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 3odds2.66Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 3.25odds3.03Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 3.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 3.75odds4.26Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 4odds6.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 4.25odds6.68Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 4.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate16.7%Closing EV estimate+20.4%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 4.75odds9.86Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 5odds16.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 5.25odds16.94Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 5.5odds17.50Closing chance estimate7.4%Closing EV estimate+28.8%margin1.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 5.75odds25.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 6odds49.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 6.25odds50.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 6.5odds50.00Closing chance estimate2.8%Closing EV estimate+42.2%margin1.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
BetliveAt recommendationover 2.51.85Model chance55.3%EV+2.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:01
- over 1odds1.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 1.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 2odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 2.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 3odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 4odds4.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 4.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate16.7%Closing EV estimate−18.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 5odds7.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 5.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate7.4%Closing EV estimate−48.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
CrocobetAt recommendationover 2.51.85Model chance55.3%EV+2.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:03
- over 1odds1.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 1.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 2odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 2.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 3odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 4odds4.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 4.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate16.7%Closing EV estimate−18.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 5odds6.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 5.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate7.4%Closing EV estimate−48.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
LiderbetAt recommendationover 2.51.85Model chance55.3%EV+2.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
- over 1odds1.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 1.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 2odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 2.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 3odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 4odds4.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 4.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate16.7%Closing EV estimate−18.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 5odds6.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 5.5odds7.10Closing chance estimate7.4%Closing EV estimate−47.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 118.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- over 125.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 05:35
- over 127.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.52.01Model chance55.3%EV+11.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.25odds1.66Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 2.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin3.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 2.75odds2.14Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.52.00Model chance55.3%EV+10.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 16:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin4.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 16:05
- over 1.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 16:05
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin5.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 16:05
- over 3.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 16:05
- over 4.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate16.7%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 16:05
- over 5.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate7.4%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 16:05
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.51.80Model chance55.3%EV-0.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
- over 1.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
- over 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
- over 4.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate16.7%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
- over 5.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate7.4%Closing EV estimate−19.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.51.92Model chance55.3%EV+6.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:07
- over 1.25odds1.19Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 00:37
- over 1.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 1.75odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 2odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 2.25odds1.66Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate55.3%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin4.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 2.75odds2.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 3odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 3.25odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 4.5odds6.30Closing chance estimate16.7%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 5.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate7.4%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 6.5odds28.00Closing chance estimate2.8%Closing EV estimate−20.4%margin2.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 2.5 at 2.06 with Betfair Exchange. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:26. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

over 26.52.05 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +6.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 26.52.05Model chance52.1%EV+6.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 24.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
SuperbetClosing estimateover 26.51.95Model chance52.1%EV+1.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 22.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:38
- over 23.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 24.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 25.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:38
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:38
- over 27.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:38
- over 28.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate38.8%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:38
- over 29.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:42: over 26.5 at 2.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Sheffield United total

Open match →FreeLost

under 4.51.90 at Kambi−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +6.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.51.90Model chance55.8%EV+6.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- under 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- under 5.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.51.65Model chance55.6%EV-8.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate−14.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- under 5.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.51.60Model chance55.6%EV-11.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate−19.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.51.70Model chance55.6%EV-5.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds7.50Closing chance estimate7.0%Closing EV estimate−47.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- under 2.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate19.1%Closing EV estimate−25.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- under 3.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- under 5.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- under 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- under 7.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate92.0%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:36: under 4.5 at 1.90 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−35.3%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit−2.12units

W / L2 / 4picks

Avg odds1.97settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionChampionship Home teamSheffield United Away teamLincoln City RefereeJosh Smith

Previous meetings

Wed 30 AugSheffield United 0-0 Lincoln City