Santos vs Flamengo 2-2 — Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026

Santos

2–2

HT 0–2

Flamengo

Thu 8 Oct·16:30·Matchday 29·Vila Belmiro·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

5Corners5
6Cards4
16Shots12
4Shots on target6
16Fouls15
15Throw-ins23
2Offsides0
7Goal kicks13
3Saves2
23Tackles18
11Interceptions13
7Dribbles5

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

13 Free3 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

16:30SantosvFlamengoBrasileirão Série A9 won / 7 lost · +1.78u · 16 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 4.52.40 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +22.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationunder 4.52.10Model chance60.6%EV+27.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+30.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.52.40Model chance51.0%EV+22.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 13:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate23.1%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:30
- under 3.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:30
- under 4odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:30
- under 5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 5.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:30
- under 6odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:30
- under 7odds1.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.2%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate94.6%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 4.52.40Model chance51.0%EV+22.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 13:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate23.1%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
- under 3.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
- under 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
- under 5.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
- under 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
- under 7.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate94.6%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 16:30
KambiAt recommendationunder 4.52.20Model chance51.0%EV+12.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate+31.3%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:40
- under 4.5odds2.08Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+28.7%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:40
- under 5.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+21.2%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- under 6.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 4.52.40Model chance51.0%EV+22.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 13:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate23.1%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:33
- under 3.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:33
- under 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:33
- under 5.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:33
- under 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:03
- under 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate94.6%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 4.52.15Model chance51.0%EV+9.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 13:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate1.7%Closing EV estimate−97.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:34
- under 2.5odds4.55Closing chance estimate23.1%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:35
- under 3.5odds2.72Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:35
- under 4.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:35
- under 5.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:35
- under 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:35
- under 7.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate94.6%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 16:31
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.52.00Model chance61.9%EV+23.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate23.1%Closing EV estimate+50.0%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
- under 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate+35.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+23.8%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 16:32: under 4.5 at 2.40 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Santos total

Open match →FreeLost

under 2.51.95 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +2.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 2.52.25Model chance52.0%EV+17.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+35.7%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 3odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+20.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 4odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 2.52.20Model chance52.0%EV+14.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
- under 2.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
- under 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
- under 4.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate91.9%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
KambiAt recommendationunder 2.52.23Model chance52.0%EV+16.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 21:00
- under 2.5odds1.93Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- under 3.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.51.95Model chance52.3%EV+2.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 13:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate10.3%Closing EV estimate−88.9%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:34
- under 1.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:35
- under 2.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:35
- under 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:35

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 16:36: under 2.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 12:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 9.52.00 at Bet365+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +14.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.52.00Model chance57.0%EV+14.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+20.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
BetliveAt recommendationover 9.51.90Model chance57.0%EV+8.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:30
- over 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:30
- over 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:00
- over 8.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:00
- over 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:00
- over 10.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:00
- over 11.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.4%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin14.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:00
- over 12.5odds4.05Closing chance estimate27.5%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:30
- over 13.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate19.3%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:30
- over 14.5odds8.30Closing chance estimate13.0%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:30
CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.51.90Model chance57.0%EV+8.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- over 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:31
- over 8.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:31
- over 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:31
- over 10.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:31
- over 11.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.4%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:31
LiderbetAt recommendationover 9.51.90Model chance57.0%EV+8.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:33
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:33
- over 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:33
- over 10.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:33
- over 11.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.4%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:33
SuperbetAt recommendationover 9.52.00Model chance57.0%EV+14.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:43
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.7%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin2.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 16:31
- over 3.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.1%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 4.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.4%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 5.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 8.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 9.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 10.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 11.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate37.4%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 12.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate27.5%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 13.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate19.3%Closing EV estimate−15.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 14.5odds5.85Closing chance estimate13.0%Closing EV estimate−24.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 15.5odds7.70Closing chance estimate8.4%Closing EV estimate−35.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 16.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate5.2%Closing EV estimate−48.2%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 17.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate3.1%Closing EV estimate−53.8%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
KambiClosing estimateover 9.51.75Model chance60.2%EV+5.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:40
- over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 8.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 10.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 11.5odds2.88Closing chance estimate37.4%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 12.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate27.5%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:40
- over 13.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate19.3%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:40
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.51.95Model chance60.2%EV+17.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
- over 10.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
- over 11.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate37.4%Closing EV estimate+38.2%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
- over 12.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate27.5%Closing EV estimate+37.4%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 16:32: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Santos total

