Red Bull Bragantino vs Cruzeiro 4-2 — Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026

Red Bull Bragantino

4–2

Cruzeiro

Mon 12 Oct·18:00·Matchday 30·Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques·Red Bull Bragantino won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

7Corners6
2Cards2
20Shots25
10Shots on target13
12Fouls12
16Throw-ins22
1Offsides5
11Goal kicks6
11Saves7
8Tackles13
7Interceptions2
7Dribbles9

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

7 Free2 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

18:00Red Bull BragantinovCruzeiroBrasileirão Série A9 won / 0 lost · +9.09u · 9 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 4.52.30 at Superbet+1.30u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +35.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 4.52.12Model chance58.9%EV+24.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:25
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.52.30Model chance58.9%EV+35.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate1.4%Closing EV estimate−98.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 14:32
- under 2.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate19.8%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 06:33
- under 3.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate+26.2%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:32
- under 4.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+27.9%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:32
- under 5.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+21.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:32
- under 6.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:32
- under 7.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:32
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.52.15Model chance56.8%EV+22.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate19.8%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 06:30
- under 3.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate+26.2%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- under 4odds3.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.2%Model unavailableCaptured 12 Oct, 04:00
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- under 5odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 12 Oct, 04:00
- under 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- under 6odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 12 Oct, 04:00
- under 6.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- under 7.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.52.15Model chance56.8%EV+22.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate19.8%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 10:31
- under 3.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- under 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- under 6.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- under 7.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.52.15Model chance56.8%EV+22.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate19.8%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 06:31
- under 3.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate+26.2%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin15.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- under 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- under 6.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- under 7.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.52.30Model chance56.8%EV+30.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds7.50Closing chance estimate19.8%Closing EV estimate+48.5%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:25
- under 3.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate+46.9%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:25
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+30.7%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:25

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 4.5 at 2.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Cruzeiro total

Open match →FreeWon

under 2.51.92 at Kambi+0.92u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +19.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.51.92Model chance62.1%EV+19.2%
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 2.52.05Model chance62.1%EV+27.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate10.4%Closing EV estimate−88.8%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:32
- under 1.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate34.0%Closing EV estimate+27.4%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:32
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:32
- under 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:32
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.52.05Model chance60.6%EV+24.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 04:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 04:00
- under 3odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 12 Oct, 04:00
- under 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 04:00
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.51.75Model chance60.6%EV+6.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate34.0%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:31
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:31
- under 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:22: under 2.5 at 1.92 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 10.51.91 at Bet365+0.91u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +4.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.51.91Model chance54.8%EV+4.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:13
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:13
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.51.65Model chance54.5%EV-10.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:30
- over 7.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate84.2%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- over 8.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:00
- over 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:00
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:00
- over 11.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:00
- over 12.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:00
- over 13.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate25.1%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- over 14.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate17.9%Closing EV estimate−10.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- over 15.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate12.4%Closing EV estimate−16.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.51.65Model chance54.5%EV-10.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 16:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate84.2%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:31
- over 8.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:00
- over 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:00
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:00
- over 11.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:00
- over 12.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−15.6%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:00
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.51.65Model chance54.5%EV-10.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 16:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:01
- over 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:01
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:01
- over 11.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:01
- over 12.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:01
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 10.51.83Model chance54.5%EV-0.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:50
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:50
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:50
- over 11.5odds2.38Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:50
- over 12.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:50
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.51.73Model chance54.5%EV-5.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 16:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.3%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin3.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 4.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.9%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin5.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 5.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate95.3%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 7.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate84.2%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 8.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 9.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 11.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 12.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 13.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate25.1%Closing EV estimate−18.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 14.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate17.9%Closing EV estimate−24.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 15.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate12.4%Closing EV estimate−32.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 16.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate8.2%Closing EV estimate−41.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 17.5odds9.40Closing chance estimate5.2%Closing EV estimate−50.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 18.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate3.2%Closing EV estimate−57.9%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 10.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Red Bull Bragantino total

Open match →VIPWon

over 5.51.87 at BetMGM UK+0.87u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +9.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 5.51.87Model chance58.5%EV+9.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.79Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:25
Bet365Closing estimateover 5.51.83Model chance57.2%EV+4.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:25
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.51.49Model chance57.2%EV-14.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:30
- over 4.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate69.7%Closing EV estimate−15.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.49Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate−14.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- over 6.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate−12.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- over 7.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate33.5%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- over 8.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.51.60Model chance57.2%EV-8.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 03:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate69.7%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:31
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate−8.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:31
- over 6.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:31
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.51.52Model chance57.2%EV-13.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate−12.3%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:01
- over 4.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate69.7%Closing EV estimate−15.0%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.52Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate−13.1%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- over 6.5odds2.03Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- over 7.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate33.5%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- over 8.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 5.51.73Model chance57.2%EV-1.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:50
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:50
- over 3.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:50
- over 4.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate69.7%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:50
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:50
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.51.69Model chance57.2%EV-3.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 16:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate96.4%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 2.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 3.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate81.2%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 4.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate69.7%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.69Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 6.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 7.5odds2.92Closing chance estimate33.5%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 8.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 9.5odds5.65Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 10.5odds7.90Closing chance estimate10.3%Closing EV estimate−18.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 5.5 at 1.87 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 21:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Cruzeiro total

