Royale Union Saint-Gilloise vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1-1

Pro LeaguePro League 26/27

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise

1–1

HT 0–1

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Sun 11 Oct·08:00·Matchday 8·Stade Joseph Marien·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

9Corners4
0Cards3
18Shots14
2Shots on target2
11Fouls11
37Throw-ins17
1Offsides2
3Goal kicks12
0Saves2
23Tackles14
11Interceptions18
5Dribbles8

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

6 Free0 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

08:00Royale Union Saint-GilloisevOud-Heverlee LeuvenPro League2 won / 4 lost · −1.95u · 6 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.52.15 at BetMGM UK+1.15u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +23.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.52.15Model chance57.3%EV+23.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 3.52.32Model chance57.3%EV+32.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate3.6%Closing EV estimate−95.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- under 3.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+26.0%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- under 4.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- under 5.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.52.05Model chance57.3%EV+17.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate35.2%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 3odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 4odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 5odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 5.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.52.20Model chance57.3%EV+26.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+26.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:02
- under 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:02
- under 5.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:02
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.52.23Model chance57.3%EV+27.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.23Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
- under 4.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+21.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 3.5 at 2.15 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise total

Open match →FreeWon

under 1.51.90 at Superbet+0.90u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 65.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +25.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.51.90Model chance65.9%EV+25.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+15.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.51.65Model chance65.0%EV+7.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 2odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.51.75Model chance65.0%EV+13.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:02
- under 2.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:02
KambiClosing estimateunder 1.51.81Model chance65.0%EV+17.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.81Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 08:51: under 1.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 07:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Oud-Heverlee Leuven total

Open match →FreeLost

under 2.51.88 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +19.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.51.88Model chance63.5%EV+19.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate12.3%Closing EV estimate−86.8%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- under 2.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.51.65Model chance65.0%EV+7.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate38.0%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 2odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 3odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.51.75Model chance65.0%EV+13.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate38.0%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:02
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:02
- under 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate83.9%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:02
KambiClosing estimateunder 2.51.78Model chance65.0%EV+15.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.78Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 08:51: under 2.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 06:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 10.51.91 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +7.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 10.51.91Model chance56.3%EV+7.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:40
BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.51.80Model chance57.8%EV+4.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 23:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 6.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate13.7%Closing EV estimate−16.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:00
- under 7.5odds4.05Closing chance estimate22.7%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:00
- under 8.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- under 9.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- under 11.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- under 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- under 13.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:00
- under 14.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.7%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:00
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.51.80Model chance57.8%EV+4.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- under 9.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- under 11.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- under 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- under 13.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
KambiClosing estimateunder 10.51.70Model chance57.8%EV-1.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 6.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate13.7%Closing EV estimate−30.0%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
- under 7.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate22.7%Closing EV estimate−18.3%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- under 8.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- under 9.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
- under 11.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
- under 12.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- under 13.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- under 14.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate90.7%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.51.80Model chance57.8%EV+4.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- under 9.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- under 11.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- under 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.51.90Model chance57.8%EV+9.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 9.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 11.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 12.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 10.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise total

Open match →FreeLost

under 7.51.91 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +21.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 7.51.91Model chance63.8%EV+21.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+26.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:04
BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 7.51.86Model chance62.5%EV+16.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
BetliveClosing estimateunder 7.51.75Model chance66.4%EV+16.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 23:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:00
- under 6.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+19.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:00
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:00
- under 8.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:00
- under 9.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:00
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 7.51.70Model chance66.4%EV+12.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 6.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
- under 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
KambiAt recommendationunder 7.51.86Model chance63.8%EV+18.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
- under 6.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
- under 7.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
- under 8.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
- under 9.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:35
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 7.51.70Model chance66.4%EV+12.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate36.8%Closing EV estimate+21.4%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:03
- under 6.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+19.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:03
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:03
- under 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:03
- under 9.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:03
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 7.51.90Model chance63.8%EV+21.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 6.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+26.2%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 8.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate78.2%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 7.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise total

Open match →FreeLost

over 21.52.05 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +6.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 21.52.05Model chance51.7%EV+6.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 19.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 20.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
BetliveClosing estimateover 21.51.80Model chance47.3%EV-14.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 19odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- over 19.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- over 20odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- over 20.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate−12.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- over 21odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- over 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate−14.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- over 22odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- over 22.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate39.8%Closing EV estimate−16.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- over 23odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- over 23.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate−14.9%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 05:36: over 21.5 at 2.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 06:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−32.5%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit−1.95units

W / L2 / 4picks

Avg odds1.97settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionPro League Home teamRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise Away teamOud-Heverlee Leuven RefereeNathan Verboomen

Matches

Cards · match total

Cards · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise total

Cards · Oud-Heverlee Leuven total

Corners · match total

Corners · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise total

Shots · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise total

This match

Around this match

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