Open match →FreeWon

over 4.51.85 at Kambi+0.85u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +10.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.51.85Model chance59.6%EV+10.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate89.0%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:40
- over 3.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 4.5odds1.82Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 5.5odds2.48Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 6.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate28.3%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 7.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−16.8%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.51.90Model chance59.6%EV+13.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:43
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.4%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin3.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 1.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate96.4%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 2.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate89.0%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 3.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 4.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 5.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 6.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate28.3%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 7.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−21.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 8.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate9.4%Closing EV estimate−38.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 9.5odds9.70Closing chance estimate4.8%Closing EV estimate−53.4%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 10.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate2.3%Closing EV estimate−65.6%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.51.83Model chance60.0%EV+10.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.51.65Model chance60.0%EV-0.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate89.0%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:30
- over 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:30
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:30
- over 5.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:30
- over 6.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate28.3%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.51.75Model chance60.0%EV+5.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.51.65Model chance60.0%EV-0.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate89.0%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:34
- over 3.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:33
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:34
- over 5.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:33
- over 6.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate28.3%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:33
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.51.95Model chance60.0%EV+17.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate89.0%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
- over 3.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
- over 5.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:36: over 4.5 at 1.85 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 16:03. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Flamengo total

Open match →FreeWon

over 4.51.80 at Liderbet+0.80u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 65.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.54. Expected value at recommendation: +17.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 4.51.85Model chance65.1%EV+20.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:30
- over 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:30
- over 4.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:30
- over 5.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:30
- over 6.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate28.7%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.51.65Model chance60.5%EV-0.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
- over 5.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
KambiClosing estimateover 4.51.71Model chance60.5%EV+3.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:40
- over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.71Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 5.5odds2.28Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 6.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate28.7%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:40
- over 7.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate17.3%Closing EV estimate−23.9%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:40
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.51.80Model chance65.1%EV+17.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:03
- over 3.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:33
- over 4.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:33
- over 5.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 12:33
- over 6.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate28.7%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:33
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.51.73Model chance60.5%EV+4.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
- over 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.51.72Model chance60.5%EV+4.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:43
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.4%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin3.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 1.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate96.5%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 2.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.72Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 5.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 6.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate28.7%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 7.5odds4.55Closing chance estimate17.3%Closing EV estimate−21.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 8.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate9.6%Closing EV estimate−36.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 9.5odds9.70Closing chance estimate4.9%Closing EV estimate−52.1%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 10.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate2.4%Closing EV estimate−64.5%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.51.83Model chance60.5%EV+10.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 13:42: over 4.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 04:34. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 25.51.85 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetClosing estimateunder 25.51.50Model chance69.0%EV+3.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 23.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- under 24.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate62.2%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- under 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- under 26.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+23.9%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 25.51.85Model chance57.9%EV+7.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:43
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 24.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate62.2%Closing EV estimate+40.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:35
- under 25.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate+34.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 14:05
- under 26.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+28.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 25.51.70Model chance69.0%EV+17.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate+17.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 05:03: under 25.5 at 1.85 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 09:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Santos total

Open match →FreeLost

under 12.51.92 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.51.85Model chance62.8%EV+16.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+22.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- under 13.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.51.92Model chance52.8%EV+1.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:34
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:02
- under 13.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:04
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.51.75Model chance62.8%EV+9.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- under 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:36: under 12.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Flamengo total

Open match →FreeLost

under 12.51.87 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +3.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationunder 12.51.95Model chance62.7%EV+22.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 9.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate29.5%Closing EV estimate−30.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- under 10.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate−21.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- under 11.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate51.7%Closing EV estimate−17.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+21.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
- under 13.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+19.0%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 12.51.80Model chance62.3%EV+12.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate51.7%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- under 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.51.87Model chance55.6%EV+3.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 13:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate51.7%Closing EV estimate+24.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:40
- under 12.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:35
- under 13.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:40

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 05:03: under 12.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Offsides · Santos total

Open match →FreeWon

over 1.51.95 at Crocobet+0.95u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +1.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.51.95Model chance51.8%EV+1.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- over 1.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- over 2.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.51.80Model chance55.9%EV+0.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 06:06: over 1.5 at 1.95 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Santos total

Open match →VIPWon

over 12.51.85 at BetMGM UK+0.85u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +0.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 12.51.85Model chance54.1%EV+0.0%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 12.52.00Model chance54.1%EV+8.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
- over 11.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
KambiAt recommendationover 12.51.80Model chance55.6%EV+0.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 12.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 13.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.51.85Model chance55.7%EV+3.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- over 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- over 11.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- over 13.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
SuperbetClosing estimateover 12.51.78Model chance55.7%EV-0.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:43
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:02
- over 9.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 10.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 11.5odds1.54Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.78Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 13.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 14.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate35.4%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 15.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate26.6%Closing EV estimate−16.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 06:51: over 12.5 at 1.85 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 08:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Flamengo total