Open match →FreeWon

over 4.52.00 at Bet365+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.52.00Model chance50.3%EV+0.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:25
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.51.80Model chance50.3%EV-9.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate80.3%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- over 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
- over 6.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate24.5%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.51.75Model chance50.3%EV-11.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 03:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:31
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:31
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:31
KambiClosing estimateover 4.51.87Model chance50.3%EV-5.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:33
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.51.86Model chance50.3%EV-6.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate80.3%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- over 3.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.86Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- over 5.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- over 6.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate24.5%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.51.83Model chance50.3%EV-7.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:50
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate80.3%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:50
- over 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:50
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:50
- over 5.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:50
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.51.77Model chance50.3%EV-10.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 16:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate98.0%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 1.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 2.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate80.3%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 3.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.77Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 5.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−14.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 6.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate24.5%Closing EV estimate−17.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 7.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate15.5%Closing EV estimate−25.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 8.5odds6.90Closing chance estimate9.2%Closing EV estimate−36.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 9.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate5.1%Closing EV estimate−48.6%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02
- over 10.5odds16.00Closing chance estimate2.7%Closing EV estimate−57.0%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 17:36: over 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 27.51.83 at Superbet+0.83u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 78.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.28. Expected value at recommendation: +43.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 27.51.83Model chance78.4%EV+43.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 16:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 26.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate64.6%Closing EV estimate+38.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:32
- under 27.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate70.9%Closing EV estimate+32.6%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 06:33
- under 28.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:32
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 27.51.95Model chance70.9%EV+38.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate70.9%Closing EV estimate+38.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:31
- under 28.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+34.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:31
- under 29.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate+30.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:31
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 27.52.14Model chance70.9%EV+51.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 26.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate64.6%Closing EV estimate+61.5%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- under 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.14Closing chance estimate70.9%Closing EV estimate+51.8%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- under 28.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+41.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- under 29.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate+32.1%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- under 30.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 00:06: under 27.5 at 1.83 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 02:28. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · Cruzeiro total

Open match →FreeWon

over 1.52.35 at Crocobet+1.35u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +20.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.52.35Model chance51.3%EV+20.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:31
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:31
- over 2.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate25.1%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:31
LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.52.23Model chance51.6%EV+15.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.23Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- over 2.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate25.1%Closing EV estimate+27.9%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 08:36: over 1.5 at 2.35 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Red Bull Bragantino total

Open match →VIPWon

over 15.51.91 at Bet365+0.91u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +18.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 15.51.91Model chance62.0%EV+18.4%
KambiAt recommendationover 15.51.84Model chance62.0%EV+14.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:03
- over 15.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−12.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 11:03
- over 16.5odds1.74Closing chance estimate49.5%Closing EV estimate−13.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:33
- over 17.5odds1.98Closing chance estimate42.2%Closing EV estimate−16.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:33
- over 18.5odds2.28Closing chance estimate35.2%Closing EV estimate−19.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:33
SuperbetClosing estimateover 15.51.62Model chance57.1%EV-7.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 16:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- over 14.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 14:32
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.62Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 16:32
- over 16.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate49.5%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 14:32
- over 17.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate42.2%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- over 18.5odds2.57Closing chance estimate35.2%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- over 19.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate28.8%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.51.85Model chance57.1%EV+5.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- over 16.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate49.5%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:22: over 15.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 00:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 9.52.00 at Crocobet+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +16.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.52.00Model chance58.2%EV+16.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate82.1%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 05:01
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:31
- over 9.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:31
- over 10.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:31
SuperbetAt recommendationover 9.51.88Model chance54.0%EV+1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 15:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate94.9%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:32
- over 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate89.8%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 14:32
- over 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate82.1%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:32
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 14:32
- over 9.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:32
- over 10.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:32
- over 11.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:32
- over 12.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate25.9%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:32
- over 13.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate17.6%Closing EV estimate−14.0%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:32
KambiClosing estimateover 9.51.55Model chance60.3%EV-6.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate82.1%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:02
- over 8.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:33
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:02
- over 10.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:33
- over 11.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:32
- over 12.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate25.9%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:02
- over 13.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate17.6%Closing EV estimate−26.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 11:33
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.51.90Model chance60.3%EV+14.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate82.1%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- over 8.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- over 10.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+18.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31
- over 11.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 17:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 05:06: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 08:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+101.0%ROI · 9 units staked

Profit+9.09units

W / L9 / 0picks

Avg odds2.01settled picks

Recorded picks91 matches

Around this match

CompetitionBrasileirão Série A Home teamRed Bull Bragantino Away teamCruzeiro RefereeSavio Pereira Sampaio

Matches

Cards · match total

Cards · Cruzeiro total

Corners · match total

Corners · Red Bull Bragantino total

Corners · Cruzeiro total

Fouls · match total

Offsides · Cruzeiro total

Shots · Red Bull Bragantino total

Shots on target · match total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings