Sarmiento vs River Plate — Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Liga Profesional de FútbolPrimera LPF 2026
Today··Matchday 11
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SarmientovRiver PlateLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 picks · 1 active
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 50.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +6.4%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.52.10Model chance50.6%EV+6.4%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 21:08Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- under 5.5odds5.30Current model chance12.5%Current EV−33.5%margin9.0%
- under 6.5odds3.60Current model chance21.3%Current EV−23.3%margin9.1%
- under 7.5odds2.60Current model chance32.2%Current EV−16.4%margin8.9%
- under 8.5odds2.00Current model chance44.1%Current EV−11.7%margin9.5%
- under 9.5odds1.63Current model chance56.2%Current EV−8.5%margin9.0%
- under 10.5odds1.38Current model chance67.2%Current EV−7.2%margin9.5%
- under 11.5odds1.23Current model chance76.6%Current EV−5.7%margin9.1%
- under 12.5odds1.13Current model chance84.1%Current EV−4.9%margin9.3%
Bet365Currentunder 8.52.10Model chance44.1%EV-7.3%
Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 01:37Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- under 8.5same line and oddsodds2.10Current model chance44.1%Current EV−7.3%margin7.6%
BetliveCurrentunder 8.51.95Model chance44.1%EV-13.9%
Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 02:43Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- under 5.5odds5.80Current model chance12.5%Current EV−27.2%margin11.6%
- under 7.5odds2.55Current model chance32.2%Current EV−18.0%margin13.8%
- under 8.5same line and oddsodds1.95Current model chance44.1%Current EV−13.9%margin13.8%
- under 9.5odds1.60Current model chance56.2%Current EV−10.1%margin13.8%
- under 10.5odds1.36Current model chance67.2%Current EV−8.6%margin14.3%
- under 11.5odds1.13Current model chance76.6%Current EV−13.4%margin12.3%
- under 12.5odds1.05Current model chance84.1%Current EV−11.7%margin11.6%
CrocobetCurrentunder 8.51.95Model chance44.1%EV-13.9%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 21:57Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- under 7.5odds2.55Current model chance32.2%Current EV−18.0%margin13.8%
- under 8.5same line and oddsodds1.95Current model chance44.1%Current EV−13.9%margin13.8%
- under 9.5odds1.60Current model chance56.2%Current EV−10.1%margin13.8%
- under 10.5odds1.36Current model chance67.2%Current EV−8.6%margin14.3%
- under 11.5odds1.22Current model chance76.6%Current EV−6.5%margin13.7%
LiderbetCurrentunder 8.51.95Model chance44.1%EV-13.9%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 21:58Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- under 7.5odds2.55Current model chance32.2%Current EV−18.0%margin14.4%
- under 8.5same line and oddsodds1.95Current model chance44.1%Current EV−13.9%margin13.8%
- under 9.5odds1.60Current model chance56.2%Current EV−10.1%margin13.8%
- under 10.5odds1.35Current model chance67.2%Current EV−9.3%margin14.9%
- under 11.5odds1.22Current model chance76.6%Current EV−6.5%margin13.7%
SuperbetCurrentunder 8.52.05Model chance44.1%EV-9.5%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 21:59Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- under 3.5odds15.00Current model chance2.7%Current EV−60.0%margin5.7%
- under 4.5odds8.20Current model chance6.4%Current EV−47.8%margin7.4%
- under 5.5odds5.35Current model chance12.5%Current EV−32.9%margin8.0%
- under 6.5odds3.65Current model chance21.3%Current EV−22.2%margin8.0%
- under 7.5odds2.65Current model chance32.2%Current EV−14.8%margin8.2%
- under 8.5same line and oddsodds2.05Current model chance44.1%Current EV−9.5%margin8.0%
- under 9.5odds1.68Current model chance56.2%Current EV−5.7%margin7.8%
- under 10.5odds1.44Current model chance67.2%Current EV−3.2%margin7.9%
- under 11.5odds1.28Current model chance76.6%Current EV−1.9%margin8.0%
- under 12.5odds1.17Current model chance84.1%Current EV−1.6%margin7.9%
- under 13.5odds1.10Current model chance89.7%Current EV−1.3%margin7.9%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: under 8.5 at 2.10 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 10:42. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Current model chance 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Current expected value: +21.3%.
This league is still collecting results. The bookmaker’s overall market record determines the tier. View benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365Currentover 3.52.00Model chance52.7%EV+5.4%
Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 01:37Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- over 3.5best current valueodds2.00Current model chance52.7%Current EV+5.4%margin7.9%
BetliveCurrentover 3.51.85Model chance52.7%EV-2.5%
Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 03:09Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- over 1.5odds1.07Current model chance84.2%Current EV−9.9%margin11.6%
- over 2.5odds1.34Current model chance69.1%Current EV−7.4%margin12.4%
- over 3.5odds1.85Current model chance52.7%Current EV−2.5%margin12.9%
- over 4.5odds2.85Current model chance37.4%Current EV+6.7%margin12.0%
- over 5.5odds4.85Current model chance24.6%Current EV+19.4%margin12.4%
Kambicurrent suggestionCurrentover 3.52.30Model chance52.7%EV+21.3%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 15:57Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- over 2.5odds1.60Current model chance69.1%Current EV+10.5%margin9.0%
- over 3.5best current valueodds2.30Current model chance52.7%Current EV+21.3%margin8.8%
- over 4.5odds3.40Current model chance37.4%Current EV+27.3%margin9.4%
SuperbetCurrentover 3.51.92Model chance52.7%EV+1.2%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 21:59Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- over 0.5odds1.02Current model chance95.1%Current EV−3.0%margin6.4%
- over 1.5odds1.15Current model chance84.2%Current EV−3.1%margin8.0%
- over 2.5odds1.43Current model chance69.1%Current EV−1.2%margin8.1%
- over 3.5best current valueodds1.92Current model chance52.7%Current EV+1.2%margin8.3%
- over 4.5odds2.75Current model chance37.4%Current EV+2.9%margin8.3%
- over 5.5odds4.15Current model chance24.6%Current EV+2.2%margin8.1%
- over 6.5odds6.30Current model chance14.9%Current EV−5.9%margin7.6%
LiderbetCurrentover 3.51.93Model chance52.7%EV+1.7%
Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 05:46Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
- over 1.5odds1.07Current model chance84.2%Current EV−9.9%margin9.9%
- over 2.5odds1.36Current model chance69.1%Current EV−6.0%margin9.2%
- over 3.5best current valueodds1.93Current model chance52.7%Current EV+1.7%margin8.0%
- over 4.5odds3.00Current model chance37.4%Current EV+12.3%margin9.1%
- over 5.5odds5.30Current model chance24.6%Current EV+30.5%margin9.8%
Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.
Recommendation record
Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 3.5 at 2.18 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Predictions
This match
No settled results yet. 1 active suggestion across 1 listed match.