Open match →FreeWon

under 14.51.95 at BetMGM UK+0.95u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 14.51.95Model chance52.1%EV+1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 14.51.80Model chance48.0%EV-13.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 13.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate38.2%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
- under 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−13.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
- under 15.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate−10.6%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
KambiClosing estimateunder 14.51.96Model chance48.0%EV-6.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.96Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- under 15.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 14.51.85Model chance48.0%EV-11.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 13.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate38.2%Closing EV estimate−14.1%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- under 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−11.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- under 15.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- under 16.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- under 17.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.7%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 14.51.97Model chance48.0%EV-5.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:43
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−23.9%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- under 12.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate−16.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- under 13.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate38.2%Closing EV estimate−10.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- under 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 14:05
- under 15.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 14:05
- under 16.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- under 17.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate74.7%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 05:47: under 14.5 at 1.95 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 08:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 9.51.98 at Kambi+0.98u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +1.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 9.52.00Model chance51.1%EV+2.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+21.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.52.10Model chance56.8%EV+19.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- over 9.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.51.98Model chance51.1%EV+1.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:40
- over 8.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 9.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate48.4%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 11.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
SuperbetAt recommendationover 9.52.17Model chance51.1%EV+11.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:43
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 7.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 9.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 10.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate48.4%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 11.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate+22.7%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 12.5odds4.55Closing chance estimate26.3%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 13.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate17.9%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.51.85Model chance60.7%EV+12.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- over 10.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate48.4%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 16:36: over 9.5 at 1.98 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 05:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Santos total

Open match →VIPLost

over 4.52.17 at BetMGM UK−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +9.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.52.17Model chance50.4%EV+9.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.17Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
CrocobetAt recommendationover 4.52.20Model chance50.4%EV+10.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- over 3.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
KambiAt recommendationover 4.52.17Model chance50.4%EV+9.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 4.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 5.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.52.30Model chance50.4%EV+16.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:43
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate94.8%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 2.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 3.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 4.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 5.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 6.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate19.5%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 7.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate10.4%Closing EV estimate−25.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.52.25Model chance50.5%EV+13.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- over 3.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 13:36: over 4.5 at 2.17 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Flamengo total

Open match →FreeWon

over 5.52.20 at Bet365+1.20u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 5.52.20Model chance50.2%EV+10.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 16:20
CrocobetAt recommendationover 5.52.00Model chance51.7%EV+3.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate83.4%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:00
- over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- over 6.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
KambiAt recommendationover 5.51.95Model chance53.6%EV+4.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 5.5odds1.91Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
- over 6.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:51
SuperbetAt recommendationover 5.52.27Model chance50.2%EV+13.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 15:43
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate93.0%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 3.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate83.4%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 4.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 5.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+14.8%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 6.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
- over 7.5odds4.45Closing chance estimate23.5%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 15:43
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.52.05Model chance52.9%EV+8.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate83.4%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- over 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 09:36: over 5.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 36.51.95 at Crocobet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 64.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +26.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 36.51.95Model chance64.8%EV+26.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 36.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate64.6%Closing EV estimate+26.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- under 37.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+21.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- under 38.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 36.51.95Model chance65.3%EV+27.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 36.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate64.6%Closing EV estimate+26.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:33
- under 37.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+21.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:33
- under 38.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 09:06: under 36.5 at 1.95 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Santos total

Open match →VIPWon

under 18.52.20 at Crocobet+1.20u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 70.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.42. Expected value at recommendation: +55.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 18.52.20Model chance70.8%EV+55.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 09:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+48.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- under 19.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate+37.9%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01
- under 20.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+32.9%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 09:01

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 09:06: under 18.5 at 2.20 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 14:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+11.1%ROI · 16 units staked

Profit+1.78units

W / L9 / 7picks

Avg odds1.99settled picks

Recorded picks161 matches

Around this match

CompetitionBrasileirão Série A Home teamSantos Away teamFlamengo RefereeAnderson Daronco

Matches

Cards · match total

Cards · Santos total

Corners · match total

Corners · Santos total

Corners · Flamengo total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Santos total

Fouls · Flamengo total

Offsides · Santos total

Shots · Santos total

Shots · Flamengo total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Santos total

Shots on target · Flamengo total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Santos total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings